The Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/10/26

Wind is blowing out towards right-center field with temperatures in the low 80’s for Sunday’s matchup between the Athletics and the Orioles. Baltimore has lost the first 2 games of this series and 8 of their last 10 games overall. Meanwhile, the Athletics have won their last 3 games and have the starting pitching edge on Sunday. 

Luis Severino is set to make his 9th start of the season, and he enters this game in better form than his counterpart. His 4.15 ERA and 4.51 FIP aren’t the most attractive marks, but he has allowed just 3 earned runs combined in his last 3 starts. Those 18.2 innings against the Phillies, Royals, and Rangers included an increase in ground ball rate and only 5 walks issued. 

Baltimore is 17th in wOBA with a 102 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. I could definitely see Severino allowing a couple of earned runs, but I am more fond of the matchup for the Athletics offense — as the A’s sit 5th in wOBA with a 110 wRC+ against right-handers in 2026.

Chris Bassitt will start for Baltimore, and he has been shaky so far this season. His 5.91 ERA and 5.16 FIP are the product of a 5th-percentile K% and 6th-percentile xBA. He allowed 4 earned runs across 4 innings to the Marlins last time out — his 4th start this season with 4 or more earned runs allowed. Give me the Athletics in this game.

Athletics vs Orioles prediction: Athletics ML (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable to -115 odds.

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