Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/15/26

Shane Baz is not a pitcher I am looking to back anytime soon. The right-hander was traded from Tampa Bay to Baltimore this past offseason, and he then signed a mega extension with his new club. Baltimore can’t be happy with the early returns, as Baz has posted a 5.48 ERA through his first 44.1 innings as an Oriole. Baz has seen a drop in his strikeout metrics while walking more batters and posting below average batted-ball metrics. Both righties and lefties are mashing him, and things aren’t getting better with an 8.71 ERA through two May starts.

Zack Littell has been even worse on paper this season for the Nationals, posting a 6.94 ERA in his first 36.1 innings with Washington. Littell is someone who has a major home run issue throughout his career, and the same has been true in 2026 for the right-hander with 14 home runs allowed already. His 7.61 xERA and 8.26 FIP are even worse, suggesting Littell may be fortunate to have his current ERA. Both Baltimore and Washington are around league-average lineups against right-handed pitching, so I favor the over in this game.

Orioles vs Nationals prediction: Over 9 (-118) available at time of publishing. Playable to -125.

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