Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/05/25

Lumen FieldCBS
Buccaneers
3-1
Buccaneers
Sun Oct 5
Seahawks
3-1
Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
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Buccaneers vs Seahawks Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
TB Buccaneers +3.5(-115)

A pair of 3-1 clubs hook up in the most intriguing game of the late afternoon slate in Seattle as the Seahawks host the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay won its first 2 road games of the season at Atlanta and Houston, as the Bucs seek victories in their first 3 away contests since 2010. The Bucs are coming off their first loss of the season, falling behind early in a 31-25 defeat to the Eagles. After blowing out Philadelphia at home in each of the past 2 matchups, Tampa Bay trailed 24-3 in the 2nd quarter before cutting the deficit to eight in the 4th quarter. The Bucs held the defending champions to 200 yards of offense, but a pair of turnovers and allowing a blocked punt for a touchdown did Tampa Bay in.

Now, Todd Bowles’ team heads across the country to face Seattle, which is seeking a 4th straight victory after losing the season opener to San Francisco. The Seahawks built a 20-6 lead at Arizona last Thursday night before Arizona rallied to tie the game at 20-20. Jason Myers booted the game-winning field goal for Seattle in the final seconds to give the Seahawks their 8th straight road victory. Playing at Lumen Field in front of the vaunted “12th Man” seemed to be a losing proposition for opponents visiting the Pacific Northwest. That has swung recently, as the Seahawks are 2-7 in their last 9 home games, but one of those victories came 2 weeks ago in a 44-13 rout of the winless Saints. QB Sam Darnold has been impressive in his first season in Seattle, completing 70% of his passes and posting 9.1 yards per attempt, which is tied for 1st in the NFL with Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson.

The Bucs’ RB Bucky Irving is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. If he can’t suit up, Tampa Bay will turn to either Rachaad White or Sean Tucker in the backfield. White has posted 108 rushing yards this season, although he has been held to 17 or fewer yards in 3 of 4 games. Tampa Bay is riding an impressive 10-3 road record since the midway point of the 2023 season. In spite of the Bucs missing WR Mike Evans and potentially Irving, I still believe they have an opportunity here to grab the road victory as an underdog, but believe the safer play will be to take the field goal as extra insurance.

Buccaneers vs Seahawks prediction: Bucs +3.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 3.

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Kevin Rogers
Game Totals Pick
Under 44.5(-110)

Seattle has done an excellent job on the defensive side of the ball through 4 games. The Seahawks have allowed 20 or fewer points in each game and gave up 6 points to Arizona through 3.5 quarters before the Cardinals scored a pair of late TDs last Thursday. At home, Seattle has yielded a total of 30 points to San Francisco and New Orleans, while intercepting 3 passes. On the season, the Seahawks have cashed 2 overs and 2 unders. In the 2 overs, Seattle has scored 31 and 44 points; in the 2 unders, the Seahawks have put up 23 points or fewer.

Tampa Bay cashed the under in each of its first 2 road games, but the Bucs hit the over the last 2 weeks against the Jets and Eagles at home. The Bucs allowed an average of 19.5 points per game in the 2 road contests at Atlanta and Houston. However, Tampa Bay gave up 58 points the last 2 weeks, which includes yielding a blocked field goal and a blocked punt for a score.

Recent head-to-head history won’t come into play on Sunday as the teams last hooked up in Germany in 2022 with the Bucs holding off the Seahawks 21-16. If you remember, Tom Brady defeated Geno Smith in that low-scoring affair, so that won’t affect any handicapping for Sunday’s battle.

Since allowing Falcons’ QB Michael Penix, Jr. to throw for 298 yards in the opener, the Bucs have not given up more than 207 passing yards in any of the last 3 games. Seattle’s Sam Darnold ranks 13th in the NFL with 905 passing yards and has posted 150 and 218 passing yards in their two home games. WR Mike Evans is sidelined once again with a hamstring injury, but Tampa Bay is 4-0 to the over in 4 games without him since 2024. I don’t believe that streak will continue here and both teams will likely finish in the low 20s on Sunday.

Bucs vs Seahawks prediction: Under 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.

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Kevin Rogers
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Kevin Rogers

Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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