UFC on ESPN 43: Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen predictions & four-fight parlay (+509 odds): Clear winner in Holm vs Santos
UFC on ESPN 43 takes place on Saturday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. This card features a bantamweight fight between Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite parlay for this card, with odds of +509 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 43 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
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Holly Holm vs Yana Santos – Fight to end by unanimous decision (-150)
Holly Holm is a significant favorite in this fight making her moneyline too risky to back with her being just 2-2 in her last 4 UFC fights. Yana Santos is 2-2 in her last 4 fights as well, so an outright upset could be unlikely. Holm has seen 4 of her last 6 fights end by unanimous decision, and the same goes for Santos. Because it is likely that one of these ladies dominate the fight without a finish, backing this fight to end by unanimous decision will be the play.
Nate Landwehr ML over Austin Lingo (-200)
Nate Landwehr comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-4. He is 3-2 in the UFC, most recently beating David Onama by majority decision back in August of 2022. Landwehr is averaging 6.37 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 5.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. He is a solid grappler, averaging 1.30 takedowns per every 15 minutes, and 1.3 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 66% and his takedown defense is 86%.
Landwehr is a big favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. He has the edge in striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be the play.
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Andrea Lee vs Maycee Barber – Fight to end by unanimous decision (-135)
Maycee Barber is a huge favorite in this fight, and while Andrea Lee has lost her last 4 fights in a row in the UFC, backing her moneyline could be too risky. The more likely result will be for this fight to end by unanimous decision. Lee has seen 5 of her 9 UFC fights end by unanimous decision, which includes her most recent fight. Barber has seen 4 of her last 5 UFC fights end by unanimous decision. For that reason, backing this fight to also end by unanimous decision will be the play.
Alex Perez vs Manel Kape – Fight to go the distance – No (-250)
Manel Kape is a large favorite, but Alex Perez’s finishing ability will likely give him a decent chance to pull the upset. Perez has seen 18 of his 31 fights end inside the distance, which includes his last 4 UFC fights in a row. Kape has seen 18 of his 24 career fights end inside the distance, which includes 2 of his last 3 UFC fights. Because the majority of their fights end inside the distance, backing this fight to do the same will be the play.
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