Cincinnati Bengals vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/12/25

The biggest news to come out this week in the NFL was Cleveland trading veteran QB Joe Flacco to Cincinnati. The Bengals have been an absolute train wreck since Joe Burrow picked up an injury in the Week 2 comeback victory over Jacksonville. In fact, Cincinnati has been outscored, 113-37 in the past 3 losses to Minnesota, Denver and Detroit. The Bengals actually scored 24 points in last Sunday’s home defeat to the Lions, although 21 of those points came in the fourth quarter.

Green Bay is back from the bye week following a 40-40 tie at Dallas in Week 4. The Packers led 13-0 before the Cowboys rallied back to lead at halftime. Green Bay avoided the loss by kicking a last-second field goal in overtime to move to 2-1-1 on the season. The 40-point output at Dallas was a significant improvement for the Pack, who was held to 10 points the prior week in an upset loss at Cleveland to Flacco and the Browns. QB Jordan Love threw for a season-high 337 yards and 3 TDs against the Cowboys, marking his first 300+ yard passing performance since Week 2 against Minnesota last season. Meanwhile, Flacco has the benefit of throwing to WRs Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, as the former LSU star ranks 10th in the NFL in receiving yards with 374 through 5 games.

The point spread against Cincinnati keeps increasing every week. In Jake Browning’s first start in place of Burrow at Minnesota in Week 3, the Bengals closed as 3-point underdogs in an embarrassing 48-10 defeat. That number moved up to 7.5 in Week 4 at Denver, falling to the Broncos, 28-3. Detroit covered as 10.5-point road favorites last Sunday, leading 28-3 before hanging on for the 37-24 victory.

In the last 2 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more, the Packers failed to cover. Green Bay has ballooned to a 14-point favorite on Sunday, as Matt LaFleur’s team posted a 1-1 record against the spread as a double-digit favorite in 2024. Even though Flacco is crash landing into Cincinnati and will immediately start, let’s take a shot with the Bengals to get a reset and cover the spread.

Bengals vs Packers prediction: Cincinnati Bengals +14 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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