The AFC East has turned into a fascinating battle this season with all 4 teams being competitive, which has not always been the case. As such, the divisional matchups, such as Sunday’s game between the New England Patriots and New York Jets, are all vital games. The Patriots are bottom of the division at 3-4 after a rough outing against the Bears their last time out, while the 5-2 Jets are flying high after 4 straight wins — but have just suffered a pair of costly injuries to rookie running back Breece Hall and offensive lineman Alijah Vera-Tucker. Our NFL expert has picks, predictions and best bets for this matchup, so let’s break it all down.
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NFL Week 8 New England Patriots vs New York Jets prediction
The Patriots are not accustomed to occupying 4th place in the AFC East, and they will want to change that situation as quickly as possible. New England had posted comfortable wins over the Lions (29-0) and Browns (38-15) before suffering a stunning 33-14 loss at Chicago on Monday Night Football. The Patriots are set to start second-season QB Mac Jones again after rookie Bailey Zappe impressed while Jones was injured and he will need a strong performance to avoid a prolonged QB controversy.
The Jets started the season 1-2 (with the win being a huge late rally at Cleveland), but things have really taken off for them over the last month with successive wins over the Steelers, Dolphins, Packers and Broncos, with a number of their young players leading the way. However, one of their rookie stars, RB Breece Hall, is now out for the season with a torn ACL, so Michael Carter is set to lead the ground game, at least until new arrival James Robinson gets up to speed. It’s a fascinating matchup, so let’s check out the odds and our expert’s best bets for the game.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets spread, odds & betting lines
Point spread: Patriots -2.5, Jets +3
Total points over/under: 40.5 points
Money line odds: Patriots -135, Jets +125
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Be sure to also check some of our other NFL Predictions articles for Week 8 below.
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New England Patriots vs New York Jets expert picks
We’ve got 2 standout NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Patriots and Jets.
Patriots vs Jets point spread pick: Patriots -2.5 (-110)
Be sure to check out our full Patriots vs Jets predictions
Patriots vs Jets over/under totals pick: Under 40.5 (-110)
Divisional unders are hitting at a 71% rate through the first 7 weeks of the season (25-10), as teams that are familiar with each other continue to struggle on offense. In this particular matchup, I don’t see the Jets having too much success on offense the week after losing RB Breece Hall and RT Alijah Vera-Tucker. Zach Wilson struggled in his 2 games against the Patriots defense last season, throwing 4 picks in about 6 quarters before injuring his knee midway through the 2nd matchup. New England outscored New York 79-19 in those games last season, with the under going 1-1. The Patriots’ offense should keep the clock moving with a methodical ground attack. New England runs the 2nd-slowest pace in the NFL and attempts the 8th-most rushes per game (28.7). The Jets’ defense overall has been playing well this season, but they can definitely be beaten on the ground. There likely won’t be a lot of big shots over the top for Mac Jones, especially not when going against Sauce Gardner — who has graded out as the 2nd-best CB in the league in 2022 despite being a rookie. Gardner has allowed only 151 yards in coverage all year with 1 TD back in Week 2.
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New England Patriots vs New York Jets expert predictions
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