Today's Best NBA Player Prop Bet Picks & Playoffs Predictions, Monday, 4/28: Heat turn to their youth

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Germantas Kneita

NBA

Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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The 2 NBA Playoffs games on Monday night should have very different levels of intensity. In Cavaliers vs Heat, Miami will simply be looking to avoid getting swept by Cleveland. The other game of Rockets vs Warriors, however, looks set to be an all-out war, as Houston looks to level the series against Golden State. You can find our NBA predictions for tonight’s games as well as every matchup throughout the postseason, but for now, let’s take a look at my best NBA player prop bets for Monday, April 28.

Cavs vs Heat NBA player prop: Kel’el Ware (MIA) over 5.5 points (-115)

Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.

This series seems a forgone conclusion. Even with a key player like Darius Garland out in Game 3, the Cavaliers did not break a sweat. As a result, do not be surprised if the Heat turn their attention to the future and give their youngsters some more playoff exposure. Kel’el Ware would benefit from this. He has already hit the Over on this line in 2 straight games. That includes making 2-of-3 attempts from beyond the arc in his last outing.

Game 1 of the series was the first time in his last 19 games that Ware had failed to hit at least 6 points, and he has been able to correct that since. Once he saw an increased role this season, Ware became the leading offensive rebounder for the Heat, as seen over the last 15 games of the regular season. With the Cavaliers locking down the Heat, he should get plenty of opportunities to use this avenue and get himself in great scoring positions. All things considered, this line looks set too low.

After cashing 2 winners in the past 2 days, don’t miss our Cavaliers vs Heat Same Game Parlay

Rockets vs Warriors NBA player prop: Dillon Brooks (HOU) over 4.5 assists & rebounds (-120)

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.

The Rockets will need to lean on a tough perimeter defender like Dillon Brooks tonight, especially if Jimmy Butler returns to the floor. He should see big minutes as a result, which should allow him plenty of time to contribute with assists and rebounds. He has managed a combined 5 in 2 of the 3 games of the series so far. On the season, he averaged a combined 5.4 in those categories.

So far during the playoffs, the Warriors have been a high-volume three-point shooting team. With the Rockets often going with big lineups, it does push Brooks out to the perimeter which positions him better to chase down long misses. Considering Brooks has at least 1 assist in 10 of his last 11 games, he should be able to contribute in that category too. Back the Over as a result.

Round off tonight’s NBA action with our expert’s Rockets vs Warriors Same Game Parlay picks at +541 odds

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