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ThriveFantasy NFL player props - Best Picks & Plays for the NFL Conference Championships: Believe in Joe Burrow

ThriveFantasy NFL player props - Best Picks & Plays for the NFL Conference Championships: Believe in Joe Burrow

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UpdatedApr 29, 2026
Reading time3 min

It’s championship weekend in the NFL with the AFC and NFC titles on the line. In the AFC Championship, we have the Cincinnati Bengals going up against the Kansas City Chiefs, while in the NFC Championship game, we see the San Francisco 49ers taking on the Philadelphia Eagles. With these teams, there are once again plenty of player props to target over on Thrive Fantasy whether it be for your pick ’em contests or your player prop tickets this weekend.

If you are looking for some NFL picks and you are playing over at ThriveFantasy, you have most certainly come to the right place. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy, but be sure to check out our NFL Best Bets and our NFL prop bets pages before locking in any NFL player props.

ThriveFantasy Conference Championship player prop top plays

Joe Burrow over 277.5 passing yards

This number may seem high to those who are looking at Joe Burrow’s production over the previous 2 playoff games, but the matchup against the Chiefs is against a much easier defense to throw the football on than Burrow was facing against the Bills or Ravens. The Chiefs defense this season ranked just 20th in DVOA against the pass and Burrow eclipsed this total when these teams met earlier this season, throwing for 286 yards. With a healthy Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd at his disposal I would look for Burrow to be throwing early and often in this matchup.

Be sure to check out our full Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions

Joe Mixon over 22.5 receiving yards

The Chiefs allowed the most receptions and the 4th-most receiving yards to running backs this season and Joe Mixon is coming off a career year when it comes to his involvement in the team’s passing offense. He has nearly eclipsed this total in the Bengals’ playoff games this postseason against much tougher defenses. There were only 4 games all season in which Mixon went under this total.

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Jalen Hurts under 300.5 passing and rushing yards

We have to be realistic about the matchup Jalen Hurts is about to come up against and he will be facing a defense that may be the best in the NFL. The 49ers have a strong front seven that makes it difficult to run the football and they have a solid secondary as well. I’m not sure we see much more than 230 yards passing from Hurts and 70+ yards rushing seems high as well, just given the caliber of defense he is up against.

Be sure to check out our full San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles predictions

Brock Purdy under 234.5 passing and rushing yards

The top defense in the NFL this season belonged to the Philadelphia Eagles. They had a league-leading 70 sacks on the year, 15 more than the next-best team. They also had 17 interceptions. They ranked 1st in DVOA defense against the pass but just 21st against the run and a heavy dose of Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell could be in store for this matchup. Purdy went under this total last week in another tough matchup against Dallas and it’s only getting harder this week with the 49ers being on the road.

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