This is a divisional matchup that appears to be lopsided on paper, but Thursday Night Football games rarely go quite as planned. In this case, the Denver Broncos are off to a 1-4 start and will travel to take on the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. The handicap on this game seems to be a good buy-low spot on Denver, but that’s not what I’ll be focusing on in this piece.
Be sure to also check out our NFL Week 6 predictions and our TNF player prop picks, but now let’s take a look at my favorite anytime touchdown scorer picks for the Broncos vs Chiefs game, where I’m targeting a wide receiver from each team.
Speaking of buy-low spots, I think we’ve got a great chance to capitalize on a Broncos passing offense that struggled mightily last week against the Jets. One unfortunate result of those struggles was a lack of production from Courtland Sutton, who registered just 1 reception for 13 yards a week ago. However, this hasn’t been the norm for the Broncos wideout this season, as he has at least 3 catches in all previous games, plus touchdowns against the Bears, Dolphins and Raiders. There’s one thing all of those games have in common: the Broncos trailed in each one. Given that the game script suggests that Kansas City will be leading for the majority of the contest, Denver will have to throw the ball early and often. I think we’ll see Sutton targeted on plenty of occasions, so let’s back him to find the end zone at +240.
Don’t miss our Broncos vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay at +959 odds!
It might surprise you, but Justin Watson has been a bigger part of the Chiefs offense than many might have expected this season. As my colleague Phil Agius mentioned, Watson actually has yardage totals of 45, 62, 51, 5 and 56 yards over the first 5 games. Watson has been on the field for at least 40% of plays in each of the last 4 Chiefs games, recording at least 3 targets and 2 receptions in every game this season, outside of that poor Week 4 showing. He also has the second-most receiving yards on the team this season, making him a prime candidate to break out with a touchdown. Denver’s poor tackling and pursuit effort seen in their recent losses to the Dolphins and Jets suggest that if Watson gets his hands on an intermediate pass he could take it all the way. At +500, this ticket is worth a shot.
Get all of our Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions for TNF
