NFL week thirteen picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free NFL week thirteen expert picks below. Get free NFL picks every week of the season.

Thu, Nov 28th - 12:30pm ET:
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions

Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
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CHI Bears -2.5 Point Spread
-120
Under 39.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The first of three Thanksgiving NFL games here as the Detroit Lions host the Chicago Bears. Not exactly a marquee matchup. It might not be pretty, but you have to take the Bears here. Detroit is falling apart, and Matt Patricia looks like he’s lost the locker room. The Lions lost to the lowly Redskins in their most recent game, and Jeff Driskel isn’t going to do much here. Mitch Trubisky should be able to game-manage his way to a victory, and the Bears technically still have something to play for. Detroit has virtually nothing going for them at the moment, and I think they’ll be more focused on what they are having for Thanksgiving dinner after the game than this contest. UPDATE 11/27: David Blough will now start at quarterback for Detroit and the line has moved to Bears -4.5. I still lean Bears, Blough will find it difficult to pass the ball against a Bears secondary which ranks seventh in defensive pass efficiency.

Over Under Pick

The real play I like here though is the under. This number is already low, but it’s not low enough. Both of these offenses and quarterbacks are inept, and you should be seeing a ton of punts here as you await your Thanksgiving dinner. Trubisky has regressed considerably this year, and he is also going to be without his starting right tackle Bobby Massie after he went down with an ankle injury this past week. Driskel was horrendous this past week against the Redskins and tossed three interceptions while taking six sacks, and I don’t see how he gets any better here against a defense that is still one of the league’s best units. Chicago held Daniel Jones to just 150 yards on 36 attempts last Sunday, so I don’t see them giving up much here. This one should be a snoozefest, and I don’t see either side clearing 20 points.

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Thu, Nov 28th - 4:30pm ET:
Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys

Buffalo Bills
Dallas Cowboys
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DAL Cowboys -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 45.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

For the second of three Thanksgiving games the Buffalo Bills will visit the Dallas Cowboys. Buffalo might be 8-3, but they sure don’t deserve to be. They’ve played one of the easiest schedules in the entire league, and they’ve only beaten one opponent with a winning record and that was the Titans. They’re bound to get exposed, and I think it comes here. Dallas is coming off a rough loss, after which Jerry Jones publicly called out his coaching staff. I think this is a game where the team rallies around Jason Garrett, and they come out with their best effort. They absolutely need to win this game to stay atop the NFC East, while I think the Bills might get a bit complacent with their recent run of success. Buffalo’s defense has been good but they’ve been susceptible to the run, which fits exactly what the Cowboys want to do. Dak Prescott had been playing at an MVP level before last week, so I’m expecting a bounce-back came from him here as well. Lay it with Dallas.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under in this spot. Josh Allen has been really bad when he has to play good defenses, and this will be a tough test for him. Buffalo’s weakness is their run defense, so I expect to see a heavy dose of Ezekiel Elliott which will keep the clock running and ensure this one doesn’t turn into a shootout. I don’t expect the Bills to do much scoring at all, and the Cowboys should keep it pretty conservative against Buffalo’s ferocious pass rush and secondary. This one should be pretty sleepy.

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Thu, Nov 28th - 8:20pm ET:
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
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NO Saints -6.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Thanksgiving slate will wrap up here with a game between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints. The Falcons pulled off a shocking upset of New Orleans just a couple of weeks ago, and they are relatively large underdogs once again here. New Orleans didn’t look great in their narrow win over Carolina this past week, but I don’t think it matters too much. The brief talk of a Falcons resurgence was always comical, and it clearly wasn’t going to last. That was made abundantly clear this past week, when Atlanta got blown out by the Buccaneers. The Saints have revenge on their mind from their upset loss, and they are still playing for the top seed in the NFC playoffs. Atlanta doesn’t have much to play for at all, and it seems inevitable that head coach Dan Quinn will be fired in a number of weeks. Lay it with New Orleans.

Over Under Pick

I like the under even more here. The Saints were dealt a big blow earlier this week, when it was announced that left tackle Terron Armstead would miss this game with an ankle injury. With left guard Andrus Peat also sidelined, the Saints will be without their entire left side of the offensive line for this one. The Saints’ defense has quietly been the stronger unit on the team, and I think they are going to dominate Atlanta here. The Falcons just had a very tough time scoring on Tampa Bay, so I don’t see them doing too much in this one. The Falcons are dealing with their own injuries on offense, including to star tight end Austin Hooper. In a bitter division rivalry game I expect both sides to struggle offensively, and this total is way too high.

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Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
San Francisco 49ers @ Baltimore Ravens

San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
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BAL Ravens -5.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 46.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

One of the most highly anticipated matchups of the 2019 NFL season here as the Baltimore Ravens take on the San Francisco 49ers in a potential Super Bowl preview. Baltimore has been absurdly good recently, winning each of their last three games by at least 34 points. They just demolished the Rams and Texans in back-to-back weeks, and I don’t think San Francisco is going to be able to slow them down. San Francisco’s defense has looked great at times, but they’ve also gotten exposed when they’ve had to play creative offenses. In each of their two games against the Cardinals for example, they gave up at least 25 points. They’ve given up at least 25 in three of their last four overall, so I don’t see them slowing down the presumptive MVP Lamar Jackson. I’m still not high on Jimmy Garoppolo, and I’m not giving them too much credit for beating up on an overrated Packers team at home. Lay the points with Baltimore here.

Over Under Pick

 The under also makes a lot of sense here. I had questions about Baltimore’s defense early on this season, but they have all been answered. Their secondary was really banged up earlier in the year, but now that they have Jimmy Smith back from injury and Marcus Peters because of their trade with the Rams, the unit is elite. With those two at corner and Earl Thomas at safety, I don’t think San Francisco is going to be able to get anything going down the field here. The Ravens obviously have a run-first philosophy, which will help keep this one relatively low scoring. Garoppolo only performs well when the circumstances are ideal, which they won’t be on the road for an early kick-off here. I expect him to struggle, and the Ravens will be doing most of the scoring.

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
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IND Colts -2.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 43.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Pivotal AFC South clash here as the Indianapolis Colts host the Tennessee Titans. Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives, and each side enters this one at 6-5. Everyone has been hopping on the Ryan Tannehill bandwagon and while it’s a nice story, I’m not buying the hype. Each of Tennessee’s recent wins have had more to do with their opponents incompetence than anything they’ve done well, and I think their luck will run out here. All four of their recent wins came at home, and the one time they played on the road with Tannehill they got smoked by the Panthers. The Colts have now lost three of their past four games, but two of those losses were because they had Brian Hoyer at quarterback, and most recently they lost narrowly by three points on the road against the division-leading Texans. Indianapolis’ defense has started to play really well now that they’re healthy, and they’ve given up 20 or fewer points in each of their last three games. They’ll win this one easily.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under here. Tennessee’s last three wins have come against Tampa Bay, Kansas City, and Jacksonville, three defenses that are all playing poorly at the moment. This will be a rude awakening for Tannehill, and Derrick Henry and the ground game won’t have as much success here. Indianapolis is a run-first team as well, so both sides should keep the clock turning and ensure this one doesn’t turn into a shootout. Henry’s dealing with a hamstring injury, and he might not be 100% even if he does play here. The Colts also look like they’re going to be without starting running back Marlon Mack, as well as tight end Eric Ebron. The under is also 11-3 in the last 14 times the Colts have hosted the Titans.

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
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CLE Browns -2.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 38.5 Game Totals
+100

Against The Spread Pick

The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers will meet for the final time in the regular season as just two weeks ago the Browns destroyed the Steelers on Thursday Night Football with the ugliest brawl in NFL history with Myles Garrett slamming Steelers helmet against the head of Mason Rudolph. A lot has changed in those two weeks as Rudolph will not be the starting QB here as the Steelers made it official on Tuesday and announced QB Devlin Hodges will start Sunday. One of those reasons being Rudolph completed only eight of his 16 attempts for 85 yards with an interception to start the game last week against the Bengals. The change was needed and Hodges came in and finished the game with 118 passing yards with a touchdown in relief of Rudolph. It was barely enough to take down the Bengals last week, but the Steelers offense will still be hurting on the offensive side of the ball. With running back James Conner most likely out, and JuJu a 50/50 shot of planning, this offense will once again struggle. As for the Browns, they are the dark horse to close out the season on fire as they have only committed one turnover the past four games and have committed 17 penalties the last three games combined. This is a new Browns team and I’m confident they can easily take down the Steelers once again.

Over Under Pick

The total has gone Under in seven of Pittsburgh’s last nine games and with starters once again being out for the Steelers on the offensive side of the ball, there is no reason to hit that Over here. This will be a dog-fight divisional game once again as the more talented Browns roster will once again raise the occasion, score fast and early and hold onto the lead. This is the nail in the coffin for the Steelers season as the Browns control this game from start to finish. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games this season and in 15 of Cleveland’s last 20 games played in December. Take the Under with Confidence here on Sunday.

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jacksonville Jaguars
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TB Buccaneers -2.0 Point Spread
-110
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

We have two NFL teams battling it out that had so much potential to start the new season, but find themselves both near the bottom of the standings come Week 13. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars as the Bucs are looking to keep their winning streak alive. The Buccaneers once again shocked the world with another upset victory, this time against the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday as a 3.5-point road underdog. Even though quarterback Jameis Winston had two interceptions on the day, he bounced back fairly well throwing for 313 passing yards and three touchdowns. Winston has been able to eat up poor secondaries and takes on a secondary on Sunday that is allowing 242 passing yards at home per game. Ever since the Jaguars made the switch over the QB Nick Foles, they have been a train wreck. The front office does not want to admit it, but Jacksonville was better off with QB Gardner Minshew. This past Sunday, Foles threw for an average of 5.66 yards per attempt. On the flip side, Minshew only had one game under 6.45 yards per attempt in his starts. Short passes will not win games as everyone should lean with the quarterback who might create turnovers but will air it out big time when needed. Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the NFC conference as the play here is the Buccaneers.

Over Under Pick

The Buccaneers love to gamble and will call the big plays on any down they want. It has shown in the past nine weeks as the big plays have helped the Over-hit an incredible nine straight games so far. With this being a possible do-or-die moment for the Nick Foles starting, expect Jacksonville to have some urgency in their play-calling as Winston and the Buccaneers will continue to gun it out. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and 12-2 in Buccaneers last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. No reason to jump off the train now as the Over has been a huge hit the whole season for the Buccaneers. As long as they stay in the game, this game is crossing the Over with ease. Time to ride the Over once again!

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants

Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
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GB Packers -6.5 Point Spread
-110
Over 44.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Green Bay Packers are looking to turn the page and FAST as they head into New York to take on the Giants. Luckily for the Packers, the Giants are nowhere near the level of the San Francisco 49ers who embarrassed them on Sunday night football. Rookie quarterback Daniel Jones and the Giants have been a hot mess since the benching of Eli Manning as New York lost seven straight and is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog. Expect the Packers to bounce back huge here as the Giants are only stopping 39% of third-down tries this season. That is where the Packers struggled last week as they did not convert on any of their 13 third-down opportunities against the 49ers. Rodgers is coming off a 104 passing yards performance with getting sacked five times and losing a fumble. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last six following a loss by 14 points or more as the play here is the Packers as they have to keep pace in the NFC North now.

Over Under Pick

Even though the Packers should easily roll over the New York Giants in this one, expect a strong fight out of Saquon Barkley and Jones. Remember the Giants are going up against a team that is allowing 255 passing yards and 125.5 rushing yards per game. The opportunity is there for the Giants to score some points in this one. Expect Barkley to showcase why he is still one of the best backs in the league and cause problems for the Packers. This one has a potential shootout written all over it before the Packers take control late in the game. The Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games on fieldturf and 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Give me the Over here as Barkley does just enough to help this game hit the Over.

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers

Washington Redskins
Carolina Panthers
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CAR Panthers -10.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 39.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The rookie finally did it as quarterback Dwayne Haskins got his first NFL victory of his career with taking down the Detroit Lions with a game-winning field goal. The Redskins broke a four-game losing streak and will look to keep the momentum going as they head into Carolina to take on the Panthers. However, do not expect much of a fight here as the Panthers have every ability to blow this game out fast and early. Even though the Redskins got the win, it was one of the ugliest wins of the season as Haskins threw for just 156 passing yards. The running game was even worse as Washington averaged 3.6 yards per carry. If Haskins was unable to move the ball against a weak Lions secondary, what can he do against an elite pass rush of the Panthers? Remember the Panthers are second in the league with 41 sacks. Expect Haskins to be a mess in this game as the Panthers storm the rookie QB with blitz’s he has yet to see before. Also good to note that the Redskins are 29th in the league with a 9.75 offensive quarterback sack percentage. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13 as the Panthers -10 is a solid option here.

Over Under Pick

In the past three games of starting, Haskins and the Redskins have averaged 15 points per game. Nothing will change in this game as Washington will continue to struggle on the offensive side of the ball. Washington is ranked dead last in points per game, passing yards, time on the field and number of plays per game. With the pass rush of the Panthers, the Redskins are lucky if they get to 10 points in this one. With that in mind, expect the Panthers to rely on Christian McCaffrey like they always do and control the game. Do not expect a shootout here as the Panthers won’t have the rush to score fast and quick like they did last week against the Saints. Panthers roll easy in this one with the total hitting the Under.

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals

New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
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NY Jets -3.0 Point Spread
-115
Over 41.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The New York Jets are one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now, and yes that is a correct statement. Ever since quarterback Sam Darnold spoke to the media following the win against the Giants and said “We need every win from now on because we’ve still got a chance. I mean, if we get on a roll here and we win out, we’ve got a chance at the playoffs,” they have won every single game and by a LARGE margin. New York has won three straight games with dropping 34 points in each of those games, with a margin of 102-47. Can they stay hot against the Bengals now? There is another change in the jungle as the Bengals will go back to QB Andy Dalton who will be starting this week after Bengals coach Zac Taylor made the announcement on Monday. Dalton will replace rookie quarterback Ryan Finley, who started the previous three games after Dalton was benched after Week 8. At the moment, there is too much change and low morale for the Bengals to even think about picking them as the Jets have been red-hot for weeks now. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings as you have to side with the potential playoff-bound Jets here. Hey, anything is possible…

Over Under Pick

With the quarterback change for the Bengals, expect the offense to start clicking again as the veteran should be able to move the ball far better than Finley was doing the past weeks. For the Jets, they have struggled a bit on the road allowing 26.60 points per game as well as 241.80 passing yards. This is going to be a dog fight without a doubt as Dalton will do everything in his power to keep this game close. With that in mind, both teams should be able to move the ball and score with translates to the Over being a great play here. The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets’ last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati as this game is going far over the 41.0 points in this one.

Sun, Dec 1st - 1:00pm ET:
Philadelphia Eagles @ Miami Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles
Miami Dolphins
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MIA Dolphins +10.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 44.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Philadelphia Eagles are looking for a new sign of life as they head into Miami to take on the struggling Dolphins. For the Eagles, they have been banged-up all season long on the offensive side of the ball as they are only scoring less than 20 points per game in its last six goes. Without running up the scoreboard, the Eagles have won two of those six games but enter Miami at the perfect time as the Dolphins defense has been one of the worst all season long. Even though the Dolphins should allow a decent amount of points to the Eagles, it will be closer than a lot of experts think. Quarterback Carson Wentz enters this game nursing an injury that is on his throwing hand. Even though the X-rays were negative, I expect the Eagles to play cautious with him throughout the game. I have a strong feeling there will be issues with Wentz gripping the football this week. A lot of points are being handed to the Dolphins as they nearly got their way back into the dog fight with the Cleveland Browns last week. Miami are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I’m leaning towards the free points this week as there is no reason the Eagles should run up the score.

Over Under Pick

Without their core players on the offensive side of the ball, the Eagles have been unable to score points this season. As stated above, the Eagles should have no problem dropping some points on the Dolphins. However, with an injured quarterback, expect the Eagles to establish the running game quickly against a home defense that is allowing 144.33 rushing yards in Miami per game. Philadelphia should be able to control the clock and the game with the ground game as the Dolphins slowly get into the game. Expect a snooze fest here as the Eagles play it safe while the Dolphins show signs of life late in the game like they always do. The under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games overall. Under is the biggest play in this game as everyone should side with it. Take the Under.

Sun, Dec 1st - 4:05pm ET:
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
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ARZ Cardinals +2.5 Point Spread
+100
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Rams are coming into this short week off the biggest loss in Coliseum history where they were dominated by the Baltimore Ravens from start to finish. It finished with the final score of 45-6, as questions are starting to hit the Rams front office of did they pay the right players? Quarterback Jared Goff is coming off his worst month ever with a 1-2 record, 59-96, 628 yards, 0 TDs, 5 INTs. In three games, Goff did not throw a SINGLE touchdown pass as that should ring the panic button for this Rams organization. With Goff struggling and Gurley on and off with his knee problems, this offense is on a sinking ship. On the flip side, the Cardinals are coming off a well-rested bye week and have been able to keep toe-to-toe with some of the top dogs in the league. The Cardinals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Rams offense is on the decline while the Cardinals offense is fresh and young and ready for another upset win. Give me the field goal as trusting Goff on a divisional road game as favorites is concerning enough.

Over Under Pick

Even though the Rams have struggled for the good chunk of the season, against below .500 teams the Rams have managed to drop 104 total points or 26 points per game. In the past three games in the McVay era, the Rams have managed to drop 32.33 points per game against the Cardinals. Do not expect another six-point performance from the Rams here as they will be able to score on the Cardinals who are allowing over 30 points per game at home this season. On the flip side, expect the Rams to struggle against the mobile QB of Kyler Murray as he gives the Cardinals a strong chance to score early and often. The Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games as the Over is the best bet in this matchup.

Sun, Dec 1st - 4:25pm ET:
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs

Oakland Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
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OAK Raiders +10.0 Point Spread
-110
Over 51.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

An AFC West battle here as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is coming off a disappointing effort to say the least, as they got humiliated by the Jets in New York. The Chiefs are coming off their bye week, and while I hate to bet against Andy Reid coming off the bye, I think you have to do it here. The Chiefs have quietly been pretty mediocre recently, going just 3-4 in their last seven games. The defense hasn’t taken the step forward that many were anticipating, and they gave up 35 points to Ryan Tannehill and the Titans just a couple of games ago. Now is a good time to buy on Oakland when they are at an all-time low, and I think they will be highly motivated to bounce back in this division game. I love what Jon Gruden has done schematically, and he should have some easy throws scripted for Derek Carr. They’re not going to win this game out right, but getting two scores is too much value to pass up.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over a lot in this spot. Nobody is slowing down Patrick Mahomes in general, and certainly not this Raiders defense. Oakland just gave up 34 points to the Jets in their most recent game, and the only time recently that the unit didn’t look terrible was against the windless Bengals. Reid with an extra week to prepare is a recipe for disaster for opposing defenses, and Kansas City should light up the scoreboard here. Oakland should have some success here as well, and they’ve scored at least 24 points in six of their last eight games.

Sun, Dec 1st - 4:25pm ET:
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
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LA Chargers -3.0 Point Spread
-115
Under 38.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers are looking to rebound from their turnover festival against the Oakland Raiders two weeks ago as they had an extra week to prepare for this game coming off the bye. On the flip side, the struggling Broncos continue to head south in the NFL rankings as the offense is simply not there for Denver. For this game, it is going to come down to turnovers, and I see Rivers having a huge bounce-back game here. Los Angeles comes into this game with being the 14th-ranked offense and the fifth-best defense in the NFL, but Rivers 14 interceptions has led to a lot of last-second losses. I expect the Chargers to move the ball early in the game with a bounceback Rivers, but do not expect an offensive player of the week performance by Rivers as he is still taking on a tough defense. I love the Chargers here as LA is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on the road. Rivers does just enough to get the cover here on Sunday.

Over Under Pick

With the Broncos out of the playoff picture and the Chargers on their way to being eliminated, this game screams being a low scoring result. Denver comes into this game off a dreadful loss to the Bills where they managed below 100 total yards in the first half. However, expect the defense to once again rise to the occasion as they did in Los Angeles earlier in the season. Playing spoiler is always fun to see as QB Philip Rivers has struggled in the past weeks as age might be catching up to him. With the high altitude and defensive-minded approach for both teams, this is the perfect time to side with the Under. The Chargers have hit the Under in five of its last six as a road favorite and Denver has seen the total go under in four of five as a home dog of three points or less Take the Under here as there are turnovers and lots of them.

Sun, Dec 1st - 8:20pm ET:
New England Patriots @ Houston Texans

New England Patriots
Houston Texans
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HOU Texans +3.0 Point Spread
+100
Over 45.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Sunday Night Football here as the Houston Texans host the New England Patriots. For a few reasons, you have to take the points with Houston here. The Patriots obviously have a huge coaching edge, but I don’t think it will be enough here. Outside of their loss to the Ravens, the League’s best team, the Texans have looked very good recently. They picked up a huge win over the Colts on Thursday Night Football last week, and had a couple of extra days to prepare for this one as a result. The Patriots might have 10 wings already, but only because they got to play teams like the Dolphins, Jets, Redskins, and Giants early in the season. Now that the schedule has gotten tougher they’ve got an exposed a bit, especially on offense. New England has failed to top 20 points in three straight weeks, when Tom Brady is finally starting to look his age. In each of his last two games, Brady has been held to 5.1 yards per attempt or fewer. Another thing to note here is that there is a flu bug going around at the Patriots locker room, which could provide an additional edge. Take Houston.

Over Under Pick

 I also think the over makes a lot of sense. Most of the players who missed practice on Wednesday because of the flu bug we’re on the defensive side of the ball, which is worth noting. The Patriots have a very good defense, but they have struggled against Dynamic quarterbacks. A couple of weeks ago against Baltimore they gave up 37 points, showing that they aren’t Unstoppable after all. DeShaun Watson should be able to have some similar success, expecting a big game from him in a pivotal moment in his career. Brady has surely heard all the national media talk in recent weeks about how he has declined, so I think we see him bounce back with his best effort here in a nationally televised game.

Mon, Dec 2nd - 8:15pm ET:
Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks

Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
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MIN Vikings +3.0 Point Spread
-120
Under 50.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Monday Night Football here as the Minnesota Vikings travel to the West Coast to take on the Seattle Seahawks. Minnesota lost a crucial game in Seattle last year that helped keep them out of the playoffs, and will be looking for revenge in this one. For a few reasons, I think they get it. Kirk Cousins has been playing some of the best ball of his career recently, and I see no reason why that won’t continue against a mediocre Seahawks defense. Star receiver Adam Thielen has been dealing with a hamstring injury, but he looks all set to return for this one. That’s a huge boost for Minnesota’s offense and with Thielen, Stefon Diggs, Dalvin Cook, and Cousins playing lights out, the Vikings have an elite offensive unit. The Seahawks have been getting lucky all season long, and they very easily could be a .500 team. Minnesota is coming off their bye week, so they will be healed up and well-rested for this one. Getting three points here is a steal.

Over Under Pick

I’m also playing the under in this spot. The Seahawks have managed to put up big numbers when they play poor defenses, but they’ve struggled against better units. In their most recent game against the Eagles they only put up 17 points, and they only scored 16 against the Ravens a few weeks ago. Minnesota’s ferocious pass rush should be able to get to Russell Wilson, and I don’t think Seattle’s ground game will have much success either. Even though I’m high on Minnesota’s offense overall, Cousins still has a history of poor performances in primetime games, so I’m not exactly expecting them to light up the scoreboard either. This should be a hard-fought defensive game with both teams attempting to establish the run.

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