Ricky Dimon
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Just like that, Wimbledon is only 1 week away. The grass-court season is flying by in a hurry, so players cannot waste any time as they try to get their games in shape for the year’s third Grand Slam. This week many of them are taking their talents to Eastbourne, where there is a 250-point tournament for the men and a 500-point event for the women.
I cashed Frances Tiafoe at +1400 in Stuttgart to begin the grass-court swing and came within 1 set of Andrey Rublev (+1100) successfully hitting for me in Halle this past week, so let’s keep the momentum going. Here are the odds and my picks for week 3 of the grass-court festivities.
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ATP Eastbourne odds
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Taylor Fritz +250
Tommy Paul +550
Nicolas Jarry +700
Emil Ruusuvuori +800
Lorenzo Sonego +1000
Brandon Nakashima +1100
Francisco Cerundolo +1100
Botic van de Zandschulp +1400
Maxime Cressy +1400
Mackenzie McDonald +2000
ATP Eastbourne 3-star value play: Nicolas Jarry (+700)
I’m tempted to pick Taylor Fritz, but there is very rarely any value on favorites the week before a Grand Slam and this tournament is no exception. With players in varying degrees of motivation levels with Wimbledon on the immediate horizon, it’s worth taking shots at longer odds. Jarry is a nice mix of a guy who isn’t the top favorite in Eastbourne but also has a very realistic chance to win. The Chilean has been in awesome form this entire year and he is coming off a quarterfinal performance last week on the grass courts of Halle.
ATP Eastbourne 2-star value play: Lorenzo Sonego (+1000)
Sonego finished runner-up at this tournament in 2021 and he captured a grass-court title in Antalya 4 years ago. It’s clear that the Italian is one of the more comfortable players on this particular surface. Sonego advanced a round in both Stuttgart and Halle earlier this month, plus he pushed Jannik Sinner to 3 sets at the latter. I like his spot in the Eastbourne draw, too, as he would not meet Fritz until the semis and Jarry until the final.
ATP Eastbourne 1-star value play: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (+5000)
Etcheverry has won just a single grass-court match in his entire career; but, hey, as I said before this is a week in which you want to take big swings. The Argentine extended Ugo Humbert to 5 sets in the Wimbledon first round last summer, which is an encouraging result. Fast forward 12 months and Etcheverry is playing by far the best tennis of his career. He is ready to win on any surface.
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WTA Eastbourne odds
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Elena Rybakina +340
Petra Kvitova +900
Ons Jabeur +900
Barbora Krejcikova +1000
Coco Gauff +1200
Carolina Garcia +1400
Jessica Pegula +1400
Maria Sakkari +1600
Beatriz Haddad Maia +1600
Marketa Vondrousova +1600
Karolina Pliskova +1600
Jelena Ostapenko +1600
WTA Eastbourne 3-star value play: Coco Gauff (+1200)
I’m not quite ready to go all in on Gauff at Wimbledon – or at any other major — but at a smaller tournament, I think she can find the winner’s circle. The 19-year-old American has already enjoyed plenty of success on grass in the early stages of her career and she restored overall confidence with a recent run to the French Open quarterfinals.
WTA Eastbourne 2-star value play: Ons Jabeur (+900)
As mentioned earlier, you want to identify motivated players in the weeks before majors. That applies to underdogs and also to those who need some match practice. Jabeur falls into the latter camp, as she has missed plenty of time due to injuries this season. The Tunisian will be eager to go as far as possible in Eastbourne, and she just may go all the way. Keep in mind that Jabeur reached the Wimbledon final last year, so she knows what she’s doing on the green stuff.
WTA Eastbourne 1-star value play: Beatriz Haddad Maia (+1600)
Haddad Maia made a run to the French Open semifinals, but don’t let that swindle you into thinking she is a clay-court specialist. No, the Brazilian won 2 titles on grass last season. Haddad Maia has a relatively difficult draw as part of Elena Rybakina’s section, but Rybakina has the Wimbledon title to defend coming up so I’m not sure what the Kazakh’s motivation level will be in Eastbourne.
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