Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/21/25

Nissan StadiumCBS
Colts
2-0
Colts
Sun Sep 21
Titans
0-2
Titans
Tennessee Titans
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Colts vs Titans Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
TEN Titans +3.5(-110)

The lone undefeated team in the AFC South is the Indianapolis Colts at 2-0, as they hit the road for the first time this season on Sunday to face the winless Tennessee Titans. The Colts rolled past the Dolphins in the season opener, 33-8 as QB Daniel Jones threw for 272 yards and was responsible for 3 touchdowns (1 passing and 2 rushing). Indianapolis had to work for its 2nd victory, defeating Denver in the final seconds on a 45-yard game-winning field goal, 29-28. Jones tossed 316 yards through the air, while RB Jonathan Taylor amassed 165 yards on the ground for the Colts.

The Titans are seeking their first win under rookie QB Cam Ward following a pair of losses to the Broncos and Rams. To be fair, Tennessee hung around in both games, but it has scored only 1 touchdown so far. In Sunday’s home defeat to Los Angeles, Ward threw his first career TD pass as the Titans led the Rams, 16-13, late in the 3rd quarter. LA outscored Tennessee 20-3 the rest of the way for the 33-19 victory and cover as 5.5-point road favorites. Ward has failed to reach 200 passing yards in each of his first 2 pro starts. Following 112 passing yards in his debut at Denver, he slightly improved against the Rams with 175 yards. The more telling number is his completion percentage improvement, going from 42.9% against the Broncos to 57.6% against the Rams.

Last season, the Colts swept the Titans, extending Indianapolis’ winning streak over Tennessee to 4 games since the start of 2023. Indianapolis won all 4 games by 8 points or less, including back-to-back 3-point victories in Nashville. In 2024, Indianapolis compiled a 3-6 road record, including a 1-2 straight-up and 0-3 against the spread mark as a favorite. The Titans posted a 4-2-1 ATS mark as a home underdog in head coach Brian Callahan’s first season before losing last week.

Here’s an interesting angle to take on the Titans heading into this week — since 2013, underdogs that are 0-2 have put together an incredible 44-24 ATS (64.7%) mark. Let’s look at the Titans here to cash as a home underdog and at least keep this one within a field goal.

Colts vs Titans prediction: Titans +3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 3.

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Kevin Rogers
Game Totals Pick
Over 43.5(-110)

Both Indianapolis and Tennessee have split their totals through each of the first 2 games. The Colts hit the Under in their opening-week blowout of the Dolphins, prior to an easy Over on a 43 total in the 29-28 thriller against Denver. Tennessee and Denver never threatened the Over in Week 1, as the Broncos held off the Titans 20-12 on a 42.5 total. The total dropped slightly against the Rams, but the huge 2nd half for LA helped drill the Over of 41 in a 33-19 victory in Nashville.

Daniel Jones ranks 2nd in the NFL in passing yards at 588, sitting behind New York’s Russell Wilson, who is coming off a 450-yard performance against Dallas to rank 1st. In the 2 matchups last season, the game in Nashville finished under the total of 41.5 as the Colts snuck by the Titans, 20-17. In the 2nd meeting in Indianapolis, the Colts outlasted Tennessee, 38-30, on a 43.5 total. The yardage per game numbers are overwhelmingly in the Colts’ favor, as Indianapolis is 2nd in the league at 445.5, while Tennessee sits in last at 192.5.

The Colts are riding an 8-2 Over run in the last 10 games dating back to last November. In each of the past 4 games away from Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis has drilled the Over. The Titans are in the midst of a 6-3 Over stretch in the past 9 contests. Tennessee has hit 3 consecutive home Overs, allowing at least 23 points in each of those games. Through 2 games, Titans kicker Joey Slye has knocked through 4 FGs in each loss. The good news is Tennessee has put up 4 and 5 scores in the first 2 games, but they just need to mix in some TDs. The Colts kicked 5 FGs in last week’s win over the Broncos and 4 FGs in the opener against the Dolphins. These teams are scoring, but once they can convert those FGs into TDs, there’s no reason to think they can’t cash the Over on Sunday.

Colts vs Titans pick: Over 43.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.5.

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Kevin Rogers
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Kevin Rogers

Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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