NFL week ten picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free NFL week ten expert picks below. Get free NFL picks every week of the season.

Thu, Nov 7th - 5:20pm ET:
Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers
Oakland Raiders
LA Chargers -1.0 Point Spread
-116
Under 48.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Thursday Night Football here as the Oakland Raiders host the Los Angeles Chargers. Both teams are coming off much-needed wins, and are jostling for position in a crowded AFC wildcard race. For a few reasons, I think the Chargers will come away with their third straight victory. Every year the Chargers seem to start slow before turning things on, and they’re peaking at the right time. After they fired offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt and replaced him with Shane Steichen, the unit made an immediate jump. It looked nearly flawless against the Packers last week, dismantling them by a final score of 26-11. The game was even more of a blowout than the final score indicates, and the Chargers dominated one of the league’s best teams on both sides of the ball. Conversely, the Raiders escaped with a narrow last-second victory over the Lions, which ended with Detroit throwing an incomplete pass at Oakland’s 1-yard line. Philip Rivers looked the best he has all season, and he should have a lot of success here against the sieve of a Raiders secondary. The Chargers finally got the running game going last week and if that continues they have the potential to be one of the league’s best teams as they continue to get healthier.

Over Under Pick

The under also make some sense in this spot. These are two bitter rivals playing in Oakland for the last time, and I expect this to be a hard-fought game. The Chargers are recommitting to their ground game, which should keep the clock moving and limit the number of possessions in this one. Los Angeles wasn’t great in the red-zone last week, which could limit their ability to put up a huge total here. The Raiders have faced weak defenses the past couple of weeks, and I think they’re going to get exposed now with a tougher test. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram are one of the best pass-rushing duos in the entire league, and they should make life miserable for Derek Carr.

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
New York Giants @ New York Jets

New York Giants
New York Jets
NY Giants -2.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 43.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The New York Jets have officially hit rock bottom as they fell to the team that is tanking this season, the Miami Dolphins. Now head coach Adam Gase and the Jets are looking like a colossal failure this season as they try and regroup for this huge New York matchup. To make matters worse, quarterback Sam Darnold has regressed under the guidance of the new coaching staff. With Darnold falling apart, you would think the Jets would rely a lot on star running back Le’Veon Bell. However he has been pushed to the side and he comes into this game carrying a knee injury, but reportedly will be able to play through a knee injury this Sunday. he’s hardly been a savior though at 3.3 yards per carry with only one touchdown in 125 rushes for 415 yards. The Jets are a lost cause right now and there is no reason to try and back them against a Giants football team that is looking to get better every day for the great future they have. The Giants are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against NY Jets and the New York Football Giants are the correct bet here.

Over Under Pick

In the past three games, the Jets have allowed at least 26 points including to the ….. Dolphins. Now comes in an explosive rookie offense that is ready to unleash the future of football in New York. Quarterback Danny Dimes and running back Saquon Barkley have been in-sync for the past weeks and the Giants should be able to move the ball against a defense that is allowing 262.38 passing yards and over 32 minutes on the field. However, on the flip side, the Giants road defense is not that much better as they are allowing 33 points per game and 347.25 passing yards on the road. This is going to be a high-scoring game with the Giants pulling out the necessary stops in the 4th quarter. The Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a ATS loss and 7-1 in Jets last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Give me the Over as both teams showcase ugly football in New York.

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans

Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans
KC Chiefs -5.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Kansas City Chiefs did not falter one bit in Patrick Mahomes’ two-and-a-half-game absence. The Chiefs were able to knock out the Broncos and Vikings, and nearly took down the Packers. Matt Moore was the perfect replacement for Mahomes as the backup finished his three games with a stat line of 657 passing yards and four touchdowns with zero interceptions. Expect the same or even better performance with Mahomes coming back. This Chiefs offense will ride high against a Titans defense that has been hit and miss this season. Even if the Titans step up without the ball against the high-powered Chiefs or the Chiefs decided to give Mahomes one last week off, the main problem for the Titans is the offense. They are scoring less than 20 points per game as the passing game is barely getting 200 yards a contest. To make things worse, the running game has not been anything special compared to last year as they are not even getting over 100 rushing yards per game. This line will continue to jump all the way as sharps will hammer this. Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the AFC conference and I’m rolling with them here.

Over Under Pick

Surprise, surprise the Chiefs actually have a decent road defense. They are only allowing 18 points per game on the road with 230 passing yards. After the Chief’s emotional win against the Vikings, expect this defense to step it up a notch as they get ready for a strong playoff push now. Once the Chiefs get an early lead, the Titans are going to leave the running game which will be their downfall as the passing game has yet to save them this season. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City’s last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC South division as well as 4-1 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC. This is going to be a low-scoring game, especially with the Titans offense still a mess with backup quarterback Ryan Tannehill.

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns

Buffalo Bills
Cleveland Browns
BUF Bills +3.0 Point Spread
-120
Under 40.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Cleveland Browns are once again being over-hyped in week ten as they enter this matchup against the Buffalo Bills as small favorites. However, that should be pushed aside very fast as the Bills are 3-0 against the spread on the road already this season and are getting free points in this matchup. This is a very winnable game for the Bills as they have one of the best road defenses in the league. They are only allowing 12.33 points per game and 182.00 passing yards on the road which are 2nd and 3rd best in the league. A lot is being asked for the Browns as they are dejected and have been struggling with consistency this season. It is a smart and easy choice here to take points with a team that has shown they can win and make the playoffs, instead of a team that needs to win by a field goal and has shown they are not in-sync. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland as this is a must-play here.

Over Under Pick

The Browns offense is hit and miss right now as they take on a defense that is ready to prove they can compete in the AFC. It does not matter how many star players are on the offensive side of the ball, the Browns are not moving up the field with Freddie Kitchens dialing up the plays. This might be the game where the Bills put the nail in the coffin for Kitchens and the Browns. Expect a low-scoring game with the tough Bills showing the Browns what a complete team really looks like. The Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games in Week 10 as well as 6-2 in Browns last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Give me the Under here as it pairs perfectly with Buffalo winning this game too.

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals

Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
BAL Ravens -10.0 Point Spread
-105
Under 45.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Baltimore Ravens did the impossible as they not only defeated the defending Super Bowl Champions, but they blew them out of the water to hand the Pats their first loss of the year. Now the red-hot Ravens will hit the road as they take on the Cincinnati Bengals, who are still looking for their first win of the season. It should be a cakewalk for the Ravens as they will not be taking on quarterback Andy Dalton, but Ryan Finley, who was a three-year starter at the NC State. In the preseason he looked terrific as he threw for three touchdowns and one interception while completing just over 73% of his passes during the four games. However, this is no preseason game and Finley will have to take on a Ravens defense that is ranked 2nd in the league in allowed rush yards per game and is never on the field as they touch the field for 25 minutes and six seconds, which is best in the league. This is going to be a blowout as the Ravens defense is going to bull rush Finley all night long. Never bet on a team that is having a quarterback start its first game in the NFL against a top defense. Take the Ravens.

Over Under Pick

In the eight games so far this season, the Bengals have scored more than 20 points just once. With the quarterback change and more than two weeks to prepare for this game, expect a new look Bengals team. However, it will not take long for the Ravens to adjust and shut down the Bengals with ease. Cincinnati’s main chance in making this a game would be to get running back Joe Mixon going, but with the Ravens allowing 84.29 rushing yards per game, the mountain will be too much to climb. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games played in week 10 as this game will not be ending anywhere near the Total of 46. Take the Under with confidence as the Ravens control this game from the start and the Bengals struggle with a new quarterback.

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ARZ Cardinals +4.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 51.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

From weeks five through seven, the Arizona Cardinals were starting to showcase the power this new offense has. Winning three straight games and scoring at least 26 points, the Cardinals looked ready for their first big test against the New Orleans Saints in week eight. Unfortunately, the test was too big for them as they fell by the final score of 31-9. However, first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury proved he could bounce back against a top team in the league as the Cardinals nearly took down the undefeated 49ers on Thursday Night Football. They have covered the spread in four of the past five games and the Cardinals are ready to unleash their new running game. This will feature the return of David Johnson from injury as well as new Cardinal Kenyan Drake who had 162 yards from scrimmage last week in his debut. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games as well as 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall too. This Cardinals team is hungry to stay in the NFC West fight and take on a Buccaneers team that simply cannot finish. The Buccaneers have kept it close in pretty much all of their games this season, but as favorites there is no way to trust a quarterback who has over 20 turnovers this season. Give me the Cardinals. Sprinkling some money line on them is also a great bet.

Over Under Pick

The defense is still the issue for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as they have allowed nearly 100 total points in the past three games. They are ranked 30th in the league in points allowed per game and 31st in the league in passing yards allowed at 285.86. On the flip side, the Cardinals are no different as they are ranked 29th in the league in points allowed per game and in allowed passing yards. This is going to be a high-scoring game without a doubt as these are two teams who are in dire need of winning a game to stay anywhere near the playoff mix. Give me the Over as it has hit Tampa Bay’s last 5 games.

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
ATL Falcons +13.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 51.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Classic rivalry game here as the New Orleans Saints host the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons might be in a state of disarray, but they always get up for these games against their division rivals. Coming off the bye week, I think we could see a homerun effort from them here. Matt Ryan is returning after missing a game with an ankle injury, and the whole team has a pretty big chip on their shoulder. The Saints have rightfully been on the receiving end of a ton of praise, but I think the hype train has gotten a bit out of control. The Falcons have been having a very rough season but they are by no means a complete doormat, and if the Saints are getting complacent with this one and they are going to be in for a rude awakening. The Falcons still have plenty of weapons on offense, so they won’t be out-gunned here. The spread is simply too large, and you have to take the points with the visitors.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over here, and I think this one could be a shootout. Atlanta struggles are well documented this season, and they are all due to the defense. The secondary’s once again incompetent, and there is no way they’re going to slow down Drew Brees in the New Orleans offense here. Their only hope is to keep up offensively, and I think they’re going to be able to do so. I’m still not quite sold on the Saints’ secondary, and Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Austin Hooper form a great trio of pass-catchers for Ryan. Sean Payton should have a field day scheming for this Falcons secondary, and he had the bye week to prepare a creative game plan

Sun, Nov 10th - 1:00pm ET:
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
CHI Bears -2.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 41.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

This is a bitter NFC North clash as the Chicago Bears host the Detroit Lions in a game both teams desperately need to win. The Bears are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Eagles in which their offense struggled just to obtain positive yardage, while the Lions lost a last-second heartbreaker to the Raiders. For a few reasons, I think the Bears are going to be able to get back on track here. Yes they struggled against Philadelphia, but the Eagles’ defense is better than a lot of people realize. Detroit’s defense is an absolute mess right now, and I think Mitchell Trubisky will finally be able to have some success. Lions cornerback Darius Slay straight-up blasted Detroit’s coaching staff after their most recent loss, which is never a good sign. It seems like the locker room might be falling apart again, and if so then all bets are off. I don’t think Matthew Stafford is going to have much success here on the road against an elite Chicago defense, and I think the Bears will win this one pretty easily.

Over Under Pick

As crazy as it might sound, I think the over has a little bit of value here. This Bears offense has been humiliated weekly recently, and now is the perfect spot for them to get right. The Lions have given up at least 26 points in three straight weeks, and they just got shredded by Derek Carr most recently. Chicago’s defense isn’t quite as good as it was last year, and Stafford has been red-hot recently. This isn’t going to be a shootout by any means, but this total is way too low given the state of Detroit’s secondary.

Sun, Nov 10th - 4:05pm ET:
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts
MIA Dolphins +10.5 Point Spread
-116
Over 44.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Miami Dolphins got their first win of the season in week nine as they took care of the New York Jets by the final score of 26-18. It was another impressive first half by the Dolphins as they dropped 21 points thanks to Ryan Fitzpatrick’s three-touchdown performance. Now the Dolphins head onto the road to take on a Colts team that could be without their quarterback Jacoby Brissett. Tests are still being run to see what happened to Brissett, but initial diagnosis indicates a possible MCL injury. Even if he is able to come out and start in this game, a lot of points are being given to this Dolphins team that showed they can score. At home, the Colts allow nearly six yards per game and the Dolphins will have plenty of chances to move down the field. Indianapolis has yet to win a game by more than 10 points this season and might have a kicking problem as well. Adam Vinatieri comes into this game with a 73.7 percent on extra points this season, 27th among 28 qualifying kickers. Expect a back-and-forth game as the Dolphins have an early lead with a late Colts charge. The Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Indianapolis and the pick here is to side with the Fins.

Over Under Pick

Scoring is not the issue right now for both the Dolphins and Colts as they both have dropped over 20 points in two of the past three games. In the three home wins for the Colts this season, the average winning margin has been four points. This is going to be a close game with lots of scoring in the first half. The Over is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games following an ATS win as well as 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games following a straight-up win. With the Colts rush defense allowing 123.5 yards on the ground at home per game, expect the Fins to find a new to drive down the field as running back Mark Walton could be in for a career game. Take the Over here.

Sun, Nov 10th - 4:25pm ET:
Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Los Angeles Rams
Pittsburgh Steelers
LA Rams -3.5 Point Spread
-105
Over 44.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

NFC vs. AFC as the Los Angeles Rams travel to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers are currently on a three-game winning streak, but when you dig in I think it becomes clear that the streak is phony. Two weeks ago they beat the lowly Dolphins, and they even trailed by 14 at one point in that game. This past week they beat the Colts by two points, and it took an incredible series of events for that to happen. Indianapolis had their starting quarterback get injured, they muffed a punt, and they missed a 43-yard field goal in the final seconds that would have handed the Steelers a loss. I’m simply not buying any Mason Rudolph hype, and I think the Rams are going to dominate this game. Los Angeles is coming off their bye, and giving Sean McVay an extra week to prepare is a recipe for disaster for his opponent. He should have plenty of easy throws schemed up for Jared Goff, and I think they’ll be able to pick apart this mediocre Pittsburgh secondary. I think the Rams will win this one by multiple scores.

Over Under Pick

I think the over also makes a lot of sense here. Coming off their bye week, the Rams are going to have no trouble scoring. I think they’re going to get out to a big lead early on, which will force the Steelers to pass the ball a lot to catch up. Rudolph is a gunslinger, and he isn’t afraid to throw the ball downfield. He might get intercepted once or twice, but he also should complete some chunk gains to either JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, or James Washington. A total of only 44 is way too low.

Sun, Nov 10th - 4:25pm ET:
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers

Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
CAR Panthers +5.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 47.0 Game Totals
-116

Against the Spread Pick

This is a very interesting game as the Green Bay Packers host the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers bounced back with a big win over the Titans in Week 9, while the Packers suffered an unexpected loss at the hands of the Chargers. I’ve been high on this Carolina team all year long, and I think they’re going to march into Green Bay here and put up a heck of a fight. The Packers clearly weren’t playing as well as their record indicated, and it wasn’t that surprising that they got exposed by the Chargers this past week. They’ve been getting pretty fortunate, and I think the loss to Los Angeles could be a sign of things to come. Kyle Allen had a nice bounce-back game against Tennessee, I think he should play better moving forward now that he no longer has Cam Newton breathing down his neck after Newton was placed on injured reserve. The Chargers just saw their lifeless rushing attack get rejuvenated against Green Bay’s run defense, so I think Christian McCaffrey’s in for a big day here. Take the points with the Panthers all day long.

Over Under Pick

I am also playing the under here. Aaron Rodgers and this vaunted Packers offense couldn’t do anything against the Chargers this past week, and they didn’t even have 100 total yards of offense after the third quarter. I expect Carolina to play it fairly conservative and go with a heavy dose of McCaffrey on the ground, which will keep the clock moving and ensure this game doesn’t turn into a shootout. The momentum Green Bay’s offense had has been disrupted, and I don’t think they’ll be able to get it back against a very underrated Panthers defense that is quietly one of the best units in the league. Green Bay’s offensive line started to breakdown last week, and I think stud rookie pass-rusher Brian Burns will be able to get after Rodgers here.

Sun, Nov 10th - 8:20pm ET:
Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys

Minnesota Vikings
Dallas Cowboys
MIN Vikings +3.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Dallas Cowboys host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football. In Week 9, Minnesota lost a close one on the road against the Chiefs, while the Cowboys beat the Giants. It’s tough to bet on Kirk Cousins in a primetime game, but you have to do it here. The Cowboys are being overrated in the marketplace, and let’s not forget that this team just lost to the lowly New York Jets a couple of weeks ago. This offense has struggled mightily when they’ve had to play actual top defenses, and they’re running into one here in Minnesota. I think the Vikings are going to be able to have some success on the ground here with Dalvin Cook, and I’m not holding their loss to the Chiefs against them considering Arrowhead Stadium is one of the toughest to play in across the entire league. Minnesota also has a rest advantage here as the Cowboys are playing on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. Roll with the Vikings.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under a lot here. This Cowboys offense has put up huge numbers against weak defenses like the Giants, Dolphins, and Redskins, but they’ve struggled when they’ve faced a step up in competition. Both teams have conservative coaches, and so both will be looking to establish the run here. This is a crucial game for both teams, and I expect it to be a gritty contest. Expect to see a heavy dose of Cook and Ezekiel Elliott, and this one is going to be won or lost in the trenches. The Vikings are also going to be without top receiver Adam Thielen, which will further hinder their passing game.

Mon, Nov 11th - 8:15pm ET:
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
SEA Seahawks +6.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 46.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Monday Night Football features two NFC West Rivals as the San Francisco 49ers host Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers might be the only undefeated team left in the league, but I’m still not buying it. They’ve played an incredibly easy schedule, which has featured games against the likes of the Buccaneers, Bengals, Browns, and the Redskins. Russell Wilson will be by far the best quarterback they faced all season, and I think will come as a shock to them. This 49ers defense isn’t as good as it has been hyped up to be, and they just gave up 25 points to the Cardinals last week while barely escaping Arizona with a win. The Seahawks continue to stack up wins, and Wilson won’t be fazed by the bright lights of Monday Night Football. I’m not sure we can say the same about Jimmy Garoppolo. There’s no way I could lay close to a touchdown with the 49ers before they have been truly battle-tested. I think the Seahawks might win this one outright.

Over Under Pick

I’d also recommend a wager on the under. Seattle’s preference for running the ball is well-established, and that’s going to kill a lot of clock in this game. Kyle Shanahan also likes to run the ball a ton, and I don’t think you fully trust Garoppolo at this point. San Francisco’s defense has been carrying the team all season. Garoppolo hasn’t done much more than what Shanahan has schemed up for him. I’m not a fan of Seahawks offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and I don’t think either team is going to light up the scoreboard in this one. Both offensive lines are banged up as well.

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