NFL Picks

NFL picks for every game of the 2025-26 season. Our NFL expert picks are informed by key betting trends, statistical analysis and years of NFL betting experience. +56.7 units of profit, from 137 winning picks so far this season is the proof.

Our NFL picks this week include against the spread picks for every game in week 9, highlighted by Ravens vs Dolphins on Thursday night football, Seahawks vs Commanders on SNF and Monday Night football, featuring Cardinals vs Cowboys. Also in Week 9, the latest contest between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs, a match-up that has proved unmissable in recent years. Featuring two of the NFL’s elite Quarterbacks and a re-match of last season’s AFC Championship game.

Filter Picks

1:00 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

CBS

Falcons

Patriots

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

NE Patriots -5.5(-105)

Reasoning

The New England Patriots will try to extend their winning streak to 6 games when they entertain the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon. This hot stretch includes a victory over Buffalo, which is a big reason why New England (6-2) finds itself atop the AFC East. Meanwhile, the Falcons (3-4) are going in the other direction. They have dropped 2 straight, falling back under .500 for the second time this season. There isn’t any real reason to envision the tide turning for either team, so my Falcons vs Patriots pick is for the home side to win and cover. The Patriots have gotten stellar quarterback play from Drake Maye, already throwing for more than 2,000 yards to go along with 15 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions. Over the past 5 contests, Maye boasts a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 10-to-1.

Atlanta should have its QB back this weekend after Michael Penix Jr. missed 1 game with a bone bruise. However, that still doesn’t inspire much confidence – even if Penix is 100 percent. In the last game started by the left-hander, the Falcons scored only 10 points against an extremely banged-up 49ers defense. Since going wild in a Sunday Night Football win over the Bills earlier this month, Bijan Robinson has gained a mere 65 rushing yards over the past 2 outings. That is simply unacceptable for the offense as a whole. Atlanta’s defense is dealing with a ton of injuries, so it’s hard to feel good about the visitors on either side of the ball.

Falcons vs Patriots prediction: New England Patriots -5.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook for the football season, we recommend checking out Fanatics Sportsbook. New users can get $250 in FanCash INSTANTLY when they make their first $50 wager! Join Fanatics Sportsbook, where you can bet on our Falcons vs Patriots predictions.

BET -5.5 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Under 45.0(-110)

Reasoning

The Falcons will either be working with a possibly banged-up Penix or Kirk Cousins. Neither option is especially encouraging for Atlanta’s offense — an offense that is already sputtering. Even casual fans know that the Falcons’ recipe for success involves running the football with Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Somehow, though, that seems to have escaped the coaching staff. Even if the visitors do try to run the ball on Sunday, it won’t be easy. New England is second league wide in run defense and is holding opponents to just 3.5 yards per carry. That is a big reason why my Falcons vs Patriots pick is Under 45.

This looks like a favorable matchup for both defenses. Atlanta is #1 in the entire NFL in pass defense, allowing just 149.1 yards per contest through the air. I expect the Pats to engineer their fair share of scoring drives, but they may be more methodical than usual — taking a lot of time off clock. I don’t anticipate a boatload of possessions in this game. It is not with the utmost confidence because both offenses can be dangerous, but it’s a lean toward the under for me.

Falcons vs Patriots prediction: Under 45 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Now you can bet any of our Falcons vs Patriots predictions at FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a great new-customer offer to take advantage of. If you sign up for FanDuel right now, you earn a welcome bonus worth up to $300 if your first $5 bet wins! Use this link 🔗 to join FanDuel right now and learn more.

BET u45.0 NOW WITH

Ricky Dimon

1:00 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

Panthers

Packers

View Preview

Point Spread PickBest Bet

GB Packers -13.0(-110)

Reasoning

The Green Bay Packers enter this one rolling after their big win over Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers on Sunday Night Football, and will look to keep it going here against the Carolina Panthers, who appear to be getting Bryce Young back for this one. Young practiced fully this week, and appears set to return after a brief absence. For several reasons, I’m not optimistic about how his return will go. Young on the road at Lambeau at less than 100 percent health against a talented Green Bay defense led by Micah Parsons is a recipe for disaster.

Young almost always struggles with pressure, and with Rashan Gary and Parsons the Packers have quite the pass-rushing duo. Those two combined to sack Rodgers 3 times last week, and almost got him a bunch of other times. 4 of Green Bay’s 5 wins this season have come by 9+ points, so I’m not worried about their ability to run up the score against an inferior opponent like the Panthers. There was some talk that Carolina was much improved this season, but I was never buying it. 3 of their 4 wins this year were by extremely narrow margins against Dolphins, Cowboys and Jets teams that were struggling mightily, and the other was against the Falcons who they always randomly play well against.

Reality came crashing in last week when they were demolished at home by 31 points by a Bills team that certainly hasn’t looked unstoppable this year. Besides Tetairoa McMillan, there are virtually no pass-catchers to speak of on the roster. In fact, no other Panthers player has more than 159 yards receiving through 8 games, which is pretty insane. And McMillan is a rookie who has by no means been dominant and can’t be counted on to carry literally the entire load for the passing game. I don’t see many reasons to believe this one will be close.

Panthers vs Packers prediction: Green Bay Packers -13 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

You can bet on our Panthers vs Packers pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

BET -13.0 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Over 44.0(-110)

Reasoning

I lean toward the over here just because I can see the Packers coming close to sending this one over by themselves. Carolina’s defense is once again dreadful, and they’re coming off a game where they gave up 40 points to the Bills at home. Green Bay on the other hand just went into a hostile environment like Pittsburgh for a primetime game and dropped 35 on the road last week. Jordan Love had 360 yards on 9.7 YPA with 3 touchdowns last week, and should continue to cruise here.

Love is completing over 70 percent of his passes this year with only two interceptions through 7 games, and looks like a legit MVP candidate at this point. In large part thanks to his play, the Packers have scored at least 27 points in all but one game this season. Carolina has at least one bright spot on offense in Rico Dowdle, who is averaging a robust 5.6 yards per carry this year, and if the Panthers can get just a couple of touchdowns here I think this one will soar over.

Panthers vs Packers prediction: Over 44 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook, check out Bet365, the world’s #1 sportsbook. They have an amazing sign-up offer where you can INSTANTLY receive $200 in bonus bets from a $5 wager, regardless of whether that bet wins or loses! There’s no catch, it’s really that simple. Join Bet365 right now ⏰ in time to fade or follow our experts’ Panthers vs Packers predictions.

BET o44.0 NOW WITH

Andrew Ortenberg

1:00 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

CBS

Bears

Bengals

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

CIN Bengals +2.5(-105)

Reasoning

Both the Chicago Bears and Cincinnati Bengals hope to get back on the winning track when they square off in Week 9 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon in Cincinnati. The Bengals are coming off a disastrous loss to the previously winless Jets, but in general they are playing better than they were in the early stages of the season. Joe Flacco of all people has revitalized the offense after being acquired from Cleveland. Because Cincy’s offense is rolling, my Bears vs Bengals prediction is on the home side to cover. However, I would proceed with caution until Flacco’s status is confirmed (he is currently questionable because of a shoulder issue).

The Bears’ defense isn’t any good, so Flacco – if he plays – should be able to do some damage. Chicago is giving up the third-most yards per pass attempt at 7.8 and the third-most yards per rushing attempt at 5.3. It is #27 in rushing defense at 143.3 yards allowed per contest. On the other side of the ball, former #1 overall pick Caleb Williams is showing signs of life but still seemingly has a long way to go. He has not thrown a single touchdown pass over the past 2 games while getting picked off twice during this stretch. Give me the Bengals at home.

Bears vs Bengals prediction: Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Bet like a Caesar with this AMAZING new customer offer from Caesars Sportsbook. If you bet just $1, you’ll receive DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS on your next 20 bets! Become a Caesars member 👥 using the Caesars promo code PWCONTENT20X, where you can bet on our Bears vs Bengals picks.

BET +2.5 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Over 50.5(-120)

Reasoning

This projects to be an absolute track meet – which is nothing out of the ordinary for the Bengals. They are dead last in the NFL in total defense (407.9 yards per game allowed) and also last in scoring defense (31.6 ppg allowed). On the bright side for head coach Zac Taylor’s squad, its offense has been resurgent since the dog days of having Jake Browning under center in the immediate aftermath of Joe Burrow’s injury. Flacco has led his team to 33 and 38 points in the past 2 contests. That is part of the reason why my Bears vs Bengals pick is over 50.5.

The Bears should be able to contribute significantly to the total, as well. They find themselves in the top half of the league in both total offense and scoring offense – not a typical sight for this franchise. Chicago has scored at least 25 points in 4 of its last 5 outings and has been held below the 20-point mark only once this season. Williams has gained confidence under new head coach Ben Johnson and he should be able to do plenty of damage against a defense that ranks #28 in the NFL with only 11 sacks. It would be in the Bears’ best interest to put up a ton of points, too, because their defense stinks against both the run and the pass.

Bears vs Bengals prediction: Over 50.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to 52.

BET o51.0 NOW WITH

Ricky Dimon

1:00 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

CBS

Colts

Steelers

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

PIT Steelers +3.0(-105)

Reasoning

A pair of AFC division leaders hook up in Pittsburgh on Sunday when the Steelers (4-3) will try to snap a 2-game losing streak. The Colts (7-1) own the best record in the NFL and have scored the most points with 270. Moreover, they own the biggest point differential in the league at +116. Indianapolis torched Tennessee for the second time this season in a 38-14 rout as 14.5-point home favorites last week. RB Jonathan Taylor has already bypassed his rushing touchdown total from last season with 12 TDs in 8 games, including 2 more scores against the Titans.

The Steelers look to pick themselves up following consecutive losses to the Bengals and Packers. In last Sunday night’s 35-25 home defeat to Green Bay, Pittsburgh led 16-7 at the half. However, the Pack outscored the Steelers, 28-9 in the second half and Pittsburgh’s defense gave up at least 340 passing yards for a second straight game. QB Aaron Rodgers hasn’t thrown for more than 250 yards while wearing the black and gold yet, but has put up at least 2 TD passes in 3 straight games.

Pittsburgh is listed as a home underdog for the 2nd straight week, while Indianapolis looks to improve to 5-1 against the spread as a favorite this season. The Colts held off the Steelers, 27-24 last season as 2.5-point home underdogs, beating Pittsburgh for a 2nd straight season. Indianapolis leads the NFL in yards per game, while Pittsburgh ranks 30th in yards allowed per game.

Five of Indianapolis’ 7 wins have come against teams with losing records. The two victories over teams with winning records came in the final seconds against the Broncos in Week 2 and a blowout of the Chargers as a road underdog. The public will be all over the Colts in this one, but the Steelers are worth a strong look here to end their slide as a home underdog.

Colts vs Steelers prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET +3.0 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Under 50.5(-110)

Reasoning

Both Indianapolis and Pittsburgh have been strong over teams this season. The Colts are 5-3 to the over, while the Steelers are 5-2. Pittsburgh’s defense has been responsible for the latest string of overs, allowing 33 points to Cincinnati and 35 points to Green Bay the past 2 losses. Meanwhile, Indianapolis’ offense has produced 31 or more points in 6 games, but has given up at least 20 points in all 3 road contests.

In last season’s matchup in Indianapolis, the Colts held off a late Steelers’ rally in a 27-24 victory, easily going over the total of 41. Sunday’s total has shot up to 50.5, but it is worth noting that Justin Fields and Joe Flacco started that game. As we know, both are with different teams this season. Pittsburgh hasn’t seen a total of at least 50 since the 2020 season. There’s been one total in the 50s for Indianapolis this season, which stayed under in its lone loss to the Rams, 27-20 in Week 4.

QB Daniel Jones has thrown 9 TDs the last 4 games for the Colts. In 5 of the last 6 games, the Steelers have allowed at least 2 TD passes, which doesn’t seem sustainable. Pittsburgh is averaging 21.6 points per game at Acrisure Stadium, compared to 27.5 ppg on the road and in its one game in Dublin. It’s easy to think Indianapolis will continue to roll offensively and Pittsburgh will keep struggling defensively. However, with this being Pittsburgh’s highest total in almost 5 seasons, the under is worth a strong look here.

Colts vs Steelers pick: Under 50.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET u50.5 NOW WITH

Kevin Rogers

1:00 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

FOX

Vikings

Lions

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

DET Lions -8.5(-110)

Reasoning

We have a marquee matchup in the NFC North on our hands on Sunday as the Detroit Lions will host the Minnesota Vikings in a game that features a couple of teams trending in different directions. On one side, the Vikings have been sliding a bit and it all starts with a lack of consistency at the quarterback position. Carson Wentz was doing a serviceable enough job under center for Kevin O’Connell until the last few weeks, when the wheels came off the bus and Wentz couldn’t take any more hits while playing through an injury. Suddenly, second-year quarterback J.J. McCarthy is all healed up and ready to go this week, which has to make you question if he could’ve started a week earlier for a Minnesota offense that has struggled of late. Furthermore, the Vikings offensive line is still not healthy and Minnesota is also going up against a Lions defense that should be much healthier coming out of the bye week. It could be a long day for McCarthy and company.

On the other side of the ball, the Lions offense has been a well-oiled machine for the majority of the season, as Detroit sits at 6th in both EPA per play and success rate. There are plenty of avenues for Detroit to score in this game, and it all starts on the ground for Dan Campbell’s group. That success running the football should continue against a Vikings defense that is 23rd in EPA per rush allowed and 24th in explosive play rate allowed. If the Lions are able to jump out to an early lead, that could spell major trouble for a Minnesota team that isn’t really equipped to play from behind given its current quarterback situation. I’ll lay the points with the home team.

Vikings vs Lions prediction: Lions -8.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 9.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook, check out Bet365, the world’s #1 sportsbook. They have an amazing sign-up offer where you can INSTANTLY receive $200 in bonus bets from a $5 wager, regardless of whether that bet wins or loses! There’s no catch, it’s really that simple. ⏰ in time to fade or follow our experts’ Vikings vs Lions predictions.

BET -8.5 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Under 48.5(-110)

Reasoning

Games involving the Lions are typically defined by plenty of scoring, typically from both teams involved. However, I actually lean toward the under in this matchup, and it really comes down to my skepticism of Minnesota’s offense with McCarthy at the controls. Per EPA per play and success rate, McCarthy is one of the 3 worst quarterbacks in football this season (minimum 60 snaps) and even though Detroit is still working through some issues in its secondary, the Lions remain a very solid defense that should be able to generate pressure on the young quarterback thanks to a bad Minnesota offensive line. On the other side of the ball, the Lions are a run-first offense and that should be in the game plan for this week’s matchup considering how the Vikings have struggled defending the run this season. The under is the only way I can look in this one.

Under 48.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 48.

BET u48.0 NOW WITH

Caleb Wilfinger

1:00 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

CBS

49ers

Giants

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

NY Giants +2.5(-105)

Reasoning

The New York Giants will be hoping to end a 2-game losing streak when they host the San Francisco 49ers in Week 9 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. New York really isn’t playing that poorly, however. Head coach Brian Daboll’s squad beat the Eagles in Week 6, was dominating in Denver for 3 quarters in Week 7 and a loss at Philadelphia is obviously nothing to be ashamed about. A home date with an unspectacular San Francisco squad could be just what the doctor ordered to get back on track, so my 49ers vs Giants pick is on the home side to cover.

Cam Skattebo suffered a nasty dislocated ankle in Week 8, but the Giants also have Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary in the backfield. Aside from Skattebo being a sparkplug and emotional leader, that really isn’t any downgrade. As long as Jaxson Dart is under center, New York’s offense can produce. As for the 49ers’ offense, their quarterback situation is once again uncertain. Brock Purdy is questionable with the toe injury that has kept him on the sidelines since Week 1; if he can’t go, it will be Mac Jones once again getting the nod. The Niners have not played well since a 3-0 start. Their only win in regulation since Week 3 has come against an Atlanta team that is in terrible form. San Francisco has dropped 2 of its last 3 games and 3 of its last 5.

49ers vs Giants prediction: New York Giants +2.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

You can bet on our 49ers vs Giants pick at DraftKings Sportsbook, which has thousands of betting options available and a great new customer offer where you can get $200 in bonus bets instantly AND $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket! Click here 👈🏼 to sign up for a DraftKings account now.

BET +2.5 NOW WITH

Game Totals PickBest Bet

Under 48.5(-105)

Reasoning

It shouldn’t matter whether it’s Purdy or Jones under center for San Francisco. The offense does not inspire a whole lot of confidence with either guy running the show. McCaffrey is obviously great, but even though he has stayed healthy this season the running game has been pretty much nonexistent. The Stanford product is more of a receiver for this team. In fact, he is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. As such, it may not matter that the Giants are terrible against the pass; the fact that they are decent against the pass (6.7 yards per attempt allowed) bodes well for their chances of containing the 49ers. That is part of the reason why my 49ers vs Giants pick is under 48.5.

Skattebo’s absence should not hurt significantly, but it also doesn’t help my any means. It’s also an emotional letdown — especially for Dart. I don’t care how promising the Ole Miss product looks as a rookie; when you are missing your RB1 and WR1 (Malik Nabers is out for the year with a torn ACL), it’s a problem. San Francisco’s defense ranks #11 against the pass and #13 in yards per rushing attempt allowed, so it’s a unit that does not have any huge holes even though it has been dealing with all kinds of injuries. That’s a testament to the acumen of defensive coordinator Robert Saleh. I think all signs point to a relatively low-scoring affair on Sunday.

49ers vs Giants prediction: Under 48.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to 47.

BET u48.5 NOW WITH

Ricky Dimon

4:05 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

CBS

Jaguars

Raiders

View Preview

Point Spread PickBest Bet

JAX Jaguars -3.0(+100)

Reasoning

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-3) were on top of the world after rallying from a 14-0 deficit to stun the Kansas City Chiefs, 31-28 in Week 5. However, the Jags have dropped their last two games to the Seahawks and Rams, as Jacksonville heads to Las Vegas following the bye week. The Raiders (2-5) are also off the bye, as they were shut out by the Chiefs, 31-0 in Week 7. Jacksonville traveled to London in Week 7 to face the Rams and were blown out, 35-7. For the exception of rookie WR Travis Hunter scoring his first NFL touchdown, there weren’t many highlights for the Jags. Following consecutive outings of 26 points against San Francisco and 31 points against Kansas City, the Jaguars combined for 19 points in their last two losses.

The Raiders somehow beat the Patriots in Week 1 on the road, but Las Vegas has lost five of its past six games. Pete Carroll’s team has been held to six points in its last two losses, but busted out for 20 points in its second victory of the season against Tennessee in Week 6. QB Geno Smith has struggled this season, throwing for less than 200 yards in four of six games since posting 362 yards in the Week 1 win at New England. These teams met late last season at Allegiant Stadium, as the Raiders held off the Jaguars, 19-14. However, the two starting quarterbacks for that game were Mac Jones for Jacksonville and Aidan O’Connell for Las Vegas. Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence threw for a season-best 296 yards against the Rams, but also posted a season-low completion percentage of 47.9%. The last 4 losses for the Raiders as an underdog came by 31, 34, 17, and 11 points. After Jacksonville has struggled the last 2 games against 2 solid NFC West teams, this is a good spot to back them as a road favorite to beat Las Vegas.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction: Jaguars -3 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET -3.0 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Over 44.5(-110)

Reasoning

The Raiders are in the midst of a 3-0 Under run the last three games, scoring a total of 26 points. Las Vegas had posted 24 points in each of the previous two games to Chicago and Washington, but the offense has stalled out of late, capped off by a shutout loss at Kansas City. Jacksonville is also on a short Under run, hitting it in the last two losses to Seattle and Los Angeles. The Jaguars scored 31 points in their comeback victory over Kansas City in Week 5, but Jacksonville has been limited to 19 points in the past two losses. In three games away from North Florida, the Jags have allowed an average of 29.0 points per game, while the Under is 2-1. In their 2 true road games, the Over of 49.5 easily hit at Cincinnati and the Over of 46 barely cashed at San Francisco.

The Raiders scored 3 TDs in a home loss to the Bears, but posted a total of 2 TDs in their other two home games against the Chargers and Titans. Las Vegas is 4-1 to the Under in five games as an underdog this season, while the Raiders have given up 20 or less points in two of three home games. Last season’s matchup saw the total close at 41.5 as the Raiders beat the Jaguars, 19-14 with both teams starting backup quarterbacks. Sunday’s total is up to 44.5 as Jacksonville is 4-1 to the Over in QB Trevor Lawrence’s last five true road games since last season. The Jags should be able to score against this Raiders’ secondary, while Jacksonville has struggled defensively the last few games.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction: Over 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET o44.5 NOW WITH

Kevin Rogers

4:05 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

FOX

Saints

Rams

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

LA Rams -14.0(-110)

Reasoning

The Tyler Shough era is officially upon us in New Orleans, as the Saints will give the rookie quarterback the reins here for the first time against the Los Angeles Rams. Spencer Rattler is hitting the bench, and while Rattler wasn’t exactly putting up All-Pro numbers, I’m skeptical this will help New Orleans’ offense in the short term. This is clearly a long term play to see what the second-round pick has, and to see whether the Saints need to draft another quarterback next April.

There’s no reason to believe that Shough is ready to come in and look like an NFL starter from Game 1 based on what we saw in the preseason and training camp, when he was very much up and down. Say what you want about Rattler, but he’s actually been competent and has protected the ball well this year, and I think this is a big downgrade at least for the time being. Shough is being thrown out on the road against a tough Rams team that just had a bye week to heal up and prepare for this one. Los Angeles won back-to-back games entering the bye by a combined score of 52-10.

The Saints, on the other hand, are 1-7, most recently getting drubbed 23-3 at home to a beat-up Bucs team. Their only win of the season came at home against the lowly Giants right at the beginning of Jaxon Dart’s time as the starter. Four of their last 5 defeats have been by at least 12 points, so I don’t worry too much here about laying the large spread with the Rams, who have certainly shown their capable of running up the score. In their most recent game against the Jags in London, they won by 28 as Matthew Stafford threw for 5 touchdowns.

Saints vs Rams prediction: Los Angeles Rams -14 (-110) available at publishing. Playable at that number.

BET -14.0 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Under 44.0(-110)

Reasoning

The Tyler Shough era is officially upon us in New Orleans, as the Saints will give the rookie quarterback the reins here for the first time against the Los Angeles Rams. Spencer Rattler is hitting the bench, and while Rattler wasn’t exactly putting up All-Pro numbers, I’m skeptical this will help New Orleans’ offense in the short term. This is clearly a long term play to see what the second-round pick has got, and to see whether the Saints need to draft another quarterback next April.

But there’s no reason to believe that Shough is ready to come in and look like an NFL starter from Game 1 based on what we saw in the preseason and training camp, when he was very much up and down. Say what you want about Rattler but he’s actually been competent and has protected the ball well this year, and I think this is a big downgrade at least for the time being. Shough is being thrown out on the road against a tough Rams team that just had a bye week to heal up and prepare for this one. Los Angeles won back to back games entering the bye by a combined score of 52-10. The Saints on the other hand are 1-7, most recently getting drubbed 23-3 at home to a beat up Bucs team.

Their only win of the season came at home against the lowly Giants right at the beginning of Jaxon Dart’s time as the starter. 4 of their last 5 defeats have been by at least 12 points, so I don’t worry too much here about laying the large spread with the Rams, who have certainly shown their capable of running up the score. In their most recent game against the Jags in London, they won by 28 as Matthew Stafford threw for 5 touchdowns.

Under 44 at publishing.

BET u44.0 NOW WITH

Andrew Ortenberg

4:25 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

CBS

Chiefs

Bills

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

BUF Bills +2.5(-115)

Reasoning

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills have an interesting history over the last four seasons. The Bills are 4-0 against the Chiefs in the regular season and 0-3 in the postseason since 2021. These AFC powers meet at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park as the Bills look to build off a 40-9 road blowout of the Panthers last Sunday as 7.5-point favorites. Buffalo entered its game at Carolina off a bye and a two-game losing streak. Bills’ RB James Cook ran for 216 yards and 2 TDs, while QB Josh Allen rushed for a pair of TDs. The Bills covered for the first time in five games, as Buffalo limited an opponent to single-digits for the first time this season. The Chiefs have won all five games this season by 13 or more, capped off by Monday’s 28-7 rout of Washington as 10-point home favorites.

During this 3-game winning streak, Kansas City has allowed 24 points, with 17 of those coming to Detroit in Week 6. Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes has thrown 3 TDs in each of those victories, while completing 73.7% of his passes. In last year’s regular season meeting in Buffalo, the Bills beat the Chiefs, 30-23 even though Mahomes posted 3 TD passes. In the AFC championship game, Kansas City held off Buffalo, 32-29, the third playoff victory in the series decided by six points or less. The Bills won outright in their only opportunity as an underdog in their comeback triumph over the Ravens in Week 1, 41-40. The Chiefs are 1-2 ATS in three favorite opportunities away from Arrowhead Stadium, including outright losses to the Chargers and Jaguars. Let’s ride the trend of this series and back the Bills as a short underdog to beat the Chiefs here in a regular season matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills prediction: Bills +2.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +2.

You can bet on our Chiefs vs Bills pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

BET +2.0 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Over 52.5(-105)

Reasoning

Both matchups last season between Kansas City and Buffalo finished Over the total. In the regular season meeting in Buffalo, the Bills won 30-21 as QB Josh Allen’s late TD run got the game Over the total of 47.5. In the AFC Championship in Kansas City, the Chiefs held off the Bills, 32-29 on a 49 total, as the total cashed with 10 minutes left in the fourth quarter. This season the Chiefs are 2-1 to the Over in 3 games away from home, including in the Monday night loss at Jacksonville. Kansas City is 5-3 to the Under this season, as the defense has stepped up by allowing seven points in the past two games. The Bills are 4-3 to the Over, including a 3-1 Over mark at Highmark Stadium. In three of four home games, Buffalo has scored at least 31 points.

In the last four matchups, Allen has thrown 5 TDs, while Mahomes has tossed 7 TDs. Both the Bills and Chiefs rank in the top-5 of the NFL in yards per game, while Buffalo leads the league in rushing yards per game at 164.4. On the flip side, the Bills are second in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game, followed by the Chiefs. In three games with a total of 50 or higher, the Bills are 2-1 this season, while Kansas City finished Under against Detroit on a 52.5 total. Buffalo has faced one quarterback that ranks in the top-15 in passing yards this season, which is New England’s Drake Maye. Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes is second in the NFL in passing yards with 2,099, which will be a test for this Buffalo defense. The Chiefs have faced two subpar offenses the last two weeks in Washington and Las Vegas. The history between the Chiefs and Bills suggests that there will be points scored here and the Over is worth a strong look in this battle of AFC powers.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills prediction: Over 52.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET o52.5 NOW WITH

Kevin Rogers

8:20 PM ET

Sun Nov 2

NBC

Seahawks

Commanders

View Preview

Point Spread PickBest Bet

WAS Commanders +3.5(-120)

Reasoning

NFL media is all over the Washington Commanders right now. Fresh off the heels of an embarrassing showing on Monday Night Football in which they lost 7-28 at Kansas City, injuries and concerns about their postseason chances are flooding news outlets. Last season, Jayden Daniels was the popular new kid at school. He was flashy, calm, and unflappable even as a rookie in the postseason. But injuries, including multiple to Daniels this season, have started to derail hope.

Last week it got worse. They only managed to gain 260 total yards and 14 first downs, routinely failing to get into scoring range (just 1/2 in the red-zone) and putting their defense on the field far too often (KC led time of possession 34-26). Even more problematic is their new slew of injuries: kicker Matt Gay has back issues, All-Pro lineman Laremy Tunsil left Monday with a hamstring problem, Terry McClaurin returned on Monday but reportedly felt uncertain about his quad issues following the contest, and, at this juncture, we’re still not sure if Daniels will play in Week 9. According to Dan Quinn, their enigmatic starting QB is expected to practice on Wednesday.

In short, this feels like an “all-in” type of game for the Commanders, who could fall to 3-7 if they lose their next 2 battles (vs. SEA, vs. DET). They’ll be the underdogs in each matchup, and they know they need to win now.

In complete contrast to their foe, Seattle is coming off their bye-week with seemingly no issues. Pro Football Focus ranks the Seahawks as the 2nd-best program in the NFL, #2 on offense and #7 on defense. They have no notable injuries, with perennially banged up Devon Witherspoon and Julian Love trending in the right direction. Perhaps most impressive is their passing prowess, a catalyst to a surprising top-5 offense that brings a #1 ranked 9.0 yards per pass into the nation’s capitol on Sunday night.

This is the time of year where desperate teams play much better. Judging by Quinn’s comments, it looks like Jayden Daniels will be in line to play on Sunday night. Most of Washington’s injured players are questionable and trending in the right direction, and they’re back in DC until December 7th – over a full month of hometown comforts to get right. In the back of our minds, we still know what Daniels and the Commanders are capable of, and now their backs are against the wall. This is simply a spot to take the underdog, regardless of what the analytics suggest.

Seahawks vs Commanders best bet: Washington Commanders +3.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to 3.

BET +3.5 NOW WITH

Game Totals Pick

Over 46.5(-110)

Reasoning

The Seahawks are a hard team to figure out from a totals perspective. Right in line with the well-balanced product they put out on a weekly basis, through 7 weeks of action they’re 4-3 to the over. Even in the games where they went over, it’s not like they faced a who’s-who of explosive offenses (PIT, NO, TB, HOU). But one thing is for sure: the Seattle offense is humming.

Sam Darnold has been incredibly consistent. The 2018 3rd overall pick might’ve found his long-term home, passing for 244.4 yards per game (8th) despite throwing the ball less than 30 other programs (they call pass plays just 50,37%, a 31st ranking). This has created an explosive operation that’s 3rd in yards (6.0) and 4th in points per play.

Unfortunately for the home team, that’s where their defense struggles most: allowing explosive plays. Washington ranks 29th in opponent yards per play (5.9) and struggles in the red-zone, too, permitting a touchdown on 64.29% of possessions inside the 20 (25th).

The total will be decided when Washington has the ball, since it’s likely Seattle will score plenty. Seattle is a top-10 defense in most categories, including a 3rd-best mark in opponent yards per play (4.7), but as you’re probably gathering from all these statistics, the margins are small. A healthy Jayden Daniels means the Commanders are capable of feats like we saw in Week 5, when virtually no one predicted they would waltz into Los Angeles and dominate the Chargers, a game where they put up 27 and gained 7.1 yards per play.

Daniels changes the Commanders’ entire ceiling. Combine that with the desperate nature of their current situation and it’s a recipe that strongly suggests we’ll see more production than usual.

Seahawks vs Commanders prediction: Over 46.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 47.

You can bet on our Seahawks vs Commanders pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

BET o46.5 NOW WITH

Chris R. Farley

8:15 PM ET

Mon Nov 3

ABC, ESPN

Cardinals

Cowboys

View Preview

Point Spread Pick

DAL Cowboys -2.5(-115)

Reasoning

Week 8 was another routine, poor performance from the Cowboys. Away from AT&T Stadium, Dallas realized their 4th loss of the season. For their fans, it wasn’t for the meek of heart. In most ways, the Broncos eviscerated the visitors, accruing 44 points and 426 yards on 7.5 yards per play. Through the air, Bo Nix was electric, hitting 8.5 yards per pass and leading Denver to a pristine 4 touchdowns on 5 red-zone attempts. It was yet another indignation of the Cowboys’ defense, a group that was without Trevon Diggs –who’s now on injured reserve – and has been one of the worst units in the NFL all season (31st in opponent yards, points per play, opponent yards and points per game).

The good news is that Dallas is a different team at home, especially on offense. In 3 games at “Jerry’s’ world,” the Cowboys have averaged a ridiculous 41 points per game, and they did it against 2 NFC East foes (NYG, WAS) as well as the Packers, who qualify as a top-3 defense according to Pro Football Focus.

The Cardinals rank 24th in the same category, which is our biggest issue with betting on Arizona. Of course, Kyler Murray will return in Week 9, which many see as an upgrade. We’re not so certain. Jacoby Brissett played well in 2 starts for Arizona, putting up respectable numbers (599 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 interception) against 2 of the NFL’s best teams (IND, GB). Murray has been average at best this season, leading a mediocre passing attack that was averaging 5.97 yards per pass, a bottom-3 ranking.

No matter what way we look at it, the Cardinals have lost 5 games in a row for a reason. Their offense is often out-of-sync, and their defense rarely plays up to expectations for a full 4 quarters. Dallas has been a buzzsaw at home, and right now they have the far better quarterback.

Cardinals vs Cowboys best bet: Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 3.

BET -2.5 NOW WITH

Game Totals PickBest Bet

Over 53.0(-120)

Reasoning

To allege that the Cardinals might be able to slow down or limit the Cowboys’ offense, we would need substantial evidence to support such a claim. Unfortunately for Arizona fans, that doesn’t exist. While the visiting team has some respectable marks, like their 6th-place ranking in opponent third-down conversion rate (35.29%) and 7th-place ranking in opponent yards per pass (6.5), most data points suggest that they’re average at best. They are 13th in opponent points (22) and 19th in opponent yards per game (335.7), but even that data is somewhat positively skewed since they’ve faced poor offenses like New Orleans, Carolina, Tennessee, and a tremendously-injured 49ers’ roster in Week 3 (and they still lost). Against superior offenses like Seattle, Indianapolis and Green Bay, the Cardinals permitted 27 points per game.

The Cowboys are statistically better than all of those NFL offenses but the Colts, and they’re far better than every program at home. Putting up 41 points per game at AT&T Stadium is one thing, averaging 441 yards at home is another. The addition of George Pickens has meant a significant uptick in production for Dak Prescott and their air-attack, a receiver that started to shine when CeeDee Lamb had to sit out in 4 contests this season. Now Pickens and Lamb are both healthy and apparently thick as thieves, 2 buddies who make it their goal to punish enemy defenses every week. Together they’ve accrued 1,091 yards and 7 touchdowns. On Monday they’ll battle a defense that’s 27th in opponent pass completion percentage (62.05%) and 25th in opponent pass yards per game (234.9). Without any weather interruptions, there is only one way to look.

Cardinals vs Cowboys prediction: Over 53 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to 54.5.

BET o54.0 NOW WITH

Chris R. Farley

Why Trust our NFL Picks

Through the first eight weeks of the 2025 season our record speaks for itself. Our team of handicappers have racked up 70 winning NFL against the spread and moneyline picks (and 1 push), for +35.4 units of profit. On top of that, our NFL over/under picks have landed on 67 games, for a profit of +21.3 units. When you combine the two, our expert NFL picks have scored +56.7 units of profit so far this season.

Pick	Wins	Losses	Profit (betting units)
Sides (ATS & Moneyline)	70	50	+35.4
Over/Under	67	54	+21.3
Total	137	104	+56.7

We’re coming off a great week, with a profit of +30.2 units in week 8 alone. We had 18 wins from 26 picks. Including 11 winning totals picks.

At Pickswise, every NFL pick is backed by years of betting experience, advanced data analysis, and a proven track record of success. Our team of handicappers studies line movement, injury reports, historical trends, and matchup stats to deliver informed recommendations — not guesses. We publish our results openly, update our predictions as new information emerges, and never hide behind vague analysis. Whether you’re looking for expert spreads, totals, props, or parlays, our mission is simple: give you honest, well-researched picks that stand up over time.

Free NFL Picks Explained

We firmly believe expert NFL picks should be free, so you’ll find our NFL picks today, and every day of the season, right here. We publish our free NFL picks for every game, at least a few days in advance of gameday, so you know who the experts are backing without missing out on the early value in the betting markets.

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, moneyline, over/under, NFL Parlays, and NFL Prop Bets, there is a bet type for every kind of football fan, so we provide NFL picks for every bet type. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to have a diverse range and bet on anything they feel is a value pick.

Here at Pickswise, we have something for everyone. Our team of handicappers have a wealth of experience in making NFL picks across all these betting markets, leaving no stone unturned ahead of every game and every pick of the 2025 NFL season. If you’re looking for more information on NFL bet types, You can find our expert breakdown of each below.

NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect, in other words, not lose by that same amount of points.

For Example

Philadelphia Eagles -7 – Philadelphia must win by 8 or more points to cover the spread.
Chicago Bears +7 – Chicago must win, or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Tie Scenario – If the game ended 27-20 to Philadelphia, the spread would be a tie, or a push and stakes would be returned.

NFL spread betting trends 2025

The team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.
Road teams going into games as the favorite have covered the spread at 64% so far this season
Teams coming off a blowout loss (20+ points) tend to rebound against the spread, 57% of the time.

Free NFL Over / Under Picks

Another exciting way to still get in on the NFL action is with totals wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. Already since sports betting has been legalized we’ve seen many occasions where a hail mary, missed FG or XP has cost over or unders bettors, so be prepared to be in for the long haul with your totals bets. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing insight into the game as a whole alongside expert NFL picks so you can make informed NFL totals bets.

NFL over / under betting trends

Overall, unders have proven the value pick in recent seasons, as defenses have caught up with scoring trending down since 2021
Unders bets have the edge in divisional games, landing 57% of the time. This trend gets stronger late in the season (week 13 onwards), especially in cold weather conditions.
Unders bets have landed on 58% of primetime games, as public betting tends to have a bias for the overs in these games.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams only need to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of bettors like to keep it simple and take our expert NFL Money Line picks and bet on the NFL straight up.

NFL Moneyline betting trends

Through the first 4 weeks of the 2025 season 6+ point favourites have been strong straight up, with a 16-2-1 record
Short underdogs (+1 to +3 on the spread) win outright 43% of the time, offering better value on the moneyline than the spread
Underdogs in lower scoring road games (less than 42 total points) win outright 39% of the time, but often at better prices than this record suggests.

2025-26 NFL Schedule

This will be the 106th season in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on Thursday, September 4, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Philadelphia Eagles, who take on the Dallas Cowboys. The regular season will come to a conclusion on January 4, 2026 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 10th, 11th & 12th of January 2026. Super Bowl LX is scheduled for February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco, California, the home of the 49ers.

NFL Playoff Picks

You can find our NFL picks for the 2026 Playoffs, right here, for free. Wildcard Weekend is scheduled to start January 10, upon the conclusion of week 18 our experts start to make their picks and predictions for the first round of the playoffs and after each round is concluded we prepare for the coming weekend, all the way up to the Super Bowl.

NFL Playoff Picks
NFL Wildcard Weekend Picks
NFL Divisional Round Picks
NFL Conference Championship Picks

NFL Expert Picks

Our NFL Football picks will be for every game throughout the regular season, with primetime games and the top matchups each week getting additional expert coverage which will extend to every playoff game. These NFL Football picks will come alongside analysis and the latest stats and trends to consider when betting. You can also find our NFL Best Bets for the top plays of the week and a confidence rating for our expert handicapper.

Looking for alternative football picks? then head to our College Football Picks page, where you’ll find the same level of expertise from the Pickswise handicapping team for all the headline games in the 2025 NCAA football season.

More Than Just NFL Football Picks

We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

Andrew Wilsher, Managing Editor of Pickswise

Statistical Approach to NFL Picks

It’s our goal to provide you with the best NFL picks in the market. Our expert handicappers are all specially selected and assessed prior to joining the team to ensure their analysis. experience and results are among the best in the industry. Each capper will put hours of research into each pick and many have built statistical models to find their moneyline, spread and over/under picks so you don’t have to. Check out all of our cappers’ free NFL picks here every week of the season.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor

NFL Picks FAQs

How Do You Pick Against The Spread In The NFL?

To bet against the spread in the NFL you are either betting the favorite to win by x number of points or the underdog to win, or lose by fewer than x points. For example the Chiefs -7 points or the Panthers +7 points.

The number of points is set by sportsbooks and is often referred to as the line

What Is The Best Website For NFL Picks Against The Spread?

Pickswise is the best website to get free NFL picks against the spread. Our handicappers provide free insight, analysis, and data to back up which way they’re siding against the spread for every NFL game. So far this NFL season our experts have secured 86 winning NFL picks for a profit of 26 units

Where Is The Best Place To Get NFL Picks?

Pickswise is the best place to get free expert NFL picks. We have the best cappers and NFL picks on the market and you can get all of our NFL picks for free! every week.

Each pick is meticulously researched by an experienced NFL handicapper, using our own data, custom-built models, and analytical methods. Our profit this season is 26 units and rising, so don’t miss out on the best NFL picks this week.