Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions

Baltimore Ravens
M&T Bank StadiumESPN
Baltimore Ravens
0-1
Baltimore Ravens
Sun Sep 19
Kansas City Chiefs
1-0
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs

Resident Expert Predictions

Baltimore Ravens
Point Spread Pick
KC Chiefs Win -3.5

Kansas City might be targeting Super Bowl success in February but September is clearly Patrick Mahomes’ favorite month of the year. The Chiefs moved to 11-0 in the opening month of the season with Mahomes as the starter by beating Cleveland, the 2018 MVP improving his September record to 35 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in the 33-29 win. It was an ugly win for the reigning AFC champions but overcoming a Browns team who look the real deal when not playing at your best is a sign of just how good this Chiefs team is and they should be confident of taking care of business in Baltimore. Kansas City eased past the Ravens 34-20 last season as Andy Reid chalked up a fourth successive win over Baltimore since becoming Chiefs head coach. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson described KC as Baltimore’s “kryptonite” after that Monday night loss.

Jackson’s bid to end their losing run is unlikely to be helped by an offensive line that resembled a turnstile in their Week 1 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. Jackson posted a 54.5% pressure rate as the Ravens sorely missed left tackle Orlando Brown, who they traded to the Chiefs this offseason. Baltimore showed they still have the ability to run the ball, despite multiple injuries at running back, and they could hurt the Chiefs in that regard but ultimately, this contest will be decided by whether they can find a way to stop Mahomes and the Chiefs. That looks unlikely based on Monday’s performance against the Raiders. Baltimore’s banged-up secondary could end up being torched by Mahomes and the Chiefs receiving corps, who have enough firepower to improve upon the road team’s record of covering the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Chiefs -3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Chiefs -4.5.

Kansas City Chiefs
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.09
Baltimore Ravens
Game Totals Pick
Under 55.0

The over cashed comfortably in both teams’ Week 1 matchups, but the total looks a little high heading into Sunday night’s encounter. In Mahomes and Jackson’s 3 previous meetings, they have only once combined to put up more than 55 points, despite all the offensive talent on the field. The under is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last 5 games overall and their desire to run the ball, control the time of possession and ultimately eat up the clock could put a cap on their scoring ability.

The Chiefs are the joker in the deck when it comes to the total due to their ability to score quickly, as demonstrated by Tyreek Hill’s one-play 75 yards touchdown against the Browns. However, they did at times last season show a desire to establish a run game when on the road and with the new offensive line giving them better rushing options, the Chiefs could also take a more conservative approach on offense.

Under 55 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Kansas City Chiefs
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.52
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Ricky Dimon

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

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