MLB playoffs San Diego Padres vs New York Mets predictions: Same Game Parlay at +491 odds

New York Mets hitter Starling Marte
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Mark Lammey


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I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind. For Mark Lammey media enquiries, please email
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We were able to cash our Phillies vs Cardinals Same Game Parlay last night, so let’s keep it rolling into an NFL Sunday. There’s just 1 Wild Card series left to play out after the other 3 each ended 2-0. All that’s left to be decided is whether the Padres or Mets will advance to take on the juggernaut that is the Dodgers. Neither of the first 2 games of this series have been close, but that doesn’t mean there hasn’t been excitement. Let’s break down how this finale should play out and make it a profitable one. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our MLB analysis for all of the upcoming postseason games!

Mets ML (-136)

1st-half winning margin – Mets by 1-2 runs (+260)

Starling Marte to record a hit (-230)

Parlay odds: +491

Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.

New York Mets ML (-136) over San Diego Padres

The Mets used their two future Hall-of-Fame starters in the first 2 games of the series, but that doesn’t mean they’re done for. They’re still at home and favorites for a reason. Their lineup has been more consistent than the Padres’ and starter Chris Bassitt has been a stud in his own right. He may not have back-to-back Cy Young awards like Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom, but he just had a 15-win season and has pitched well against the Padres.

When these teams met in July, Bassitt threw 7.0 innings, allowing just 2 runs and 4 hits. Meanwhile, Padres starter Joe Musgrove didn’t have nearly as good of a time. He gave up 4 runs in just 5.1 innings of work, and that was in the midst of fans putting him in the NL Cy Young discussion. On top of that, Padres starter Blake Snell did them no favors last night. He pitched just 3.1 innings, which taxed their bullpen far more than they would have liked. Tonight’s finale may be a closer game, but the Mets should be the ones advancing to the NLDS.

Be sure to check out our San Diego Padres vs New York Mets predictions

1st-half winning margin – Mets by 1-2 runs (+260)

Just as we anticipate this to be a closer game, it should be a tight one throughout. The first 2 games of the series were blowouts, so it’s only fitting that the finale should be a nail-biter. This may seem like an obscure prop, but it helped us cash a Same Game Parlay during the Subway Series earlier in the season. We could also use numbers from the last time tonight’s starters faced the opposition. Bassitt allowed 2 runs to the Padres, while Musgrove gave up 4 runs. Not all games are equal, but it certainly provides confidence that the Mets can pull off this prop and help us cash a hefty payout.

Starling Marte to record a hit (-230)

One guy who should help the Mets get there is outfielder Starling Marte. There were question marks regarding his availability for this series, and fans were ecstatic when the team announced he’d be able to play. Despite missing some time, he still recorded 136 hits in 118 games. We don’t need multiple bases or an RBI; we just need him to put one in play. Superstars Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso both went deep last night, so it’s Marte’s turn tonight. He’s hitting .300 off Musgrove, so expect him to play a role in a Mets win in this finale.

Also check out our YRFI/NRFI best bet for today!

What is a Same Game Parlay?

Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?

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