Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds and SNF Picks for Sunday, 09/28/25

AT&T StadiumNBC
Packers
2-1
Packers
Sun Sep 28
Cowboys
1-2
Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
Google News

Packers vs Cowboys Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
GB Packers -6.5(-110)

Sunday Night Football presents an early Super Bowl contender versus a Cowboys team whose stock is tumbling. For the 2nd straight week, Dallas’ defense left much to be desired, cultivating a Bears’ offense that looked incapable until Sunday. Chicago produced 31 points and 385 yards, including 10.6 yards per pass in Week 3, controlling the pace of the contest and handing the Cowboys their 2nd loss of the season. The Dallas offense moved the ball (396 yards), but couldn’t convert in the red zone, going just 1-4. Following an impressive effort Week 1 at Philadelphia, we’ve been less than compelled by what the new-look Cowboys have shown us the last 2 weeks. And now Dallas is slated to contend with the Packers, and Green Bay is coming off a bad loss. Oh, and Micah Parsons, the player who feuded with Jerry Jones for months before going to Green Bay, will be out for vengeance back at AT&T Stadium. From an intangible perspective, that’s a stacked deck against Dallas.

The Packers would prefer to forget about Week 3. Sure, they held the Browns to 221 total yards, but they didn’t get to the quarterback enough (Joe Flacco was only sacked twice) and they were clumsy in the 4th quarter (75 yards, outscored 0-13). More importantly, they failed to extend a 10-0 lead and couldn’t answer against the Cleveland defense. But this isn’t the Cleveland defense they’re facing on SNF, it’s the Cowboys. We have zero faith in Matt Eberflus and the Cowboys’ defense, while the Packers’ defense will have a plus matchup all game.

Packers vs Cowboys prediction: Packers -6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 7.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook for the football season, we recommend checking out Fanatics Sportsbook. New users can get up to $100 back in FanCash EVERY GAMEDAY UNTIL OCTOBER if their football bet loses! Join Fanatics Sportsbook, where you can bet on our Seahawks vs Cardinals predictions.

Chris R. Farley
Game Totals Pick
Over 47.0(-115)

Green Bay remains one of the best defenses in the NFL, and no doubt they have added motivation with a vengeful Micah Parsons suiting up. Still, Dallas’ offense is above average and their only means to win, anchored by a passing game that’s been prolific through 3 weeks. Dak Prescott is top 5 in completion percentage (70.99%) and they rank 3rd in passing yards per game (268.7). They’re also top 5 at protecting their quarterback, permitting a sack on just 3.68% of plays. Even though we expect Green Bay’s defense to affect this game in prominent ways, we also think Dak and his boys will have a few big moments, too.

Green Bay’s offense battled one of the stingiest defenses in the NFL last weekend. Sunday night should feel like the Ritz in comparison. No defense allows more yards per pass than the Cowboys (9.8) and they’re bottom-3 in every major team category. Green Bay’s offense hasn’t had to show off its breadth of talent because of how exceptional they’ve been defensively, but they are more than capable. We’ve also seen Jordan Love thrive in a dome (2023 Thanksgiving at Detroit comes to mind). And while their running game has been below average (3.4 yards per carry), this is a plus-matchup to finally get into rhythm. The main story leading into the game will be Micah Parsons and the Green Bay defense, but we see the quarterbacks doing enough to push this over.

Packers vs Cowboys pick: Over 47 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Bet like a Caesar with this AMAZING new customer offer from Caesars Sportsbook. If you bet just $1, you’ll receive DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS on your next 20 bets! Become a Caesars member 👥 using the Caesars promo code PWCONTENT20X, where you can bet on our Packers vs Cowboys picks.

Chris R. Farley
Photo of Chris Farley

Chris Farley

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
Read more about Chris Farley
Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy