Falcons vs Packers Predictions, Picks, Odds & Betting Guide
It's hard to believe, but we're already at NFL Week 3, and things get started tonight with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers. After two putrid performances, the Falcons finally get some good news with Michael Penix Jr. back under center for his first start since November 2025. As for the Packers, they earned a big comeback win in overtime over the Jets last week and will look to build further momentum in their first home game of the season.
Falcons vs Packers kicks off at 8:15 PM ET live on Amazon Prime Video, and we've got all you need to bet on this matchup. You can lock in our expert NFL picks on the side and total from pro NFL bettor Chris Farley, while Prop Holliday has delivered his best NFL player prop bets for TNF and JutPicks has his anytime touchdown scorer predictions. We've also got a Falcons vs Packers Same Game Parlay at +750 odds! Let’s break it all down.
Falcons vs Packers Latest Odds
Odds courtesy of bet365 and available at 8:00 AM ET on Thursday, September 24. Find out the latest NFL odds for every Week 3 matchup.
Money Line: Falcons (+210) vs Packers (-260)
Point Spread: Falcons +4.5 (-105) vs Packers -4.5 (-115)
Game Totals: Over 43.5 (-105), Under 43.5 (-115)
Falcons vs Packers Predictions & Picks
Chris Farley’s Falcons vs Packers Spread Pick: Falcons +4.5 (-104)
The Falcons have looked woeful through the first two weeks of the season, but the Packers haven't fared much better, and TNF could present a great buy-low opportunity on Atlanta. The Falcons' D ranks eighth in the NFL in yards per play allowed, and given the Packers failed to post 200 yards of offense against the Jets last week, there is reason to believe Atlanta can keep this one within a touchdown.
Chris Farley’s Falcons vs Packers Total Prediction: Under 43.5 (-115)
The Falcons have scored just 16 points across their two games this season, and although Michael Penix Jr. is set to come in at quarterback, that is unlikely to cause enough of a shift to send Atlanta into a scoring frenzy. Green Bay's defense has been solid, but the offense has been lackluster so far, with QB Jordan Love ranking last in pass completion percentage (52.11%). Go low on TNF.
Read NFL pro bettor Chris Farley’s full analysis for his Falcons vs Packers predictions on TNF
Falcons vs Packers Player Prop Bets
Best Falcons vs Packers Player Prop Bet: Tucker Kraft (GB) 5+ Receptions (+140)
Tucker Kraft entered the 2026 season hobbled, recovering from a torn ACL injury, and we were told his snap count would be managed to start the season. In Week 1, Kraft played 66% of the snaps. However, that was followed up in Week 2 with 98% of snaps against the Jets. TEs have had success this season against the Falcons, allowing the 3rd-most fantasy points in two weeks. I'm banking on Kraft stepping up this week.
Get the full analysis for Prop Holliday's best Falcons vs Packers player prop bets, including another pick targeting Drake London
Falcons vs Packers Touchdown Scorer Best Bet: Matthew Golden (GB) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)
Matthew Golden and Christian Watson have been the lone bright spots for the Packers' offense through two weeks. Watson has stolen the show in terms of touchdowns, as he's scored three through two games, but Golden is right behind him in terms of target share at 26.09%. Look for last year's first-round pick to find the end zone for the first time in his sophomore season.
After +400, +280 and +115 winners in primetime games last week, don't miss Justin Martin's Falcons vs Packers TD scorer best bets, featuring picks at +220 and +195 odds!
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay
Packers -5.5 over Falcons (-108)
The Falcons have been the worst team in football so far, losing at Pittsburgh 20-13 before getting humiliated at home by Carolina 34-3. Admittedly, they should look a lot different now that Michael Penix Jr. is back under center in place of Cooper Rush. That being said, we need to pump the brakes on the Penix enthusiasm. The reality is that MPJ hasn’t been anything special in his limited time in the league. In 14 appearances, he is completing 59.6 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Moreover, he is coming off another torn ACL. Green Bay is the far superior team and playing at home; look for it to win and win pretty big.
Jordan Love to Record 280+ Passing Yards (+318)
If there is one thing that has gone right for the Falcons through two weeks, it’s defending the run. In fact, they rank #1 in the entire NFL in rushing defense (63.0 yards per game allowed) and #3 in yards per carry allowed (2.9). Meanwhile, Green Bay is dead last in rushing offense at 64.5 yards per contest. In other words, this has all the makings of a game in which the Packers hit the airwaves early and often. Love will be throwing the ball all over the place.
Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-117)
Staying on the Love train, he should also have no trouble tossing at least two scoring strikes. He did that in each of the first two games, so what’s to say that the Falcons are suddenly going to be the team that holds him in check? Atlanta just watched Carolina QB Bryce Young go 23-of-36 for 287 yards and three touchdowns.
Falcons vs Packers SGP odds: +750
Kickstart NFL Week 3 with our expert's Falcons vs Packers Same Game Parlay Picks for TNF
NFL Week 3 Picks
Check out our expert NFL predictions for the Week 3 matchups below:
- Falcons vs Packers TNF predictions
- Texans vs Colts predictions
- Jets vs Lions predictions
- Seahawks vs Commanders predictions
- Raiders vs Saints predictions
- Rams vs Broncos predictions
- Eagles vs Bears predictions
