Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/16/26

I favored the Houston Astros over the Texas Rangers in their matchup Friday night, but I am switching alliances for Saturday’s game between these teams. Houston was able to win 2-0 on Friday behind strong pitching, but I am less fond of its pitching situation on Saturday. Kai-Wei Teng is the scheduled starter for Houston following his last outing, in which he tossed a season-high 3.0 innings of work. He did allow 6 baserunners and 3 earned runs in that outing against the Reds, and now he faces Texas. The Rangers have a 102 wRC+ against right-handed pitching and draw the softer starter today. Houston’s bullpen is also very weak behind Teng.

Jacob deGrom is the scheduled starter for Texas on Saturday. The veteran right-hander has been terrific in 2026, tossing a 2.62 ERA through his first 44.2 innings of work. deGrom has 57 strikeouts to only 8 walks so far, ranking 95th percentile in both strikeout and walk rate. He struggled against the Yankees to open up May, but he bounced back well his last outing with 7.0 shutout frames against the Cubs.

Rangers vs Astros prediction: Texas ML (-140) available at time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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