Against The Spread Pick
The Minnesota Vikings did not need a miracle to advance to the Divisional round as Running back Dalvin Cook ran all over the Saints this past weekend. With the running game back and ready to go, the Vikings are ready for another potential upset victory as they now head into Santa Clarita to take on the 49ers. The Niners are well rested after a bye thanks to being the No.1 seeded NFC team in the playoffs. Even though the Niners have been known for their impressive defense, it’s hard to leave out that they have allowed 31.75 points per game in their last four games and 24.2 points per game in their last 5 home games. We saw what Dalvin Cook did to the Saints. Can he do the same against the Niners? San Francisco does not have an elite rush defense and allowed 112.63 rushing yards per game, 17th in the league. This will also be Jimmy G’s first start in the playoffs and we all know that horrible trend being tossed around. Since the NFL expanded to 32 teams in 2002, first-time playoff starters have an 11-29 record against a non-first-time-playoff-starting quarterback. Since 2013, those first-time-playoff quarterbacks are just 4-13 ATS. Speaking of key trends, head coach Kyle Shanahan has not been an impressive coach ATS. The 49ers coach owns a 5-12-1 ATS record as a favorite and is 3-8-1 ATS as a home favorite. A lot of points are being given to a team that just took down a possible Super Bowl favorite. Give me the points and let’s roll with the SKOL.
Over Under Pick
The Under was the winner in the Vikings Wild Card matchup, however, it’s time to flip the script and talk about the Over in the Divisional round. As stated above, the 49ers elite defense has been pushed around quite a bit at home in recent games and Minnesota has the momentum to continue their scoring ways on Saturday. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games on the road and in 7 of San Francisco’s last 9 games against an opponent in the NFC conference. In the regular season, both offenses were ranked in the top 10 in points scored and that will be showcased here. With the Over being 5-0 in 49ers last 5 Saturday games, I’m leaning with the Over.