Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/19/25

These two teams sit right behind the Eagles for first place in the NFC East as Washington (3-3) heads to Dallas (2-3-1) on late Sunday afternoon.

Both squads are coming off losses last week in heartbreaking fashion. The Commanders rallied from a 13-0 deficit to lead the Bears on Monday night, 24-16 in the fourth quarter. Chicago scored the final 10 points of the game, capped off by a game-winning field goal in the final seconds for a 25-24 triumph.

Meanwhile, Dallas went back and forth with Carolina on the road before allowing the go-ahead field goal as time expired in a 30-27 defeat to the Panthers. It marked the fourth time in the last five games that the Cowboys yielded at least 30 points, while being the only team in the league to give up an average of over 400 yards a game.

Commanders’ QB Jayden Daniels has thrown four touchdown passes in the past two games after returning from a knee injury. In each of his last three starts, Washington has trailed by double-digits before scoring their first points.

Dallas has played probably the two of the most exciting games of the season at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys outlasted the Giants in overtime in Week 2, 40-37 and rallied to tie the Packers, 40-40 in Week 4. The offense has been great, but they will get back one of its top weapons in WR Ceedee Lamb, who is expected to return following a four-game absence with an ankle injury.

Last season, the road team won each matchup as Dallas held off Washington, 34-26 in D.C., while the Commanders rallied late against the Cowboys in Arlington, 23-19. In both games, the Cowboys played without QB Dak Prescott, who was sidelined for the season halfway through. Prescott threw four TD passes in each of the two wins over Washington during the 2023 season, but the Commanders finished 4-13 before drafting Daniels the following spring.

Dallas is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight opportunities as an underdog since last November. However, seven of those covers came as a ‘dog of at least four points.

In this spot, let’s back Washington as a short favorite to grab the road victory.

Commanders vs Cowboys best bet: Commanders -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.5.

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