Against The Spread Pick
The Toledo Rockets are only one win away from becoming bowl eligible this season. However, the Rockets are unlikely to win the West Division in the MAC this season as they already have suffered two losses. Meanwhile, The Kent State Golden Flashes are two games under .500 and need to win three of their last four games just to become bowl eligible this season. Kent State has also lost two in a row, including a home loss against Miami of Ohio by a score of 16-23 before their bye week. The difference is this game will be Toledo’s ability to run as they are averaging the 23rd most rushing yards per game and the 23rd most yards per attempt this season. The biggest weakness of the Golden Flashes is their inability to stop the run as they rank 129th in rushing yards allowed per game and 108th in yards per attempt. As a result, I look for the Rockets to win and cover the 7-point spread.
Over Under Pick
I look for Toledo to run the ball frequently in this game as they are one of the best at running the ball in college football. Meanwhile, Kent State is one of the worst at stopping the run. Toledo will likely attempt to bleed the clock as well. Kent State struggles to pass the ball, and that is Toledo’s most significant weakness on defense. The under 62 points in this game looks like one of the safer bets of the week.