Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/14/26

The Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins will close out a 3-game series on Thursday afternoon in Minnesota. This will be the rubber match of the series after each team split the first 2 games, and it pits a pair of starters making their season debuts in Braxton Garrett and Zebby Matthews.  This could mean one thing: rust. As we are a little over month into the season now, the batters are well up to speed and nearing their mid-season form with lots of energy left. They will be dialed in and prepared to take advantage of a couple pitchers facing MLB bats for the first time this year.

The Twins and Marlins are coming off a high-scoring game on Wednesday that ended 9-5 in favor of the Marlins. It exemplified Minnesota’s struggles in the pitching department, specifically over the last 10 games where they sport a 5.36 ERA. Same goes for the Marlins, who have a team ERA of 4.75 over their last 10 games.

The Twins are scoring 4.7 runs per game, good for 8th-best in the league, while allowing 5.0 runs per game — 6th-worst in the MLB. I think we could be in for another high-scoring game in Minny on Thursday. Give me the over.

Marlins vs. Twins prediction: Over 8.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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