Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Prediction, Odds and TNF Picks for Thursday, 10/09/25

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Eagles
4-1
Eagles
Thu Oct 9
Giants
1-4
Giants
New York Giants
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Eagles vs Giants Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
NY Giants +7.5(-115)

Finally, the Eagles’ offensive woes caught up to them. Out-gained in total yardage for the 5th straight game, there was a moment in the 3rd quarter where the camera showed Jalen Hurts smiling, projecting the idea that Philly, despite another pedestrian performance by their offense, is on their way to yet another victory. Needless to say, that’s not what transpired. The Broncos proceeded to score 18 unanswered points in the 4th quarter. They also held Hurts and the Eagles to drives of -6, 2 and 45 yards in the final period, cementing a catalyzing win at Lincoln Financial Field.

Perhaps it’s the wake-up call Philadelphia needed, but we still have plenty to be concerned about. For starters, their rushing attack just isn’t prominent through 5 games. On Sunday, they gained just 45 yards on the ground, another bad mark added to a ground game that’s statistically one of the worst in the NFL, averaging only 3.5 yards per carry (29th). When Hurts and the passing game needed to compensate for their lack of production, they folded against an elite defensive line. Hurts was sacked 6 times on Sunday and probably should have thrown an interception or 2. They’ll face another above-average front-seven on Thursday Night Football.

The Giants’ young, exciting roster showed its true colors on Sunday. Sure, on the one hand, rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart and bowling-ball rookie running back Cam Skateboo are the sparks their roster needs, new energy that Big Blue’s fanbase has been waiting for. At the same time, they’re still learning and making mistakes, evidenced in 5 turnovers in a loss at New Orleans this past Sunday, granting the Saints their first win. They still outpaced the Saints in first downs (23-18) and total yards (335-332), but it was their giveaways, including 1 fumble recovery that went for a Saints touchdown, that made the difference. They also didn’t get to Spencer Rattler enough, recording 0 sacks and just 1 QB hit.

The Eagles qualify as a great teaser or money-line parlay leg. Despite their flaws, the Eagles know how to win and following a loss, and we trust in the champs to come out fired up for redemption. The Giants have also played better football, and if they can limit their mistakes, they can surely hang around at home.

Eagles vs Giants prediction: Giants +7.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Chris R. Farley
Game Totals Pick
Over 41.0(-110)

In general, the Giants’ defense wasn’t very impressive on Sunday, although they were at their best when New Orleans was in the red zone. The Saints scored on a big pass play to Rashid Shaheed and turned 3 Giants turnovers into 13 points, but they couldn’t score (0-3) when they were close to the painted area. The Giants’ bend-don’t-break form was good enough against the Saints, but we don’t have the same confidence against the Eagles. 

Philadelphia’s offensive struggles are well-documented at this point. In 5 games, they’ve been out-gained by 383 yards and their opponents have gained 16 more first downs (104-88). But if there’s any matchup where the Eagles can “get right” and correct their errors, it’s against the Giants. Other than an outlier, bad performance in a lost 2023 season, the Birds have beaten up on New York, winning 5 of their last 6 matches. In those 6 wins, they’ve averaged 30 points per game. Of course, the G-Men’s defense is a little different this season, with a defensive line that’s as talented as any in the NFL. But they’re also not fulfilling their potential just yet.

Through 5 games, the Giants’ defense ranks 22nd (25.4) in opponent points and 26th in opponent yards per game (377.2). Their defensive line, which was predicted by many to wreak havoc all season, is just 22nd in sack rate (4.95%). Perhaps most notably for Thursday’s matchup, they’re also abysmal against the run, permitting 5.3 yards per carry (29th). 

One of Philadelphia’s stalwart offensive linemen, Landon Dickerson, suffered an ankle injury on Sunday and remains questionable for this matchup. That’s a big hole to fill, but the Eagles have plenty of depth, great coaching, and a veteran group that can help guide the ship. We also think the Giants will make fewer mistakes in a meaningful NFC East rivalry, and it’s not like the Eagles’ defense has been consistent, anyway (338.2 opponent yards per game, 21st). We like this to go higher than the market projects.

Eagles vs Giants pick: Over 41 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 42.

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Chris R. Farley
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Chris Farley

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
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