NFL Week 10 Anytime TD Scorers: Best Picks for Sunday's Games

The NFL season continues with Week 10 action as we slowly creep toward the Thanksgiving slate, which includes both Wednesday and Friday games this year. Headlining this week’s action is Patriots vs Lions from Munich, Germany, Kirk Cousins’ return to Minnesota in Vikings vs Packers and Fernando Mendoza’s debut in Seahawks vs Raiders, among others. 

Ahead of the Week 10 Sunday slate, here are my favorite anytime touchdown bets to make, as I look to improve on my 7-5 run over the last four weeks – which included +650, +285 and +280 cashes. For more tips and analysis on every side and total this season, check out our NFL predictions.

NFL Week 10 Touchdown Scorer: Hunter Henry (NE) +250

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to +200. 

The streak was broken last week after Greg Dulcich failed to cash our ticket against the Lions, bringing an end to our winning streak when picking tight ends against this Detroit defense. However, I’m going to chalk that up to Miami’s offensive deficiencies more than anything, which means I’m going right back to the well in the Germany game. 

Hunter Henry is second on the Pats in targets, bringing in 32 of the 35 for a 91.4% reception rate – one of the most reliable pairs of hands in the league. In fact, he’s just one of eight qualified players with better than a 90% reception rate, and the six players in front of him are all running backs with negative ADOTs – Henry’s ADOT is over six yards. 

Fellow tight end Eli Raridon is a concern when betting Henry, but the price is still too good for me to pass up. Henry’s usage dipped over the last couple weeks, from which Raridon benefitted, but keep in mind, Henry was hurt during the Week 8 game against Miami and only logged one limited practice ahead of last week’s game against Green Bay. He doesn’t carry an injury designation this week, so he should be full go. 

Get our experts’ NFL best bets for the Week 10 action

NFL Week 10 Touchdown Scorer: Chuba Hubbard (CAR) -150

Odds available at Fanatics Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to -175.

Chuba Hubbard has been one of the most reliable backs in the NFL this season, sitting top 10 in attempts, yards, yards after contact and missed tackles forced. He has just five touchdowns on the ground, but he also has two through the air, giving him more scores than Bijan Robinson and the same number as Kyren Williams, so this price absolutely makes sense. 

The Saints provide a pretty good matchup for Hubbard; they’ve surrendered the second-most scores to opposing running backs this season, behind just Green Bay – whom Hubbard scored against a few weeks ago. New Orleans is also 29th in EPA per rush and 30th in rush success allowed, and this game has a total in the high 40s, so I’m expecting plenty of Hubbard opportunities. He has a stranglehold on the red-zone work for this offense, especially with Jonathan Brooks still on the shelf. In fact, he carries 60% of the load inside the 20-yard line and over 71% of the load inside the 10, with his primary competition being his quarterback, Bryce Young. In other words, Hubbard doesn't really come off the field much.

Brooks is working his way back, but he’s still listed as doubtful for this all-important divisional matchup. That means Hubbard’s workload should be massive, so I’m fine laying this number. That said, I’m also going to sprinkle Hubbard to score at least twice at +400 on FanDuel. 

Check out our favorite Week 10 NFL player props

NFL Week 10 Touchdown Scorer: Deebo Samuel (SF) +210

Odds available at BetMGM at the time of publishing. Playable to +160.

Deebo Samuel has no injury designation ahead of San Francisco’s trip to Dallas to play the Cowboys, which is absolutely huge for the Niners’ receiver core and QB Brock Purdy. Mike Evans is out, Keenan Allen is new to town and De’Zhaun Stribling is on IR, which means Deebo should slot right into his normal starting spot against a leaky Dallas defense. 

The Cowboys are 27th in EPA per pass and 25th in pass success rate allowed (SumerSports), and they average at least one touchdown allowed to wide receivers in every game. That should be music to the ears of Samuel, who had three touchdowns in four full games played before his injury. Dallas has also been pretty bad defensively after the catch, which is ideal for Deebo – one of the best players in the NFL with the ball in his hands after the catch (10.2 YAC).

Here’s our Niners vs Cowboys prediction for this massive NFC showdown