The Arizona Cardinals continue to lose close games, as they dropped another one score contest to Minnesota last week. On the other hand, the Seattle Seahawks have been one of the NFL’s pleasant surprises this season, thanks to the resurgence of Geno Smith at quarterback. With the NFC standings in flux, this game means a lot for both teams in their pursuit of a playoff berth.
Our NFL expert has picks, predictions and best bets for this matchup, so let’s break it all down.
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NFL Week 9 Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals prediction
This game will likely come down to the effectiveness of each offense, specifically in the red zone. The Cardinals have made a mess of a number of red zone possessions this season, while Seattle ranks 31st in red zone touchdown percentage this year. Considering the Seahawks success on offense, those numbers are a bit surprising, but they show that Seattle is due for some positive regression in that department. Expect Pete Carroll’s team to execute on Sunday and be the more trustworthy bunch of these two sides. Let’s get into our expert’s predictions for this matchup.
Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals spread, odds & betting lines
Point Spread: Seahawks +2, Cardinals -2
Total Points Over/Under: 50 points
Money Line Odds: Seahawks +110, Cardinals -130
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Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals expert picks
We’ve got 2 standout NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Seahawks and Cardinals
Seahawks vs Cardinals point spread pick: Seahawks +2 (-110)
This line has come down a bit since it opened, but it’s still a bit silly. In my opinion, a lot of that might have to do with the lack of respect in the market for Seattle. This offense has been legit all season long, checking in at 6th in DVOA per Football Outsiders. Even against a solid Giants defensive unit last week, the Seahawks were efficient and generated a number of explosive plays on the ground and through the air in the victory. Seattle has been extremely successful on early downs this season, thanks in large part to the excellent play of Geno Smith under center. This is a good, well-rounded offense and we have half a season of data to support that. And while the Seahawks defense was a major point of concern, Seattle now ranks in the top 8 in DVOA in all four facets over its last 4 games. The Seahawks are now 12th in defensive DVOA and climbing, something which gives this team a real chance to compete in the NFC West and beyond this season. The playoff hopes could easily become a reality in a weak NFC this fall.
But even disregarding the Seahawks’ rapid improvement over the last 4 weeks, a primary reason for backing Seattle in this one is fading Kliff Kingsbury as a favorite, specifically at home. This Cardinals team is going nowhere fast and still can’t win a close game at home. In fact, Arizona is 1-8 in the last 9 games in this rivalry at home. That’s awful even for Kingsbury’s standards. This team is extremely undisciplined and it shows each week with penalties and lack of execution. The Cardinals are 26th in offensive DVOA and 19th in total defense DVOA, which doesn’t bode well against a efficient and effective Seattle offense. And while Kyler Murray does have occasional moments of brilliance, his inconsistency is indicative of the Cardinals’ performance to this point. Back the Seahawks as underdogs in this spot, and don’t be surprised if Seattle continues to surpass expectations.
Be sure to check out our full Seahawks vs Cardinals predictions
Seahawks vs Cardinals Over/Under totals pick: Over 50 (-110)
The first meeting between these teams went under the total, as both defenses had success on 3rd downs. And while the Seahawks defense has replicated that performance in recent wins over the Chargers and Giants, the opposite has opened with the Cardinals. Arizona surrendered 34 points to the lowly Saints offense two weeks ago, before allowing Minnesota to put up 34 in a loss on Sunday. The Cardinals have serious issues in their secondary — part of why their pass defense DVOA is 22nd in the NFL — and I’m expecting Geno Smith to find DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett downfield in this one. Seattle’s offense continues to produce on the ground as well behind rookie sensation Kenneth Walker, so the Seahawks have multiple ways to succeed here. And to their credit, the Cardinals have proven that they’re a strong second half team on offense.
Even if Arizona does end up falling behind, Murray has his full compliment of targets and should be able to put up at least 20 points. Slight lean to the over as long as it’s below the key number of 51.
Get all of our expert betting insight, analysis and even more NFL Predictions and NFL Best Bets from the rest of the Week 9 action.
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