Tennessee Titans
Gillette StadiumCBS
Titans
8-3
Titans
Today
Patriots
7-4
Patriots
New England Patriots

Tennessee Titans
Point Spread Pick
TEN Titans Win +6.5

This is an interesting matchup between two of the top teams in the AFC as the New England Patriots host the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee lost their star running back Derrick Henry, and initially it looked like things might be alright. They picked up a big upset win over the Rams, then defeated the Saints the following week. But the offense quietly regressed mightily even in those games, and their issues were exposed last week in a shocking loss to the Texans as 10-point favorites. The Patriots, on the other hand, are riding high after dominant wins over the Browns and Falcons.

For that reason, now is a good time to buy low and sell high. The Pats destroyed a completely lifeless Falcons team, and held a severely hobbled Baker Mayfield in check when he was playing without Nick Chubb. The New England hype has got a bit out of control, and I just can’t lay this many points with them considering their offense still isn’t exactly dynamic. Tennessee just cut Adrian Peterson, which is a relief. They appear to have found a much better option in Dontrell Hilliard, who they just signed to the active roster. Don’t overreact to a one-game disaster. Ryan Tannehill isn’t likely to throw 4 interceptions again.

Titans +6.5 available at publishing. Playable at that number.

New England Patriots
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$18.70
Tennessee Titans
Game Totals PickBest Bet
Under 44.0

A lot of factors point toward a defensive struggle in this game. For starters, there’s a ton of familiarity. Mike Vrabel spent eight years under Bill Belichick as a player, and then he came up as an NFL coach under Bill O’Brien, another former Belichick disciple. Each head coach knows what the other wants to do. The last time these teams played was in the 2019 playoffs, in Tom Brady’s last game as a Patriot. Vrabel had a great game-plan for Brady, and limited the Pats to just 13 points. The final score was 20-13, and it was only that high-scoring because of a Brady pick-6 with 9 seconds left when the score was 14-13.

Ryan Tannehill had just 72 yards, and that was at a time when he still had Derrick Henry at his disposal. Then throw in the fact that the Titans’ defense is playing better than it ever has under Vrabel. Jeffrey Simmons is becoming a star at defensive tackle, and Harold Landry is providing a ton of pressure off the edge. The Titans won’t have Julio Jones, and the Patriots’ superb defense shut out Matt Ryan last week and made him look like a high school quarterback.

Under 44.5 available at publishing. Playable at that number.

New England Patriots
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$18.70
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Andrew Ortenberg

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I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

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