New York Giants

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/05/25

Caesars SuperdomeCBS
Giants
1-3
Giants
Sun Oct 5
Saints
0-4
Saints
New Orleans Saints
Google News

Giants vs Saints Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
NO Saints -2.0(-110)

The New York Giants finally broke through the win column in Week 4, sending the Los Angeles Chargers to their first loss, 21-18, at MetLife Stadium. Rookie QB Jaxson Dart led the way in his first NFL start, throwing a TD pass and running for another score, although he sustained a hamstring injury. It wasn’t all great news for the Giants, who lost top wide receiver Malik Nabers for the season with a torn ACL. New York travels to New Orleans to face the 0-4 Saints, who almost pulled off the biggest upset of the season.

Following a 31-point beatdown in Seattle, the Saints trailed the Bills 21-19 with less than 8 minutes remaining in regulation. Buffalo scored the final 10 points to beat New Orleans, 31-19, although the Saints grabbed the cover as 14.5-point road underdogs. The Saints, who used to be nearly unbeatable at Caesars Superdome, have lost their last 5 home contests, including the first 2 this season to Arizona and San Francisco. Saints’ QB Spencer Rattler is still seeking his first victory as an NFL starter, but has shown some upside of late. Rattler has been intercepted once this season, while throwing 5 TDs in the last 3 games. He has not eclipsed 218 passing yards in a game as he faces a Giants’ pass defense that ranks 25th in yards allowed through the air.

The Saints held off the Giants last season at MetLife, winning 14-11 as 5.5-point road favorites. Both starting QBs for that game are no longer on these rosters, as Derek Carr outdueled Drew Lock in that low-scoring affair. Considering Dart is not 100% and the G-Men must now continue without their star wideout, we should see the first victory of the season for the Saints on Sunday.

Giants vs Saints prediction: Saints -2 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.5.

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Kevin Rogers
Game Totals Pick
Under 41.0(-110)

New York ranks 29th in the NFL in yards allowed per game at 388.5. Yet, the Giants are 3-1 to the Under this season, due to the fact that they were limited to 9 or less points in a pair of losses. The Giants scored 21 points in Jaxson Dart’s first NFL start, which included a 15-yard TD run by the rookie. Although New York put up 21 points in that game, the G-Men scored 2 TDs and kicked 2 FGs to go along with a 2-point conversion. It marked the 3rd time in 4 games that the Giants were held to fewer than 2 TDs.

The Saints have yet to eclipse the 21-point mark this season, posting 19 points in Sunday’s loss at Buffalo. New Orleans’ defense has performed better at the Superdome, yielding an average of 23 points per game compared to 37.5 points per game on the road. Since cashing the Under in the season opener against the Cardinals, the Saints are on a 3-0 run to the Over in the last 3 games. New Orleans saw its highest total of the season at Buffalo at 49 and the game barely hit the Over as the Bills won, 31-19.

In 5 of the last 6 home games, the Saints have scored fewer than 21 points. In New York’s lone road contest this season at Dallas, the Over was never in doubt as the Cowboys outlasted the Giants, 40-37 in overtime on a 44.5 total. The total is sitting between 40.5 and 41 across most major sportsbooks. This is the lowest total for either team this season, as the Saints and Giants combined for 25 points in their matchup last December at MetLife. It’s hard to see where the offense comes from, especially with Malik Nabers sidelined for New York with a season-ending knee injury, so I still don’t think this number is low enough. With that in mind, I’m leaning towards the Under in this one.

Giants vs Saints pick: Under 41 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 40.5.

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Kevin Rogers
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Kevin Rogers

Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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