Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 10/26/25

We’ve got an intriguing matchup between a couple of playoff hopefuls in each conference on Sunday when the Dallas Cowboys head to Denver to take on the Broncos. Dallas has been a team that I’ve enjoyed backing in recent weeks as the market has been consistently lower on the Cowboys than how they’ve actually played. It all starts and ends with the offense for Brian Schottenheimer’s team, but it’s proven to be an elite offense. Dak Prescott is playing at an MVP level and he’s led this offense to top 5 marks in EPA per play, success rate, EPA per pass and passing touchdowns. Dallas has done a good job of keeping Prescott upright, with the Cowboys sitting inside the top 5 in sacks allowed as well. While the Broncos defense is undoubtedly formidable, this is still a unit that just allowed 32 points to the Giants a week ago, an offense that has a fraction of the talent at the skill positions compared to this Dallas unit.

On the other side of the ball, it’s apparent that defense has not been the strong suit for the Cowboys this season (29th in EPA per play, 31st in success rate allowed). However, it’s not as if the Broncos offense has been prolific. In fact, the vast majority of Denver’s scoring this season has come in the 4th quarter, if you can believe that. As long as the Cowboys are able to establish a foothold in this game early on, it will take quite a lot for Bo Nix and company to keep up for four quarters. Even on the road, I like the value we’re getting on Dallas, so I’ll go back to the well with the Cowboys for yet another week.

Cowboys vs Broncos prediction: Cowboys +3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.

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Dallas has been a team that has consistently played high-scoring games this season, and it’s no surprise that the Cowboys are 5-2 to the over on the year, even with oddsmakers having to adjust a bit throughout the early part of the season. It’s not my favorite play on the board this week, but my initial look on this game is that the over pairs nicely with the Cowboys to keep things close and cover the number. After all, that’s been the recipe for this team all season, and with the way Prescott is playing, it’s hard to ignore Dallas’ potential for putting up at least 27 points on any opponent. In fact, the Cowboys have scored 27 or more in 5 of their last 6 contests, while allowing a combined 182 points in that span. All things considered, the over is the only way I can look on Sunday, especially under the key number of 51.

Over 50.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 51.