Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/10/26

Sunday’s matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Houston Astros is not my favorite game from a betting perspective, though it could be a fun game to attend in person if the total pans out how I foresee. Andrew Abbott has had a rough start to his 2026 campaign for the Reds. A Cincinnati rotation that has missed Nick Lodolo and Hunter Greene needed Abbott to step up and produce like he had in previous seasons, but instead, he is off to the worst start of his young career — a 5.13 ERA and 5.34 xERA through 40.1 innings. His 19 walks to just 28 strikeouts is a worrisome ratio, and his batted-ball profile is just mediocre. Houston is without Carlos Correa now, but they rank 9th in wOBA with a 111 wRC+ against southpaw pitching so far this year.

Houston’s pitching staff is worrisome as a whole, and with a bullpen game lined up on Sunday, I am not fond of their current situation. Kai-Wei Teng has been solid in his 23 innings with a 2.35 ERA, but he has yet to work more than 3 innings in any outing this season. Behind him is a Houston bullpen that ranks dead last with a 6.12 ERA and 5.64 FIP. Cincinnati’s bullpen has not been much better with a 4.55 ERA and 4.99 FIP.

Reds vs Astros prediction: Over 9 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to that price.

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