Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/17/26

Rate FieldMarquee Sports Network
Cubs
29-17
Cubs
Today
White Sox
23-22
White Sox

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Chicago White Sox
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Cubs vs White Sox Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Over 8.5(-115)

Erick Fedde has tossed 815.2 career innings at the major league level, and he has a career BABIP of .290 with a career strand rate of 71.7%. This season, his opponents have a .208 BABIP, and when on base, they are stranded 81.6% of the time. Fedde ranks 4th percentile in whiff rate, and he fills up the strike zone. Further, he ranks 22nd percentile in barrel rate.

Yes, Fedde has a respectable 3.77 ERA through 43 innings, but his 6.03 FIP is far more worrisome, especially in a matchup against a Cubs lineup ranking 8th in wOBA with a 111 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. Fedde has also allowed 7 home runs in his last 3 starts alone, with at least 2 allowed in each of those outings. I believe we end up seeing Fedde’s ERA closer to 5 than his current mark.

Colin Rea is the scheduled starter for the Cubs on Sunday. Rea has pitched both out of the bullpen and as a starter for Chicago this season, and he has a 4.68 ERA through his first 42.1 innings of work. The right-hander has a 4.23 FIP but his 5.34 xERA isn’t ideal due to poor batted-ball metrics. Rea ranks just 14th percentile in hard-hit rate and 17th percentile in barrel rate this season while failing to generate many whiffs. The White Sox lineup has a respectable 101 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season, and they should be able to contribute towards the total. The wind is blowing in for this game, but I still favor the over.

Cubs vs White Sox prediction: Over 8.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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Javan Shouey

A lifelong sports fan from Northwestern Pennsylvania. Die-hard supporter of the Steelers, Pirates and Cavaliers. Insane passion for writing about sports and helping others improve. Incredibly thankful for the platform Pickswise is giving me. For Javan Shouey media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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