NFL Week 17 Picks Against The Spread & Straight Up For 2019

CHI Bears -3.0 Point Spread

-120

Under 36.0 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

An NFC North battle here that is pretty meaningless for both sides at the Minnesota Vikings host the Chicago Bears. The Vikings are locked into the sixth seed in the NFC, so they will be resting most of their starters here including quarterback Kirk Cousins. Minnesota isn’t hiding the fact that they aren’t really trying to win this game, and I think the Bears win this one pretty easily. The Bears got embarrassed by the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football last week, but before that they had actually been playing pretty well. Sean Mannion is going to start at quarterback for Minnesota here, and he is one of the worst backup quarterbacks in the league. I’ve seen a fair amount of his preseason action, and it hasn’t been pretty. Mannion has only started one regular-season game in his career, and he averaged only 4.97 yards per attempt with no touchdowns and a turnover in that one. Lay the points with Chicago.

Over Under Pick

I think the under also makes a lot of sense in this spot. Mannion is obviously going to struggle against a still very solid Bears defense, and he’s going to be playing without most of Minnesota’s top offensive weapons. Dalvin Cook has already been ruled out, and I’d be surprised if Stefon Diggs or Adam Thielen suited up either. Minnesota is just looking to get out of this game without any injuries, so expect them to be running the ball a ton and trying to kill as much clock as possible. Chicago’s offense has been a massive disappointment all season long, and I don’t think Mitchell Trubisky is going to have too much success on the road here. The Bears mustered just three points in their most recent game, and this one should be very low scoring.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints

Carolina Panthers

NO Saints -13.0 Point Spread

-110

Over 46.5 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The New Orleans Saints are looking to get a first-round bye with a victory as they head into Carolina to take on the Panthers. New Orleans still has a lot to play for here and it is always important to lean towards the teams who have something that matters on the line. Looking at the Saints, they have been red-hot with quarterback Drew Brees breaking records left and right. They come into this game having won six straight road games against the spread. On the flip side, the Panthers have been lost without QB Cam Newton despite the best efforts of running back CMC. Even though the spread is large, the Saints have everything rolling their way right now. No need to lean towards a team that is completely lost right now on both sides of the ball and the Saints are going to control this game from the start. The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Carolina and I’m rolling with New Orleans here.

Over Under Pick

Sometimes it is important to look at possible historic feats in betting as the Panthers’ MVP might be able to help this prediction hit. As stated above, Christian McCaffrey has been the lone wolf in the Panthers offense and could create history here as he needs 220 total yards from scrimmage to break Chris Johnson’s record, set in 2009. I have a good feeling the Panthers are going to give the rock to CMC a lot on Sunday which will lead to some possible big plays. With that in mind, along with the Saint’s powerful offense, this could be a high-scoring game between these two friendly foes. The total has gone OVER in five of Carolina’s last six games against New Orleans and there should be a lot of points scored on Sunday. The Over is 5-0 in the Panthers’ last 5 games after they accumulated fewer than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Let’s have some fun with the Over here – it’s a great play.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

Detroit Lions

GB Packers -13.0 Point Spread

+105

Over 43.0 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Green Bay Packers will still be playing with some heart and all their starters in Week 17 as a lot is on the line here. Heading into the last regular-season game, the San Francisco 49ers, New Orleans Saints and Packers all have a 12-3 SU record and are still in the running for a first-round bye. Luckily for the Packers, they hold a conference-record tiebreaker over New Orleans. In hindsight, this means that Green Bay can finish with no worse than the No. 2 seed if with a defeat of Detroit. On the flip side, the Packers will grab the top seed in the NFC with a win and a San Francisco loss. They will be taking on the horrible Detroit Lions, who have lost their last three games by double digits. This line keeps rising and I will keep going along with it until it reaches past two touchdowns. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on FieldTurf and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Give me the Packers on Sunday.

Over Under Pick

The Lions’ offense has been average the past couple of weeks with quarterback David Blough, but they have managed to score 17 points in back-to-back weeks. If the Lions were to do the same here on Sunday, the Packers would need to drop 26 points for at least a push, but they are more than capable of doing that. The Packers’ offense has been red hot, especially the running game as Aaron Jones is making his case to be the best dark-horse RB in the NFC. Green Bay has dropped 54 combined points on the road in the past two weeks as I see that road success continuing here in Detroit. The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. Give me the Over here.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots

Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots

NE Patriots -15.5 Point Spread

-110

Under 45.0 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The New England Patriots clinched the AFC East with Saturday’s victory over the Bills, their 17th division title in the past 19 seasons. As a result, the big question in this game will be how long the starters will be on the field. All the Patriots have to do in order to get a first-round bye of the playoffs is a week 17 victory over the Dolphins. A Chiefs loss will also clinch the No. 2 spot for the Patriots. The Patriots looked the best yet this season against the Bills as the offense went for over 400 total yards and 24 points. The running game finally took off and New England had 143 rushing yards on the day. They will be taking on a Dolphins team that is giving up 135.0 rushing yards per game which is 27th in the NFL. Remember, the Dolphins did not score a single point in the first meeting. It’s a large spread, but this Patriots defense has been something else as of late. I expect a very low scoring game with the Patriots winning somewhere in the ballpark of 23-6.

Over Under Pick

The Under has been the Patriots friend pretty much all season long as the New England defense has been getting better and better each week. The Patriots have the best home defense in the league which will be the key to their success in the playoffs. They are allowing just 13.29 points per game. They are also ranked best in the league on plays allowed per game with only 56.67 plays per game. This is going to be a low scoring game in which the Patriots defense once again shines. The Under is 9-3 in Patriots last 12 vs. AFC East and 20-8 in Patriots last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. Give me the Under here.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns

Cincinnati Bengals

CIN Bengals +2.5 Point Spread

+100

Over 44.5 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Cleveland Browns are not going to be making the playoffs this season and that makes it an entire decade without post-season play. It has been a long 10 years for this Browns franchise and it might be getting worse soon as everyone witnessed Odell and head coach Freddie Kitchens getting into it on the sideline in the blowout loss against the Ravens. Now they finish off their lackluster season on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals where it could be Andy Dalton’s last game in the jungle. The Bengals have already secured the No.1 spot in next year’s NFL draft, so they will be pulling out all the stops in Week 17 to secure a win and finish off the Browns for good. The Bengals may have less talent, but they are getting a good amount of points in this game against a team that has simply given up. Give me the points as the Browns are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Over Under Pick

Expect both teams to have huge rushing totals on Sunday as the Browns and Bengals have one of the worse rush defenses in the league. On the road, Cleveland is allowing 156.71 yards on the ground per game while the Bengals are giving up 182 yards at home which is the worst in the league. With the linebackers biting on play action, the deep ball could also be a factor here. In conclusion, expect an ugly mess of defense with some big plays on Sunday. Points will be scored here and lots of them. The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Cincinnati and 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Give me the Over as Baker and Andy battle in the jungle.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Los Angeles Chargers

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Chiefs -8.5 Point Spread

-110

Under 44.5 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers are hoping to play spoiler here as they head into Arrowhead to take on the Chiefs. For the Chiefs, there is still a small chance they can be the No. 2 seed and receive a first-round bye. The scenario for that to come true is if they beat the Chargers on Sunday and the Patriots lose to the Dolphins. It is a very small chance, but at least it shows that the Chiefs will have something to play for on Sunday. Even if the Chiefs decided to take out some starters late in the game, expect this Kansas City defense to take over as they haven’t allowed a touchdown since the third quarter of a Week 14 win over the Patriots. This Chiefs defense is on another level as they have allowed 48 points in the last five games or fewer than 10 per game. Love the line at anything below 9 points for KC as the Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Over Under Pick

Phillip Rivers and the Chargers offense have been very underwhelming so far this season as they only managed 17 points against the Raiders and 20 against the Broncos. Remember, Los Angeles already lost to the Chiefs by a touchdown this season and the Under was a winner. Let’s make it a sweep here as the Under is another great play thanks to a Chiefs defense that has transformed since they took on the Chargers in Mexico. The Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games overall and 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games following a straight-up win. Easy and straight-up reasoning here as the Chiefs defense shuts down the Chargers and sends them packing back to Inglewood, where they will always be known as the Rams’ little brother.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills

New York Jets

Buffalo Bills

NY Jets +1.0 Point Spread

-105

Under 36.5 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

AFC East showdown here as the Buffalo Bills host the New York Jets in the final week of the season. Buffalo has already clinched a playoff spot, and although Sean McDermott has said they’re planning to play a majority of their starters, it doesn’t sound like they are taking this game too seriously. Everybody has been clowning the Jets but they’ve quietly been playing a lot better recently, and they are actually 5-2 in their last seven games. Buffalo’s weakness has often been their run defense this season, so maybe Le’Veon Bell will finally be able to get going here. Outside of understandably collapsing against the Ravens, the Jets’ defense has been playing at an elite level over the past month or so, giving up 10 points or fewer in three of their past five games. The Bills are coming off a tough loss to the Patriots in which they blew a late lead, so I don’t think they will be particularly fired up for this one. Take New York.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under here, even though this total is already very low. Defense is the strength of both of these teams, and I don’t have much trust in either quarterback right now. The Jets won this past week despite their offense, as they produced only 259 yards and relied on their defense to win the game. The Jets ran the ball 32 times last week even though their ground game wasn’t really working, and we should see an even heavier dose of their rushing attack here. Buffalo has an elite defense, and there’s no way that Sam Darnold goes on the road and lights up the scoreboard in a tough environment. This will be a defensive struggle.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 1:00pm ET:
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

ATL Falcons +1.0 Point Spread

-110

Over 48.0 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

Two NFC South teams that have been surprisingly strong recently will face off here as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons. Tampa Bay had been hot with five wins in six tries, but their momentum came screeching to a halt with a loss to the Texans last week. Jameis Winston had started to play really well, but I think it’s clear that won’t continue now that he has lost each of his top two receivers. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are both out with injuries, meaning Winston no longer has elite talent to throw to. He reverted back to his old ways this past weekend, tossing four interceptions against Houston. On the other side Atlanta’s defense has been getting a lot better in recent weeks, and the Falcons have now gone 5-2 in their last seven games after a horrible start. They’re fighting hard to save Dan Quinn’s job, and I think they pick up another win here.

Over Under Pick

This one has shootout written all over it, and I’m taking the over. Even without his top two receivers Winston is going to let it rip with reckless abandon, ensuring both teams put up points in a hurry. Tampa has the league’s best run defense this season, meaning Atlanta will abandon the run early on and start chucking it. Matt Ryan has been coming on really strong lately, and with Austin Hooper and Julio Jones at his disposal he should have a lot of success against this weak Bucs secondary. There were 57 total points scored when these teams played each other a month ago, and this one will be high scoring as well.

5 things to watch in week 17 of the 2019 NFL Season

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams

Arizona Cardinals

Los Angeles Rams

LA Rams -6.0 Point Spread

-110

Under 45.5 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Arizona Cardinals are hoping to break a horrible betting streak against the Los Angeles Rams when these two teams meet for the final time on Sunday. That terrible run includes losing five straight times to the Rams and not covering in any of those five games. On Sunday, Vegas is giving Arizona a free touchdown, but they could be without quarterback Kyler Murray. The rookie standout left Week 16’s game against the Seattle Seahawks with a hamstring injury and is currently day-to-day. It is the same problem that briefly landed Murray on the injury report a few weeks ago and it is still unknown if he will play on Sunday. If he does not start, expect backup Brett Hundley to take over for the Cardinals. This will also be the last game for the Rams in the Coliseum as they will prepare for their new home in Inglewood in the 2020 season. Even though they have been inconsistent as of late, this is a game where the Rams run away with. The Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings and I’m rolling with the favorite here.

Over Under Pick

With the Rams’ recent high-scoring game against the San Francisco 49ers and the Cardinals top performances against the Browns and Seahawks, the total jumped all the way to nearly 50 total points. There is no need to complain about this total as both teams have defenses that can easily make this game low scoring. With Murray still nursing his hamstring, and Goff making rookie mistakes still, expect a slow and controlled game here. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. I see the final score somewhere in the 27-13 ballpark in favor of the Rams.

5 things to watch in week 17 of the 2019 NFL Season

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Philadelphia Eagles

New York Giants

NY Giants +4.0 Point Spread

-110

Over 45.0 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Philadelphia Eagles are ready to grab the chance to represent the NFC East in the playoffs. All the Eagles need to do is win this Sunday against the Giants and they will be hosting a playoff game in Philadelphia. Even though it may seem like an easy task, the Giants are coming off an historic game against the Redskins last week. Rookie Daniel Jones played his best game yet with a career-high 352 passing yards and five touchdowns in Week 16. New York is hoping to play spoiler here and Pat Shurmur is most likely playing for his job as well. This is the perfect game for the Giants to threaten Philly dreams and keep this game close. A lot of points are being given to New York and anything above three points is a solid pick right now. I have the Eagles winning this game straight up, but this game is going to be a close. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I predict that the Giants cover the spread, but fall by the final score of 27-24.

Over Under Pick

Carson Wentz showed last week the Eagles can score against a tough defense and they should have no problem driving down the field against a team that gave up 21 points in 18 minutes last week to the Redskins. On the other hand, Giants star running back Saquon Barkley will be giving the Eagles problems as he is coming off another historic day of 189 rushing yards, 90 receiving yards and two touchdowns in last week’s 41-35 overtime victory against Washington. Both teams are going to score as they will not disappoint in the final regular-season game. I LOVE the Over here especially when it is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in New York. Take the Over.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys

Washington Redskins

Dallas Cowboys

WAS Redskins +10.5 Point Spread

-110

Over 45.5 Game Totals

-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Washington Redskins are looking to put the nail in the coffin of the Dallas Cowboys’ season as they meet once more at the end of the regular season. For the Redskins, Quarterback Case Keenum will get the nod here as rookie Dwayne Haskins is sidelined with an injury. Keenum was the starting QB back in Week 2 as Washington fell by the final score of 31-21 to Dallas. On the flip side, the Cowboys were unable to take care of the Philadelphia Eagles last week and need a miracle for them to make the playoffs. A lot is still on the line for the Boys especially Jason Garrett who could be losing his job despite reportedly still having the trust of Jerry Jones. A lot of points are being given to the Redskins here who move the ball way better with Keenum under center anyway. Last time Keenum took on the Cowboys he completed 26 of 37 passes for 221 passing yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Add that to a rookie star of Terry McLaurin who has been red hot the past two weeks with over 200 receiving yards, and the Redskins have a fair chance. The Underdog is 27-12 ATS in their last 39 meetings and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings as this should be the play here.

Over Under Pick

The Over was an easy winner back in Week 2 and it should be the same story in Week 17. The Cowboys and Jason Garrett are fighting for survival while the humble Keenum would love to lead a road upset win against the Cowboys to improve his free agency chances this summer. Expect a lot of points in this one as the Redskins will be throwing the ball a lot more while Ezekiel Elliott eyes having another 100-yard rushing performance against the Redskins. The Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and 4-0 in the last four meetings in Dallas. Give me the Over here.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh Steelers

Baltimore Ravens

BAL Ravens +2.0 Point Spread

-110

Under 37.5 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

An AFC North rivalry game with huge playoff implications here at the Baltimore Ravens host the Pittsburgh Steelers. If Pittsburgh wins this game and Tennessee loses to Houston, then they make the playoffs. The Steelers got a huge boost this past week, when the Ravens clinched the top seed in the AFC and announced they’d be resting most of their key guys for this one. Lamar Jackson won’t be playing here, which means Robert Griffin III gets the start at quarterback. It might seem like Baltimore isn’t trying too hard to win this one and oddsmakers have certainly accounted for that, but I think there’s been an overreaction. Pittsburgh is a mess right now, and right after benching Devlin Hodges they are forced to start him again because of the injury to Mason Rudolph. The Steelers will obviously be motivated to win this one, but it won’t end up mattering. They’ve now lost two straight games, and have looked horrendous both times. They’ve scored only 10 points in back-to-back weeks and that isn’t going to be anywhere near enough to beat the Ravens, even without Jackson playing. Getting Baltimore as a home underdog presents a lot of value.

Over Under Pick

I also think the under is worth a play here. Like I mentioned above Pittsburgh has failed to top ten points in back to back weeks, and the coaching staff obviously doesn’t trust Hodges. They’re going to be extremely cautious on offense, and will try to rely on their elite defense to carry them to victory. It’s been a long time since Griffin has played a meaningful game, so he should be pretty rusty here. Ravens coach John Harbaugh has also hinted rookie Trace McSorely could get into the game, which would be his first-ever action. This one should be pretty ugly

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts

Jacksonville Jaguars

IND Colts -3.5 Point Spread

-110

Under 43.0 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

An AFC South battle between two teams that are just playing for pride at this point as the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Indianapolis Colts. Indianapolis was in prime position for a playoff spot for a while, then they completely collapsed a little over a month back. I was always high on this team’s talent, but they were underachieving, until they finally broke out this past week. They put all of their problems behind them, and absolutely dominated the Panthers while stomping them 38-6. A lot of people thought the Jaguars might come out with a homerun effort after firing Tom Coughlin, but instead they got beat by multiple scores by the Falcons. Jacksonville has now lost six of their last seven games, and each of those losses have come by at least 12 points. The defense has seemed to have quit at times, and I don’t think they’re going to be too passionate about this finale. Indianapolis has a much stronger culture, and Frank Reich is going to have his guys prepared. The Colts win this one easily.

Over Under Pick

The under is just as good of a play here. Indianapolis had a lot of injuries to their defense earlier this season, which caused it to drop off. They are now pretty much healthy, and they bounced back in a big way this past week. They completely shut down Carolina, limiting them to only six points. Gardner Minshew has been struggling under center, and he only averaged 5.8 yards per attempt against Atlanta’s shaky secondary while completing only 13 of 31 passes this past week. Jacksonville’s strength is their pass-rush, and if their defensive front can get some pressure here then I don’t think either team will have much success on offense.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Tennessee Titans

Houston Texans

HOU Texans +3.5 Point Spread

-120

Under 45.0 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

A pivotal AFC South battle here with massive playoff implications as the Houston Texans host the Tennessee Titans. If Tennessee wins this game, then they are into the playoffs. Houston has already clinched the division, but Bill O’Brien has insisted he is going to play his starters and play to win. Oddsmakers clearly don’t take him too seriously, as they’ve installed Tennessee as a significant road favorite here. I think that’s a mistake, as the Texans shouldn’t be catching more than a field goal here if Deshaun Watson is playing. I think Houston will revel in the chance to knock the Titans out of the playoffs, and there’s still a chance that Houston can win the three-seed. I have never really bought into this Tennessee resurgence, and I think the Ryan Tannehill honeymoon period is over. Tennessee’s defense is very weak, and they just got shredded while giving up 38 points to the Saints this past week.

Over Under Pick

The under also makes a lot of sense here. Houston is going to be looking ahead to the postseason and they won’t want to put anything on film for their playoff opponent, so expect them to be very conservative on offense. This game is everything for Tennessee, so we should see an all-out effort from their defense here. When these teams played just a couple of weeks ago it wasn’t the shootout that many expected, and there were only 21 points total after the first three quarters. This game is going to be even more intense and should have a playoff-like feel to it, so I’m expecting another low-scoring affair. It’s also possible that O’Brien decides to pull his offensive starters at some point.

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Sun, Dec 29th - 4:25pm ET:
Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos

Oakland Raiders

Denver Broncos

DEN Broncos -3.0 Point Spread

-120

Under 41.0 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

It sounds crazy to say it, but at 7-8 the Oakland Raiders are still alive in the playoff race heading into Week 17 as they travel to take on the Denver Broncos. They’ll need a few balls to bounce their way, starting with a win over Denver. For a few reasons, I don’t think they get it. Denver has quietly been playing really well recently, and they’ve looked like a completely new team once Drew Lock took over under center. He’s given the franchise a desperately-needed boost of excitement, and the Broncos have won three of his first four starts. The only loss was on the road against an elite Chiefs team in the snow. Oakland picked up a win over the rapidly deteriorating Chargers last week, but just the week before they lost at home to an awful Jacksonville team. Denver is one of the toughest places to play in across the entire NFL, and the Broncos aren’t going to make it easy for them just because they’ve been eliminated from playoff contention. Lay the points with Denver.

Over Under Pick

The under also makes some sense here. The Broncos have been playing well since Lock was inserted into the lineup, but outside of one game against the Texans it’s not like he’s been putting up big numbers. Just this past week Denver won despite Lock throwing for only 192 yards, and they’re relying heavily on running back Phillip Lindsay and their defense. Denver’s defense has been playing better and better, and I don’t see Derek Carr having much success on the road here. This game means everything to Oakland, so expect an all-out effort from their defense.

5 things to watch in week 17 of the 2019 NFL Season

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Sun, Dec 29th - 8:20pm ET:
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks

SF 49ers -3.0 Point Spread

-125

Over 47.0 Game Totals

-110

Against the Spread Pick

The biggest game of the Week 17 slate here as the Seattle Seahawks host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football. The winner of this one takes home the NFC West title, and if the 49ers win then they clinch the top seed in the NFC. Seattle just re-signed Marshawn Lynch and while that’s a nice story, it’s not going to matter too much here. The Seahawks are really banged up at the moment, and they’re going to be without starting left tackle Duane Brown in addition to all their running backs. I’ve been saying for a while this Seattle team is massively overrated, and they’ve proved me right the last few weeks. Three games ago they got smoked by a mediocre Rams team, and just this past week they lost by 14 at home to the Cardinals even with Kyler Murray getting hurt. The 49ers are the more complete team, and the better-coached team, so I’m laying the points all day long.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over in this spot. Both sides have been banged up on defense, and I think we could see somewhat of a shootout develop. With all of their running backs on injured reserve, Seahawks offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer might finally be forced to abandon the run and set Russell Wilson free. Seattle’s defense is pretty terrible, and they’ve given up at least 24 points in six of their last seven games, but oddsmakers still haven’t caught up yet. When these teams played each other earlier this season we saw 51 total points scored, and I think we see even more here. San Francisco put up 34 on the Rams last week, and I’m really high on their offense.