Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 12/28/25

One of the more interesting games on the NFL Week 17 card comes in Cleveland, where the Browns are set to take on the Steelers in an AFC North showdown. Cleveland has shown flashes since the insertion of Shedeur Sanders at quarterback, and despite the fact that the rookie played a very poor game a week ago, the Browns still covered the spread against the Bills as home underdogs with relative ease. Not only is Buffalo a much better offense than what Cleveland will see against Pittsburgh this week, but this is not a good situational spot for a Steelers team that is coming off a trio of massive victories over the Lions, Dolphins and Ravens in recent weeks. Pittsburgh went from being on the outside looking in, to now clearly in the driver’s seat for the AFC North Crown and a first round home game in the AFC playoffs come January. The Steelers don’t even need to win this game in order to clinch the division, as a loss from the shorthanded Ravens would also do the trick. With that in mind, it’s reasonable to expect that Pittsburgh might not be at its sharpest this week against the lowly Browns.

Cleveland has been a tale of two teams this season. At home, the Browns have been one of the most profitable teams against the spread over the last 3 seasons, and it all starts with a defense that has been able to make life very difficult for opposing quarterbacks. In fact, the Browns just held down the Bills offense a week ago, so the Steelers shouldn’t be as much of a challenge in comparison. This is also a game where the weather figures to be a major factor, as we should see significant sustained winds in Cleveland once again. All signs point to this being a very close game, so I’ll gladly grab the points with the home ‘dog on Sunday.

Steelers vs Browns prediction: Browns +3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to +3

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