NFL week sixteen picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free NFL week sixteen expert picks below. Get free NFL picks every week of the season.

Sat, Dec 21st - 1:00pm ET:
Houston Texans @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Houston Texans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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HOU Texans -3.0 Point Spread
-110
Over 50.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Houston Texans are looking to finish off the job as they head onto the road in Week 16 to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Texans are one win away from clinching its second consecutive division title ans will want to wrap it up now rather than stressing in Week 17. Luckily for them, they have proved they can win on the road against powerful offenses as they took out their rival Tennessee Titans just a week ago. On the flip side, Tampa Bay has been an offensive powerhouse with QB Jameis Winston breaking NFL history left and right, but expect a setback here on Saturday. Winston has been fine without his star WR Mike Evans but now he will also be without Chris Godwin (hamstring). They have been the go-to for Winston and have combined for 153 receptions and 17 touchdowns. I love the Texans here as they continue to roll, especially against a Bucs team that has yet to cover at home this season.

Over Under Pick

Both the Texans and Buccaneers are Top 10 offenses with Houston averaging 24.36 points and Tampa Bay getting 29.71 points per game so far this season. One of the biggest hot streaks in the NFL betting season has been the Buccaneers and the Over as Winston will be throwing the ball practically 95% of the time. It may not be as impressive as the past weeks, but Tampa Bay will be able to score against a Texans team that has conceded 81 points in the past three games. Expect a Watson and Winston shootout with the Houston defense locking down in the 4th quarter. However, the Over will already hit before the Texans take control. The Over is 6-0 in Buccaneers last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 11-1 in Buccaneers last 12 games overall. Give me the Over here.

Sat, Dec 21st - 4:30pm ET:
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
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BUF Bills +6.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 38.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

NFL football on a Saturday afternoon here as the New England Patriots host the Buffalo Bills in a pivotal AFC East clash. I’ve been relatively skeptical of both of these teams, but I think grabbing the points with Buffalo makes some sense here. New England is being overvalued, and they’ve failed all three of their toughest tests this season. The Bills very nearly won when these two teams played in Buffalo earlier this season, and the Patriots have been weakened since then. New England picked up a big win over the lifeless Cincinnati Bengals this past week, but before that their offense had been pretty atrocious for well over a month. Buffalo on the other hand went on the road in primetime and beat the Pittsburgh Steelers, showing they don’t have any trouble winning away from home. Buffalo has the defense to keep any game close, and I think they will do so here.

Over Under Pick

The under also makes a lot of sense in this spot. Obviously the strengths of both of these teams are the defenses, and this one should be pretty ugly. The final score was 16-10 when these teams played each other earlier this season, and I think we could see something similar here. The Patriots managed to put up some points on Cincinnati this past week, but before that their offense had looked terrible for five straight games. Tom Brady has clearly declined, and he doesn’t have too much help around him. Buffalo’s one weakness at times has been their run defense, but the Patriots have one of the worst running games in the league. I think Buffalo is going to be very conservative with Josh Allen on the road against a tough defense, meaning they’ll be running the ball a ton which will keep the clock running.

Sat, Dec 21st - 8:30pm ET:
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
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LA Rams +6.0 Point Spread
-105
Under 45.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The three-game Saturday slate will wrap up here as the San Francisco 49ers take on the Los Angeles Rams in an NFC West battle. The Rams laid an egg this past weekend against the Cowboys, all but ending their playoff hopes. They’re still technically alive though, so don’t expect them to roll over here. The 49ers also had a disappointing effort, losing at home to the Falcons as a massive favorite. I’ve been saying all along this 49ers team isn’t as good as they’ve been hyped up to be, and I think they’re starting to show that. They’re also really banged up at the moment, and are missing five starters on defense. The Rams looked terrible against the Cowboys, which has shifted the public perception heavily against them. Right before that they had looked great though, blowing out the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. I think they are still capable of coming out with a homerun effort, especially against a division rival with a chance to spoil their playoff seeding. I’m taking the points with the Rams all day long.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under in this spot. The Rams got torched by the Cowboys, but that game got out of control late and the final score is a little misleading. Right before that the Rams’ defense had been playing lights out, and they’ve still given up 12 or fewer points in five of their last eight games. The pass-rush led by Aaron Donald has been playing at a very high level, and the secondary is a lot better now that they have Jalen Ramsey at cornerback. Even though San Francisco’s defense is banged up they’re still very talented, and I think this one is going to be a defensive struggle. The final score was just 20-7 when these teams played each other earlier this season, so I’m not expecting a shootout here.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
New Orleans Saints @ Tennessee Titans

New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
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NO Saints -2.5 Point Spread
-120
Over 50.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Fascinating game here as the New Orleans Saints travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. For a few reasons, I love the Saints here. I was always skeptical of Tennessee’s run, and I think it’s over now with their loss to the Houston Texans this past week. The final score of that game was a lot closer than it really was thanks to a meaningless Titans touchdown at the end of the game, and it easily could have been a blowout in favor of Houston. The Saints on the other hand annihilated Indianapolis, and they’ve been mostly dominant recently. Ryan Tannehill mania is over, and I expect him to struggle here with an elite New Orleans defensive line bearing down on him. Titans running back Derrick Henry is banged up and didn’t look like himself this past week, which greatly limits Tennessee’s offense. New Orleans still very much needs this game for playoff seeding, so don’t expect them to take it easy here. The Titans only won a bunch of games because of a succession of lucky breaks, which are over now.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over in this spot. This New Orleans offense has been a juggernaut recently, and they’ve scored at least 26 points in seven of their last eight games. Since Drew Brees returned from injury they’ve been nearly unstoppable, and I expect Brees to have another huge game here against a very weak Titans secondary. Tennessee doesn’t have any cornerbacks who can match up with Michael Thomas, who is having a historic season. The Saints’ secondary has also proved to be a bit vulnerable in recent weeks, giving up 48 points to the 49ers just two games ago. The defense isn’t nearly as good away from home, so both sides could have some success on offense.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Jets

Pittsburgh Steelers
New York Jets
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NY Jets +3.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 38.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers are hoping to keep their playoff spot as they head into Week 16 in a must-win game against the New York Jets. The Steelers are coming off a dreadful loss against the Buffalo Bills and their offense has continued to showcase why it might be in trouble down the stretch. Is Delvin “Duck” Hodges really the answer for Pittsburgh? He finished with 23 of 38 completed passes for 202 yards against the Bills. He threw one touchdown pass along with four interceptions and was sacked four times. Even though the Steelers defense has gotten Hodges out of several mistakes, I believe they will run out of help on Sunday. This will be the Jets’ regular-season home contest and QB Sam Darnold will love to play spoiler against another QB who is getting talked about way too much. Pittsburgh is 1-3 ATS in their last four after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games, while the Jets are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 as a home dog. I love the points here and even the upset as the Jets take it home.

Over Under Pick

Another low-scoring total here as both teams come into this contest with dreadful offenses. However, one player is looking for a career day on Sunday. That player being running back Le’Veon Bell who gets to take on his old teammates and coaches. He is coming off his most productive rushing game of the year, rushing for a season-high 87 yards and that momentum should guide him into a career day on the ground. With the Jets focusing on the ground game and the Steelers praying to have more points than interceptions, the Under is looking pretty fine on Sunday. The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York and 4-0 in the past four meetings together. Under is the play here in this crucial game for the Steelers.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Atlanta Falcons

Jacksonville Jaguars
Atlanta Falcons
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ATL Falcons -7.5 Point Spread
+100
Over 46.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Jacksonville Jaguars are looking to keep their underdog story going as they head into Atlanta to take on the Falcons. The Jaguars did the unthinkable in Week 15 as they took care of the Oakland Raiders in their last ever game in Oakland. They were down by 13 late in the game and quarterback Gardner Minshew II lead the team to 17 straight points with strong performances by Chris Conley and Leonard Fournette. Despite the triumph over the Raiders, Jacksonville is still a heavy underdog here and for very strong reasons. The Falcons have been on a roll as of late winning four of their last six games including taking down one of the best NFC teams, San Francisco, last week. They have all the momentum in the world and are happy to see the Jaguars once again as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against them. The Falcons should easily take care of the Jaguars here especially with Atlanta beating the Panthers twice, New Orleans and the 49ers in the past month. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 16 as ATL will win big here.

Over Under Pick

The Jaguars may get pushed around by the Falcons on Sunday, but it seems as if Jacksonville is happy once again with Minshew back at quarterback. Even though the teams sit with the same record, they both can score and have shown that late in the season. Quarterback Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones seem to be finishing off the season great once again and this is a strong moment for Minshew to showcase why he deserves the starting role next year. I expect a lot of scoring here especially with the Falcons’ impressive passing attack that is averaging over 300 yards per game at home. Love the Over here as it is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games as a road underdog.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns

Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
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BAL Ravens -10.0 Point Spread
-110
Over 48.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Baltimore Ravens have been near perfect this season, except for one small bump in the road against ….. the Cleveland Browns back in Week 4. Lamar Jackson had one of the worst games in his career against the Browns in that one. However, it might have been the perfect time for the Ravens to lose as it woke up Jackson and the whole team. Since then, they have won 10 straight games with the verge of clinching home-field advantage on Sunday. A lot of bettors were thinking Baltimore would struggle in a possible trap game against the New York Jets, but boy did they show they are not letting their foot off the gas. Baltimore destroyed the Jets’ second-ranked run defense for 218 yards and Lamar Jackson has his third game this season with five passing touchdowns. This Baltimore team is hot and now takes on a Browns team that is blaming each other with turmoil all around the franchise. It does not matter how high the spread is, taking the Ravens with confidence the rest of the way is a smart choice.

Over Under Pick

It may sound crazy, but Baltimore has the power to hit this Total by itself. Three times this season, the Ravens have scored over 40 points and might make it four here in Cleveland. The Browns just allowed 38 points to the rookie QB Kyler Murray as the best dual-threat player in the league, Lamar Jackson will run wild over the Browns. This is going to be another dominating Ravens win as the Browns are once again going to struggle in front of their home crowd and most likely will get booed by the end of the 1st quarter. The Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a road favorite and in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC North division. The play here is the Over.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins

Cincinnati Bengals
Miami Dolphins
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MIA Dolphins -1.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 47.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Cincinnati Bengals are nearing the No.1 Draft pick as they head into Miami to take on the Dolphins. For Cincinnati, a loss here guarantees them the first pick. On the flip side, the Dolphins decided to ditch that theory and start winning. The Dolphins are showing some late support for head coach Brian Flores as they have gone  7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games following the worst start to the season in the NFL. This will be the home finale for the Dolphins and they have been great to their home fans as they have won two of its last three games at home by six points or more. Miami has the better roster and will keep this “winning streak” alive as they play another tough game and pull out the win in Week 16.  The Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record as the play here has to be the Dolphins. Bet this one with confidence.

Over Under Pick

The Bengals have the worst offense in the league. They are ranked dead last in points per game (15.07) and averaging below 100 rushing yards per game. Even with Andy Dalton back, the Bengals are struggling and it showed in the loss against the Patriots last week. The Bengals have yet to win on the road this season and that will not change because of that lackluster offense. Expect a slow and controlled game by the Dolphins here, as the Under is 8-1-1 in Bengals last 10 games as a road underdog and 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Total is way too high here, as the Under is another great play in Week 16.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
New York Giants @ Washington Redskins

New York Giants
Washington Redskins
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NY Giants +2.5 Point Spread
-110
Over 42.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The New York Football Giants are looking for the season sweep here on Sunday as they look to take care of the Washington Redskins. For the Giants, Daniel Jones will start on Sunday vs. the Redskins after missing two games with a high ankle sprain. Eli Manning is back to the bench as the Giants are looking into the future for the last games in the season. On the other side of the ball, the Giants defense has really stepped up and will be the deciding factor in this one. They have only allowed 20 points or less three times in its last four games after being destroyed for 30 or more in six of its first 10. As for Washington, they have been dealing with injuries left and right on both sides of the ball and do not trust them especially as favorites here. The Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games on grass and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. Give me the free points as the Giants cover and win this game.

Over Under Pick

It will be interesting to see who starts in the Redskins secondary this Sunday as they had four of the six cornerbacks hurt in their loss against the Eagles. That’s before mentioning that Josh Norman was benched recently and allowed the Eagles last-second touchdown in the back of the end zone. Manning or Jones should be able to throw on this weak secondary as the Redskins are allowing over 5.4 yards per play. The Over has been quite the play in Week 16 for the Giants as it is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games in Week 16 and 4-1 in Giants last 5 games in December. I expect an ugly shootout here with lots of turnovers, as the Over is a great play here.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Carolina Panthers @ Indianapolis Colts

Carolina Panthers
Indianapolis Colts
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IND Colts -6.5 Point Spread
-115
Over 46.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The Indianapolis Colts will host the Carolina Panthers for a game between two teams not making the playoffs. That doesn’t mean this game isn’t interesting, as it will bring the first career start for a rookie quarterback Will Grier. The Panthers decided to bench Kyle Allen after yet another terrible performance, but unfortunately I don’t think things are going to get much better for Grier. It’s not like he was a highly touted prospect, as he was the 100th overall pick in April’s draft. Indianapolis has been underachieving lately but they still have a lot of talent, and I think they’ll be motivated to get a win in their final home game of the season. The Panthers don’t have much going for them besides Christian McCaffrey these days, and I think they’re going to come out flat here. Grier has never taken a regular-season snap before, and he’s kind of getting thrown to the wolves on the road here with a poor offensive line. I don’t think this one’s going to be particularly close, and the Colts also make a great teaser leg this week.

Over Under Pick

Even though I’m a bit nervous about Grier, I think the over is the play in this spot. This total is simply too low given how poorly both defenses have been playing recently. The Panthers have given up at least 29 points in five straight games, and I see no reason why that streak would end here. They even gave up 29 to the lowly Washington Redskins, and they gave up 40 to the Falcons just two weeks ago. They are routinely blowing coverages in their secondary, and Jacoby Brissett and this Colts offense should have some success here. The Colts have been struggling defensively as well, and they just got torched by Drew Brees on Monday Night Football the week after giving up 38 points to the Buccaneers.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 4:05pm ET:
Oakland Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers

Oakland Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
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LA Chargers -6.5 Point Spread
-115
Under 45.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers will host the Oakland Raiders here for the final game at their temporary stadium. Both teams are coming off brutal losses, as Los Angeles got smoked by the Vikings while the Raiders blew the final game in Oakland in devastating fashion. I’ve been higher than most on this Chargers team all season long, and despite the fact that they are just 5-9 they still have a positive point differential. The Raiders on the other hand have a -112 point differential, one of the worst figures in the entire league. Oakland has now lost four straight games, and in three of those they lost by at least 21 points. This past week they lost at home to the Jaguars, who the Chargers just beat by 35 on the road two weeks ago. Los Angeles still has one of the most talented rosters in the league, and I expect them to close strong. Oakland’s Super Bowl was this past week in their final home game before they moved to Vegas, and I expect them to come out flat here following it.

Over Under Pick

I think the under also makes some sense here. The Chargers play at a very slow pace and usually run the play clock down to close to zero, ensuring their games don’t ever turn into shootouts. Derek Carr and this Raiders offense have struggled mightily, and they’ve only topped 17 points once in their last five games. This Chargers defense is now finally healthy, and with guys like Derwin James back I think they’re going to be very good the final two games. The Chargers gave up a lot of points this past week, but that wasn’t on the defense. There was a fumble returned for a touchdown, and several other turnovers deep in their own territory which set Minnesota up for easy points.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 4:05pm ET:
Detroit Lions @ Denver Broncos

Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos
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DEN Broncos -7.0 Point Spread
-105
Under 38.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Detroit Lions are hoping for some miracles late in the regular season as they head into the winter cold of the Denver Broncos home on Sunday. The Lions have been dreadful this season without quarterback Matthew Stafford and running back Kerryon Johnson. Lacking any type of star power on offense, Detroit has struggled to score points and now take on a tough Denver defense that is ready to play in its elements. The Lions are 2-11 in their last 13 road games when they’re underdogs and have lost five straight road games overall. It is hard to see any type of points coming from Detroit here especially with Blough getting the ball again. Remember he is going from a dome environment into the ice cold of Denver. On the other side, QB Drew Lock has showed his potential as every bettor should be siding with him as at least he can throw the ball more than 20 yards downfield. Broncos is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss of more than 14 points as the Broncos covering by a touchdown is a great choice here.

Over Under Pick

The Lions have struggled this season on the offensive side of the ball and the Broncos are not the explosive offensive team either. Even though they have been improving with Lock under center, they are still averaging 17.83 points per game which is 28th in the league. To go along with that, they are also struggling with yards per play with just 4.98 which is way below the NFL average of above 5.38 yards per play. Do not expect a lot of offense in this one as Denver wins this game with their defense and Lock does just enough to give the Broncos a solid lead. The Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games as a favorite. It is one of the lowest totals of Week 16 for a reason and the Under is the play here.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 4:25pm ET:
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
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DAL Cowboys -2.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 46.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Perhaps the most pivotal game of the entire 2019 NFL season so far here as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Dallas Cowboys in a game that will determine who wins the NFC East. For a while I defended this Eagles team, but I think the time has come to accept the reality that they simply aren’t very good. Their near loss to the Redskins all the way back in Week 1 should have tipped us off, and they have disappointed time and time again since then. Whether it’s been their losses to the Falcons, Lions, or Dolphins, they’ve shown an inability to beat even the weakest teams in the league. In their last two games it took them until overtime to beat the Giants at home, and this past week they very nearly fell to Washington again. Dallas on the other hand bounced back in a big way this past week, absolutely dominating the Rams. I’m no fan of Jason Garrett, but the Cowboys are the way better team at this point in time. Lay it with Dallas on the road.

Over Under Pick

I also think the under makes a lot of sense here. Philadelphia has a terrible offense at the moment, and their receiving corp is so banged up that they are trotting out a bunch of practice squad guys every week now. The unit has looked out of sync all season long, and Carson Wentz is having a very down year while averaging only 6.5 yards per attempt through 14 games. I’m still pretty high on this Dallas defense, and they just completely shut down a resurgent Rams offense this past weekend. Dak Prescott has regressed significantly over the past month, and this Eagles secondary is better than people give them credit for. This one should be a defensive struggle.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 4:25pm ET:
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
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ARZ Cardinals +10.0 Point Spread
-115
Over 50.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Arizona Cardinals are ready to continue their winning streak as they take on the Seattle Seahawks in another potential close NFC West showdown. Not sure why the Seahawks are heavy favorites in this game as they have been known for close games all season long. Do not be fooled by the Seahawks’ record as the Cardinals have a great chance of winning this game. Arizona is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 games and are coming off an impressive win against the Cleveland Browns. Arizona nearly had 300 total yards in the 1st half of the win as they easily cruised to an impressive 38-24 victory. Better yet, the running game is back alive for Arizona as veteran Kenyan Drake ran for four touchdowns and a season-high 137 yards in the win. Do not overthink this game as Arizona can easily stay within striking distance of Seattle here. Remember the Cardinals are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 on the road against NFC West rivals and 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games against the Seahawks. Give me the points as everyone should ride with Arizona.

Over Under Pick

As stated above, Seattle has been in some close games and 10 of Seattle’s 11 victories have been decided by eight points or less. To go along with that note, the Seahawks are going to be without some key players on Sunday. Tons of players on the defensive side or either questionable or out, including  Ziggy Ansah, Jadeveon Clowney, Shaquill Griffin, Bobby Wagner, and safety Quandre Diggs. Arizona is going to be able to score on them, but do not count out Russell Wilson to storm the Seahawks right back. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Seattle and 7-1 in Seahawks last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Give me the Over as well here.

Sun, Dec 22nd - 8:20pm ET:
Kansas City Chiefs @ Chicago Bears

Kansas City Chiefs
Chicago Bears
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KC Chiefs -6.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 44.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Sunday Night Football features the Chicago Bears hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Chicago had one last stand this past week, but they fell just short against the Packers, eliminating themselves from playoff contention in the process. They lost in particularly devastating fashion, as they very nearly scored on a miracle lateral play at the end of the game. As such, I expect them to come out demoralized and lethargic here. Kansas City has for some reason seemingly been forgotten about by the national media, but they’re still one of the best teams in the league and a legit Super Bowl contender. Patrick Mahomes is defense-proof, and I don’t think Chicago’s defense will show up here in a non-conference game that is suddenly meaningless for them. Mahomes threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns in blizzard-like conditions against Denver last week, so I don’t think he’ll have much trouble here. Take Kansas City.

Over Under Pick

I’m also playing the under in this spot. Mitchell Trubisky simply isn’t the answer under center, and everyone in the Bears’ organization knows it. Kansas City’s defense is a lot better than most people realize, and they’ve been coming on strong recently. This past week they completely shutdown the red-hot Drew Lock and the Broncos, limiting Denver to only three points. Safety Tyrann Mathieu has helped change the culture of the defense and secondary, and new defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is doing a great job. Chicago’s defense isn’t quite as good as it used to be, but the unit is still very solid overall so I don’t expect Mahomes to have a truly monster game. Don’t expect too many fireworks in this one.

Mon, Dec 23rd - 8:15pm ET:
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
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MIN Vikings -5.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 45.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

It’s the final game of Week 16 here as the Minnesota Vikings host the Green Bay Packers in a pivotal NFC North game on Monday Night Football. The Packers have been a great success story so far this season, but it’s time to fade them here. They’ve been getting extremely lucky for a while now, squeaking out narrow victories in ugly fashion. Just two games ago they looked terrible while beating the Redskins at home, and this past week the offense was once again uninspiring in a strange win over the Bears. They’ve only played one playoff team since October 27th, and it was when they got smoked 37-8 by the 49ers. Now going on the road against another borderline elite team, I expect them to struggle once again. Minnesota isn’t getting the respect that they deserve, but they’re one of the best teams in the league and have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Just this past week, they went on the road and blew out an underrated Chargers team by 29 points. Kirk Cousins is having the best season of his career, and I expect him to finally deliver in primetime here. Back the Vikings.

Over Under Pick

The under also makes a ton of sense here. Cousins has a reputation for choking in big games, and I think Minnesota will be relatively conservative with him here. Green Bay’s weakness this season has been their run defense, so expect the Vikings to pound the ball between the tackles a ton. Minnesota’s defense has been playing lights-out, giving up 10 or fewer points in back-to-back weeks. Aaron Rodgers and this Packers offense have looked lethargic for a while now, and the only time they looked good recently was against a terrible New York Giants defense. There won’t be a ton of points scored in this one.

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