Steelers vs Browns Same Game Parlay: Best SGP Picks
Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off with a huge Thursday Night Football showdown in the AFC North between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. Every team in the division is 2-1 through three games, so this is an especially crucial early-season matchup.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:15 pm ET on ESPN. Also be sure to check out our full Steelers vs Browns predictions.
Browns ML (+124)
Quinshon Judkins Over 73.5 rushing + receiving yards (-113)
Jaylen Warren Over 65.5 rushing yards (-113)
Parlay odds: +750
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Cleveland running back Quinshon Judkins having a big night would obviously work well with a Browns victory. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Pittsburgh running back Jaylen Warren to be productive on the ground. But even if he is, there is no reason why the home team can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the three legs.
Browns ML (+124)
Break up the Browns! They have won two games in a row, beating Tampa Bay on the road before taking care of a decent Carolina squad at home. Surprisingly, Deshaun Watson looks like a somewhat competent quarterback in phase two of his career. The former Clemson standout has thrown for 382 yards with four touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past two games. He is completing 68.3 percent of his passes this season. Watson may not be anything special at this point in his career, but he may not have to be anything more than serviceable given Cleveland’s defense. DT Mason Graham has already recorded four sacks, thus helping to make up for Myles Garrett’s departure. And it’s not like Garrett left for nothing; the Browns got DE Jared Verse from the Rams in exchange, so their front line is formidable as a whole. That could be problematic for Aaron Rodgers, who is not exactly mobile at this point in his career. Bryce Young, whom the Browns faced last weekend, was sacked four times, hit eight times and had five passes deflected. In their last five trips to Cleveland, the Steelers have scored six, 19, 10, 17 and 15 points. They are 0-4 in their last four on the road in this matchup.
Quinshon Judkins Over 73.5 rushing + receiving yards (-113)
Judkins was held in check for the first two games, but he rushed 18 times for 70 yards against the Panthers last weekend. It should also be noted that the former Ohio State star has been effective in his team’s passing attack, catching all nine targets so far this season for 53 yards – including five receptions for 27 yards at Tampa Bay. Pittsburgh’s run defense has been mediocre through three weeks, allowing 113.1 yards per game on 4.3 yards per attempt. The Steelers have also watched opponents’ running backs make 13 catches for 110 yards. In what will likely be a conservative offense with Watson going up against a formidable Steelers defense, expect Judkins to see a ton of volume.
Jaylen Warren Over 65.5 rushing yards (-113)
Following two weeks of ineptitude, Pittsburgh’s offense heated up this past Sunday. Warren rushed 17 times for 127 yards against Cincinnati, supported by a suddenly capable passing attack. If Rodgers can find at least some success early on Thursday and make Cleveland respect an air threat, things could open up for Warren. The Oklahoma product eclipsed this 65.5 quota in two of his last four regular-season outings in 2025, including a 143-yard, two-touchdown performance against Detroit in Week 16.
