Adam Ronis
NBA
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There are 8 games in the NBA on Friday night with some good matchups. Several games are expected to be close, where 5 of them have a line of 5 points or fewer and 5 have a total of at least 233 points, with the Jazz-Hawks game the highest at 242 points. We’re on a 10-6 run with our player props, so let’s see if we can keep that going. Here are my best NBA player prop bets for tonight, but make sure you also check out our NBA picks on the side and total for all 8 matchups.
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Clint Capela over 23.5 points+rebounds (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
When Capela plays at least 26 minutes, he tends to go over this line. The Hawks center missed 3 weeks through injury and played 24 minutes or fewer in his first 4 games back. He played 36 minutes on January 23 and had 16 points and 12 rebounds. The next 3 games he had 18 points and 10 rebounds, 12 points and 13 rebounds and 10 points and 15 rebounds. Capela was limited to 22 minutes in a blowout on Wednesday in a 32-point win where he had 9 points and 10 rebounds.
The Jazz allow the 5th-most points to centers, 2nd-most rebounds to centers, rank 26th in defensive efficiency and allow 54.5 points in the paint per game, which is 27th in the NBA. These teams met on November 9 and Capela had 15 points and 19 rebounds. The Hawks are 10th in pace and the Jazz are 14th. With a game total set at 242 points, Capela should have tons of opportunities to stuff the stat sheet.
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Mason Plumlee over 25.5 points+rebounds (-118)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Plumlee has been cashing this prop consistently over the last month. The line was 23.5 last night and he had 16 points and 11 rebounds. The line has increased by 2, but Plumlee gets another great matchup. The Pistons allow the 4th-most points to centers and the 2nd-most rebounds to centers. The teams met on December 14 and the Hornets center had 12 points and 18 rebounds in an overtime loss. Plumlee has gone over this line in 6 of the last 8 games and 10 of the last 13 games. In January, Plumlee averaged 16.5 points and 11.3 rebounds.
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