Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/13/26

I favor the Miami Marlins over the Minnesota Twins as the teams face off Wednesday evening. Miami is set to start Max Meyer for his 9th start of the season. He enters play with a 2.79 ERA with 45 strikeouts in his first 42 innings of work. His 2.88 FIP is in line with his ERA, and despite a 4.03 xERA Meyer is clearly my preferred starting pitcher in this matchup. Meyer has just a middling batted ball profile, but his underlying strikeout numbers are impressive and encouraging for his future success.

Simeon Woods-Richardson is set to start this game for Minnesota. Bailey Ober tossed a complete game for the Twins on Tuesday, leaving them with a rested bullpen for Wednesday. This is good timing as they may need several innings of relief with the current form of Woods-Richardon. The right-hander enters Wednesday with a 6.92 ERA, 5.75 xERA, and 6.20 FIP through his first 39 innings of work. He ranks as one of the worst arms when it comes to generating swing and miss, and he has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 6 consecutive starts. I favor Miami in this game.

Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins prediction: Marlins ML (-125) available at time of publishing. Playable to -130.

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