Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/12/25

Acrisure StadiumCBS
Browns
1-4
Browns
Today
Steelers
3-1
Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Google News

Browns vs Steelers Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread PickBest Bet
CLE Browns +6.0(-110)

Cleveland returns from London following a tough last-minute loss to Minnesota as the Browns head to Pittsburgh to face the rested Steelers. The Browns fell to 1-4 after a 21-17 defeat to the Vikings as 3.5-point underdogs. Minnesota scored with 25 seconds left as Cleveland was held to 17 points or fewer for the 5th time this season. QB Dillon Gabriel played well in his NFL debut, throwing 2 TDs, while RB Quinshon Judkins busted the 100-yard mark for the first time in his career with 110 rushing yards.

The issue is the fast turnaround from traveling overseas, taking on Pittsburgh, which was off after holding off Minnesota 2 weeks ago in Ireland. The Steelers improved to 3-1 with the 24-21 victory, as all 3 of Pittsburgh’s wins have come away from Acrisure Stadium. Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown 7 TDs and 1 interception in the 3 wins, while getting intercepted twice in the lone loss to Seattle. Cleveland’s pass defense ranks 4th in the NFL in yards allowed per game, but the Browns have intercepted only 2 passes this season.

Last season, these rivals split their 2 matchups with the home team capturing each game. Cleveland surprised Pittsburgh in a mid-November TNF thriller, 24-19, on a short Nick Chubb TD run in the final minute. In the 2nd meeting in the Steel City, Pittsburgh jumped out to a 27-7 lead and crushed Cleveland 27-14 as 6.5-point favorites. The Browns have not won at Pittsburgh since the 2020 season, dropping 3 of the last 4 meetings by double-digits. There will be a narrative that Cleveland has the quick turnaround from the London trip, as the public will likely be all over Pittsburgh in this spot. You can’t deny how strong Cleveland has been defensively, and Pittsburgh is 0-2 ATS as a favorite of at least 3 points this season. With this one expected to be a low-scoring battle, it’s worth grabbing the points with Cleveland to keep it close once again.

Browns vs Steelers prediction: Cleveland Browns +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 4.5.

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Kevin Rogers
Game Totals Pick
Under 38.0(-110)

Although Cleveland has failed to score more than 17 points in a game this season, the Browns have hit the Over twice in 5 contests. In Sunday’s 21-17 defeat to Minnesota, the total closed at a measly 36 points and the Over cashed on the last-minute TD by the Vikings. Pittsburgh is 3-1 to the Over this season, along with a 3-0 mark on totals of 41 or less. The Steelers allowed at least 31 points in each of their first 2 games, but Pittsburgh’s defense has settled in by yielding a total of 35 points in the past 2 victories over New England and Minnesota.

This Sunday’s total is the lowest in the NFL this week at 38.5. Both matchups last season saw at least 41 points scored, although the game in Pittsburgh finished Under the total of 43 in a 27-14 Steelers’ victory.

Cleveland owns the top graded overall defensive and rushing defense, according to PFF. The Steelers rank 31st in the NFL in rushing at 80 yards per game, but they get RB Jaylen Warren back after he missed the Minnesota victory with a knee injury. Pittsburgh closed last season with 4 consecutive Unders at home, but eclipsed the Over in its lone game at Acrisure Stadium this season against Seattle. Cleveland has allowed 24 or more points in 7 straight road games since last November. However, the Over cashed only 4 times, as the Browns scored 14 or less points in 5 of those games.

There’s not a lot of confidence for Cleveland to score a bunch of points, but the Browns have been excellent defensively. The Browns allowed 34 points at Detroit 2 weeks ago, which is actually the fewest points the Lions have scored in the last 4 victories.

Browns vs Steelers prediction: Under 38 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Kevin Rogers
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Kevin Rogers

Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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