UFC on ESPN 43: Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen predictions & four-fight parlay (+509 odds): Clear winner in Holm vs Santos

January 18, 2020; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Holly Holm during UFC 246 at T-Mobile Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore


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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

UFC on ESPN 43 takes place on Saturday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. This card features a bantamweight fight between Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen as the Main Event.

Here is our favorite parlay for this card, with odds of +509 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 43 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.

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Holly Holm vs Yana Santos – Fight to end by unanimous decision (-150)

Holly Holm is a significant favorite in this fight making her moneyline too risky to back with her being just 2-2 in her last 4 UFC fights. Yana Santos is 2-2 in her last 4 fights as well, so an outright upset could be unlikely. Holm has seen 4 of her last 6 fights end by unanimous decision, and the same goes for Santos. Because it is likely that one of these ladies dominate the fight without a finish, backing this fight to end by unanimous decision will be the play.

Nate Landwehr ML over Austin Lingo (-200)

Nate Landwehr comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-4. He is 3-2 in the UFC, most recently beating David Onama by majority decision back in August of 2022. Landwehr is averaging 6.37 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 5.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. He is a solid grappler, averaging 1.30 takedowns per every 15 minutes, and 1.3 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 66% and his takedown defense is 86%.

Landwehr is a big favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. He has the edge in striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be the play.

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Andrea Lee vs Maycee Barber – Fight to end by unanimous decision (-135)

Maycee Barber is a huge favorite in this fight, and while Andrea Lee has lost her last 4 fights in a row in the UFC, backing her moneyline could be too risky. The more likely result will be for this fight to end by unanimous decision. Lee has seen 5 of her 9 UFC fights end by unanimous decision, which includes her most recent fight. Barber has seen 4 of her last 5 UFC fights end by unanimous decision. For that reason, backing this fight to also end by unanimous decision will be the play.

Alex Perez vs Manel Kape – Fight to go the distance – No (-250)

Manel Kape is a large favorite, but Alex Perez’s finishing ability will likely give him a decent chance to pull the upset. Perez has seen 18 of his 31 fights end inside the distance, which includes his last 4 UFC fights in a row. Kape has seen 18 of his 24 career fights end inside the distance, which includes 2 of his last 3 UFC fights. Because the majority of their fights end inside the distance, backing this fight to do the same will be the play.

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