Cincinnati Bengals
Ford FieldFox
Cincinnati Bengals
3-2
Cincinnati Bengals
Tomorrow
Detroit Lions
0-5
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions

Point Spread PickGuest Pick
DET Lions Win +3.5

Real men show emotion. Real men cry. And this week, real men and women bet on Dan Campbell and the Detroit Lions getting 3.5 points against the Cincinnati Bengals. The logic is twofold. For one, these Lions are fighters. They’ve been in pretty much every game all season and are two kicks away from having a couple of wins and being thought of in a very different light. I do Power Rankings every week on the Ross Tucker Football Podcast and I have the Lions ahead of teams with victories such as the Jets, Texans, etc. because they are a better team even though their record doesn’t show it.  Yet.

Meanwhile, the Bengals are in a classic letdown spot. They got ever so close to making a statement to the entire NFL at home against the Packers but alas it wasn’t meant to be as Aaron Rodgers and co. found a way to get it done 25-22 in overtime. That took a lot out of the Bengals and they appear primed for a game in which a young team is not ready to play to the same level as they did the week before. Plus, this is the NFL. The Lions are going to win a game. Probably a couple of them. And there’s a good chance this is one of them. Even if it’s not, I think they will be right there and cover the spread. They usually do.

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$57.27

Cincinnati Bengals
Point Spread Pick
DET Lions Win +3.0

Detroit’s 0-5 start was enough to reduce head coach Dan Campbell to tears after their loss to Minnesota on a 54-yard field goal as time expired last Sunday. But while the Lions are 0-5 in terms of what matters to coaches — winning games — they are a much better 3-2 at what matters to bettors — covering the spread. And the Lions again can be expected to keep things close against the 3-2 Bengals at Ford Field on Sunday, whether or not the game ends in another heartbreaking loss or they get the W for the first time this season. The Lions should have had their first win when they played the Ravens in Week 3, but were beaten by a 4th-and-19 completion and a record-breaking 66-yard field goal. They beat themselves at Chicago with multiple turnovers inside the Chicago 10-yard line, and then looked to have overcome another more talented team in Minneapolis. Bad things happen to bad teams, but the Lions are not quite the hopeless case their record suggests.

The Bengals are 3-2, but they played the Vikings similarly close, winning in overtime when they capitalized on a Dalvin Cook fumble. They also lost to the Bears, and they beat the league’s other winless team, Jacksonville, by only 3 points having trailed 14-0 at the half. Last Sunday’s narrow loss to Green Bay represented an improved performance, but their already fragile offensive line has sustained more losses and QB Joe Burrow was taken to hospital with an injured throat, which means they are likely going to rely on silent counts and hand signals at a noisy Ford Field. The Bengals have better results this season, for sure, but the Lions have shown enough fight to suggest they can at least keep this close enough to cover at home.

Lions +3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Lions +3.

Detroit Lions
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$19.09
Cincinnati Bengals
Game Totals Pick
Over 47.5

The stats point to the under in this game but sometimes it can be worth going against the flow and both these teams have more trustworthy players on offense than defense. The Bengals have played 4 unders in a row since their opener against Minnesota went over, but the last 2 were short of the line by just 1.5 and 3 points respectively, so it’s not like they’ve been involved in defensive wars. The Lions went over in their first 2 games before 3 unders, but they left plenty of points on the field in Chicago and were playing a much tougher defense then.

The Lions’ 14-point total at Soldier Field was the only time either team has scored fewer than 17 points this season, and while we need them each to approach 24 this time, it’s not unreasonable with offensive talent such as Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins on the Bengals and the superb D’Andre Swift leading the Lions’ running game. Lean to the over with Detroit likely to throw everything at their bid to get their first win.

Over 47.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Detroit Lions
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$19.09
Photo of Phil Agius

Phil Agius

Show Bio

I've been writing about the NFL and a host of other sports for the UK's top daily betting paper the Racing Post for more than 20 years. An incurable Browns fan (1-31 survivor), I also specialise in all kinds of motorsport betting including F1, MotoGP, IndyCar and NASCAR.

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