Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox predictions

Baltimore Orioles
Fenway ParkNESN, MSN2
Orioles
80-74
Orioles
Yesterday
Red Sox
73-81
Red Sox
Boston Red Sox

Resident Expert Predictions

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line Pick
BOS Red Sox Win

The Red Sox and Orioles have scored a combined 44 runs over the past 2 games, with neither pitching staff having the ability to slow down the opposing lineups. The Red Sox pitching staff has struggled all season, so it isn’t necessarily a surprise that they can’t limit the dangerous Baltimore lineup. However, it’s more shocking that the Orioles are struggling this much in the series so far, specifically their usually dominant bullpen. Wednesday’s matchup might be another sloppy game between Dean Kremer and Rich Hill.

Kremer has been impressive this season with a 3.07 ERA and 3.50 FIP for the O’s, however, he’s a major regression candidate. Kremer’s 4.25 xERA and 4.28 xFIP suggest he’s been overperforming this season, which means the Red Sox lineup should be able to generate some runs against him. Those numbers put him right in line with Boston starter Hill, who has a nearly identical 4.31 xERA and 4.27 xFIP. The Baltimore bullpen would normally give the O’s a significant edge in this game, but they haven’t been able to slow down the Red Sox hitters over the past 2 nights. As well as the O’s have played this season as they aim to take a wild-card spot, it seems as if the pressure is finally catching up to the young roster, who have now dropped 3 of their past 4 games. The Red Sox have had a disappointing season with nothing left to play for, but the lack of pressure might actually benefit them in this type of game. Especially with this game being at Fenway Park, the Red Sox should sneak out with a win. 

Red Sox ML (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number. 

 

Boston Red Sox
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$18.70
Sportsbook
Payout
Place Bet
$18.70
$18.33
$18.33
$18.70
$18.47
$18.60

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Baltimore Orioles
Game Totals Pick
Over 9.0

With a combined 44 runs being scored in this series so far, the best choice is to ride the over once again. Rich Hill and Dean Kremer have nearly identical numbers, with Kremer posting a 4.25 xERA and 4.28 xFIP, while Hill posts a 4.31 xERA and 4.27 xFIP. Both offenses should be able to do some damage against the starting pitchers in this game, but more runs should come later in the game as the fatigued bullpens take the mound.

The Boston bullpen has the 5th-highest team ERA this season, and the O’s have taken advantage of that by pouring on runs late in the games over the past two nights. Meanwhile, the normally strong Orioles bullpen has faltered in this series as well, and considering both units are taxed heading into this game, the over looks the best option.

Over 9 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number. 

 

Boston Red Sox
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.09

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

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Brian Prouty

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NBA and NHL handicapper for Pickswise.

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