College basketball Tuesday parlay at mega (+687) odds today 2/21: Keep backing Texas Tech
After a bite-sized helping of hoops on Monday, Tuesday’s college basketball slate is jam-packed with excellent games. We’ve got some real heavy hitters taking the court, including multiple matchups between ranked teams. I’ve combed through the board and found a few edges that I believe can create a parlay with an excellent payout of nearly 7/1 odds!
Let’s take a look at my 3-team mega parlay for Tuesday, but make sure you also check out our college basketball picks for the day’s biggest games.
Texas Tech ML (+116)
Baylor -1 (-110)
Michigan State -1.5 (-110)
Parlay odds: +687
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Texas Tech Red Raiders ML (+116) over Oklahoma Sooners
To start off our mega parlay, we’re going with Texas Tech to knock off Oklahoma on the road. The Sooners defeated the Red Raiders back in early January, but that was a much different Texas Tech team at that point. The Red Raiders lost a number of close games as part of a grueling Big 12 schedule in January, but they’re playing their best basketball of the season of late. Even after knocking off Kansas State, Texas and West Virginia, I still think the market is slightly undervaluing this team. The Red Raiders are getting great play from De’Vion Harmon and Fardaws Aimaq, who both should hold advantages in this matchup. On the other side, Oklahoma is just 2-8 in its last 10 games and 7-9 against the number at home this season. Look for Tech to grab its 4th straight victory.
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Baylor Bears -1 (-110) over Kansas State Wildcats
For our second leg of this parlay, we’re staying in the Big 12 with Baylor. The Bears looked like they were on their way to a Big 12 title for the first half of Saturday’s game against Kansas, as they were dominant for 20 minutes. However, the script was flipped after the break, and it became clear that Baylor was a bit shellshocked with Kansas’ defensive intensity and the pandemonium induced by the Allen Fieldhouse crowd. While this is now the second straight road game for the Bears, I believe they’ll be a lot more equipped to handle the Wildcats in this one. Not only is this a revenge spot for Scott Drew’s team, but Kansas State has a severe disadvantage on offense, with the Wildcats sitting at 59th in adjusted offensive efficiency at KenPom compared to Baylor at 2nd. Even though Kansas State has been outstanding at home this season, I’ll take my chances with a veteran-laden Baylor squad.
Michigan State Spartans -1.5 (-110) over Indiana Hoosiers
To close out our mega parlay, we’re going with the Michigan State Spartans on their home floor. Michigan State’s NCAA tournament profile is decent, but a win over a top 20 opponent would go a long way into securing the Spartans place in the field of 68. And while few teams in the Big Ten have been hotter than Indiana of late, the Hoosiers are simply not the same team on the road. Indiana is just 4-6 in true road games this season, and I expect them to struggle away from the friendly confines of Assembly Hall once again. On the other side, the Spartans have consistently taken care of business at home this season, winning 10 of their 12 games in East Lansing. This spot calls for a Michigan State victory, so I’ll lay the short number.
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