Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 01/04/26

Soldier FieldFOX
Lions
8-8
Lions
Sun Jan 4
Bears
11-5
Bears
Chicago Bears
Google News

Lions vs Bears Guest Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Over 50.5(-110)

The first matchup between these NFC North rivals easily finished Over the total of 46.5 in Week 2 as the Lions crushed the Bears, 52-21. That feels like a year ago at this point as Chicago has won 11 of its past 14 games, while scoring at least 24 points 10 times in this span. Meanwhile, Detroit put up at least 34 points during a 4-game winning streak early on, but scored more than 34 points 4 times in the last 11 contests. Both the Lions and Bears rank in the top-6 of the league in yards per game, while Chicago enters Week 18 as one of three teams with at least 6,000 yards.

The Lions cashed the Over in 5 consecutive games before hitting the Under in the 23-10 Christmas Day loss to Minnesota on the 45 total. It also didn’t help matters that Detroit turned the ball over 6 times, although the Lions held the Vikings to 3 passing yards. The Bears and 49ers went up and down the field last Sunday night as Chicago fell, 42-38 in an absolute thriller. Chicago is 2-1 to the Over on totals above 50 this season, as the Bears scored 31 points in the lone Under against Dallas in Week 3.

The Bears are 5-2 to the Under at Soldier Field, while giving up 20 or less points in 4 of the past 6 home contests. We’ll see if Jared Goff suits up for Detroit or if the Lions mail it in knowing their season ends on Sunday. As long as Detroit doesn’t turn the ball over, the Lions have an opportunity to put up points and so do the Bears. Let’s look for a shootout on Sunday.

Over 50.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 51.

Lions vs Bears Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
CHI Bears -3.0(-105)

Last season, the Lions captured the NFC North crown and the Bears finished in last place. How things have changed in one season as Chicago is the 2025 NFC North champion and Detroit is a loss away from closing in fourth place. Bears head coach Ben Johnson helped the Detroit offense dominate in 2024 as their offensive coordinator, but with his shift to the Windy City has flipped the division. Chicago (11-5) is coming off a tough 42-38 defeat at San Francisco last Sunday night in spite of 330 passing yards and a pair of TDs from QB Caleb Williams.

The Lions (8-8) buried the Bears in Week 2 at Ford Field, 52-21 as 6.5-point favorites in Johnson’s return to the Motor City. That began a four-game winning streak for Dan Campbell’s team, but the Lions alternated wins and losses in the next nine games. Detroit is looking to snap a three-game slide after falling to the Rams, Steelers, and Vikings. On Christmas, the Lions dropped a 23-10 decision at Minnesota as 7-point road favorites, falling to 1-4 in division play. Coincidentally, the only win against an NFC North opponent for Detroit was in Week 2 against Chicago, as the Lions seek their first road victory since Week 10 at Washington.

Chicago is playing for playoff seeding at this point, as the Bears are out of the running for the top seed and will begin the first round at Soldier Field. There is no confirmation on which starters may potentially sit for Detroit with them being eliminated. The Lions stumbled to a 1-4 SU/ATS mark as an underdog, with the lone victory coming at Baltimore in Week 3. The Bears have won five consecutive home games since dropping the opener to Minnesota. It’s hard to back an unmotivated team in Detroit, even as an underdog after being favored in the last 2 weeks.

Lions vs Bears prediction: Bears -3 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number. 

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Caleb Wilfinger

Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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