Green Bay Packers
Soldier FieldFOX
Green Bay Packers
4-1
Green Bay Packers
Today
Chicago Bears
3-2
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears

Point Spread PickGuest Pick
CHI Bears Win +6.0

The Packers have won 4 in a row, so I feel a bit crazy making this my lock of the week, but the Bears are going to keep this a lot closer than people think. My guess is that they continue to pound the football and try to keep the ball out of Aaron Rodgers’ hands. Justin Fields is a winner and he can make the big throws against the Packers depleted secondary to keep this game tight.

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$58.57

Green Bay Packers
Point Spread Pick
GB Packers Win -4.5

Green Bay will want to avoid leaving their fate tied to the shoelaces of Mason Crosby again anytime soon as they get set for another tricky road game at divisional rivals Chicago. Crosby hadn’t missed a field goal since 2019 going into their topsy-turvy Week 5 matchup with the Bengals, but failed to make 3 in a row before nailing a 49-yard game-winner in overtime. However, one of the biggest reasons the Packers had to lean on Crosby so heavily was down to a continuation of their poor performance in the red zone. The Packers went 2-for-5 on trips inside the Cincinnati red zone, and converting inside the 20 is starting to become a big issue for Aaron Rodgers and co. That’s not the only issue for this team at the moment with the offensive line being held together by sticking tape, while the defense loses someone every week, Kevin King being the latest victim. And yet, despite those issues, they are finding ways to win and cover, going 3-1 ATS in their 4-game winning run.

The Bears have the same record ATS since Week 1 as they look to go level at 4-2 with Green Bay at the top of the NFC North. Chicago has impressed the last 2 weeks, and their defense, which ranks 5th in total defense (DVOA), completely shut down the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday, while their offense finally has an identity with Bill Lazor calling the plays. The Bears look like they’ll be fine without David Montgomery, while Justin Fields has shown glimpses of being a good NFL quarterback. The Bears are trending in the right direction but beating 2 middle-of-the-road teams is one thing, defeating the Packers is another. Green Bay have owned Chicago in this millennium, going 17-5 ATS in the Windy City, and the money has already come in for the Packers, the spread moving from -3.5 to -4.5. Green Bay has covered that margin in 8 of their last 9 wins at Chicago and are taken to bring the Bears back down to earth.

Packers -4.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Chicago Bears
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$19.09
Green Bay Packers
Game Totals Pick
Over 44.5

The total has dropped to 45 points having opened at 46, and now might be the time to take the over. While the under is king as far as the Bears go, their improving offense has averaged 22 points per game in the last 2 weeks and can maintain that pattern against a Packers defense that is allowing 24.4 ppg.

Green Bay might be struggling to convert in the red zone but they still rank 13th in ppg. Davante Adams went off against the Bengals, enjoying a career day for yardage (206 yards) but still has only 2 touchdown catches, a number that will surely start to go up for last year’s top TD scorer. History says to back the over too. It has cashed in 6 of the teams’ last 8 meetings in Chicago.

Over 45 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Chicago Bears
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$19.09
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Chris Rivers

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A self-confessed sports nut who has managed to turn his passion into a career, resulting in the last 15 years being spent covering a wide variety of sports for numerous media outlets. You can find me writing mainly about the NFL and NHL here on Pickswise, with a bit of soccer on the side. One of the rarest of breeds: an actual LA Chargers fan.

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