Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants Prediction, Odds and SNF Picks for Sunday, 09/21/25

MetLife StadiumNBC
Chiefs
0-2
Chiefs
Sun Sep 21
Giants
0-2
Giants
New York Giants
Google News

Chiefs vs Giants Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
NY Giants +6.0(-105)

Two 0-2 teams clash on Sunday Night Football, and while one was expected to be in this position, the other has never been winless at this juncture. In fact, at no point during the Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes era have the Chiefs started 0-2, until now. 

After Week 2, oddsmakers and NFL critics are feeling better about the New York Giants. While no one expects a Super Bowl this season, they put up 37 points on the Cowboys in Dallas last week, finally showing signs of life on an offense that’s been dead for a decade. Russell Wilson looked like the 2013 Super Bowl version of himself, hoisting up one long ball after another and connecting with Malik Nabers frequently. The dynamic 2nd-year wideout tallied 167 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. The Giants’ defense wasn’t quite as stingy, but they were hitting hard and their front 7 made life difficult for Dak Prescott all game.

Normally, even with New York showing signs of improvement, this would be an automatic wager on the Chiefs. After all, the legendary tandem of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes have repeated Super Bowl visits in 5 of the last 6 seasons, so they know a thing or 2 about rising to the occasion. But last week was another indication of how difficult life currently is for Kansas City, particularly on offense. Against the Eagles, Kansas City’s offense looked good in moments, but they also made mistakes in the worst spots. A turnover at the goal line that would have meant the go-ahead score, and their inability to convert on 3rd downs (they were just 4-12) ended up being the story of the game.

The Giants’ defense is good enough to cause turmoil for an offensive line that has not protected Mahomes well enough (4 sacks, 18 QB hits in the first 2 weeks), and the Giants’ offense has enough momentum to re-create some magic and hang with last season’s AFC champions. We expect another close game, as nothing seems to be coming easy this year for the Mahomes and company.

Chiefs vs Giants prediction: Giants +6 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Bet like a Caesar with this AMAZING new customer offer from Caesars Sportsbook. If you bet just $1, you’ll receive DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS on your next 20 bets! Become a Caesars member 👥 using the Caesars promo code PWCONTENT20X, where you can bet on our Chiefs vs Giants picks.

Chris R. Farley
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.0(-110)

We realize the Giants looked like the greatest show on turf last Sunday, but there’s a fat chance of that repeating. Firstly, New York will go up against the Kansas City Chiefs’ defense that limited the Super Bowl champions to just 216 yards last weekend. Ultimately, Philadelphia did enough to win the game, but even all-world runner Saquon Barkley was kept to just 88 yards on the ground. So far, the Giants have virtually no rushing attack, averaging just 3.6 yards per carry and 79 rushing yards per game. That means Kansas City can focus solely on interfering with Russell Wilson‘s comfort in the pocket. In Week 1, we saw that make a huge difference in the Giants’ production, and we doubt the home team will fly the same way they did against a porous Dallas resistance in Week 2.

On the other side, although the Giants’ defense is still under development and needs to limit offenses in the red zone (they are 31st in this category, allowing a touchdown on 85.71% of red zone possessions), their talent matches up well with Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has been rushed and hurried constantly for 2 straight games, possibly a consequence of a more shallow offensive line following losses during the offseason. Most notably, Mahomes no longer has Joe Thuney, the all-pro left guard who protected his blind side. He’s also arguably the best pass protector in the NFL. The Giants’ front 7 has yet to completely dominate, but this is a good setup for them to do so. Most Chiefs games may look the same this season — low scoring, defensive battles, and this one is no exception.

Chiefs vs Giants pick: Under 45 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.5.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook, check out Bet365, the world’s #1 sportsbook. They have an amazing sign-up offer where you can INSTANTLY receive $300 in bonus bets from a $5 wager, regardless of whether that bet wins or loses! There’s no catch, it’s really that simple. Join Bet365 right now ⏰ in time to fade or follow our experts’ Chiefs vs Giants predictions.

Chris R. Farley
Photo of Chris Farley

Chris Farley

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
Read more about Chris Farley
Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy