MLB Thursday mega parlay (+918 odds) 7/7: Tony Gonsolin stays hot

Photo of Caleb Wilfinger

Caleb Wilfinger

MLB · 1 month ago

Show Bio

Deputy Editor for Pickswise. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC.

The dog days of summer are here, and that means more than 12 hours of baseball on Thursday. There are a number of intriguing matchups throughout the day from coast to coast. And what better way to celebrate a full slate of baseball than by going for a big payday? That’s right, we’re back with another mega parlay with a payout of over 9/1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our free picks on the side and total for every MLB game today. Let’s get into our mega parlay for today.  

Dodgers alternate run line -2.5 (+120)

Astros -1.5 (-140)

Padres -1.5 (+170)

Parlay odds: +918

Let’s break down each of the legs one by one.

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

LA Dodgers alternate run line -2.5 (+120) over Chicago Cubs

To start off this mega parlay, we are going with the Dodgers -2.5 on an alternate run line. Even while laying this hefty number, it’s tough to fade LA with Tony Gonsolin on the mound. The right-hander has been the Dodgers’ best pitcher this season, posting an ERA of 1.54 through his first 15 outings. In fact, Gonsolin has yet to surrender more than 2 runs in his last 13 starts, while throwing for over 75 innings in that span. The Dodgers tend to win when he pitches, and I expect that to be the case once again today.

The Cubs will counter with Mark Leiter Jr., who has limited experience as an MLB starter. In 3 starts this season, Leiter Jr. has surrendered 9 runs in just 10 innings pitched. Don’t expect more than 3-4 innings from the right-hander, and the Dodgers offense should see to that. With Mookie Betts back in the lineup, LA becomes even more of a nightmare for right-handed pitching. Look for the Dodgers to start fast and cruise to a decisive win at home.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for LA Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs

Houston Astros -1.5 (-140) over Kansas City Royals

For the second leg of this mega parlay, we’ve got the Astros on the run line. If it’s not broke, don’t fix it. I sound like a broken record when talking about the Astros performances of late, but Houston keeps taking care of business. The Astros are rolling at home this season, posting a 26-11 record at Minute Maid Park. They have won 10 of their last 11 games and look like a serious World Series contender. On the other side of things, the Royals are one of the worst teams in baseball and it won’t get any easier for them in this one. To make matters worse, KC starter Kris Bubic is struggling mightily this season, posting a 7.06 ERA through 43 IP.

You don’t need me to tell you that Houston’s lineup is absolutely loaded. And with Justin Verlander on the hill, the Astros should hold a lead through the first 6 innings. Even if Verlander isn’t at his best, the Astros’ bullpen has been one of the best in baseball. I like Houston to start strongly and coast to a decisive victory.

San Diego Padres -1.5 (+170) over San Francisco Giants

To finish off this mega parlay, we have the Padres on the run line. San Diego hasn’t been playing at a high level, but the Padres do have Joe Musgrove on the mound today. Musgrove has been one the best pitchers in baseball, allowing just 23 runs in 92 innings in 2022. More importantly, the Padres are catching a Giants team that is in a tailspin. San Francisco has won just 2 of its last 9 games, including 6 straight losses before a win last night. The Giants went from contending for the NL West to being outside of the NL Wild Card picture.

Logan Webb has been the Giants best pitcher this season, and he’s been pitching at a very high level in his last 4 starts. However, the Giants offense is nothing to write home about. With 92 strikeouts in as many innings pitched, Musgrove’s stuff has been active and consistent. The right-hander has been a model of consistency, throwing at least 6 innings in each start this season. At this price, I like fading a struggling Giants team by riding with an elite pitcher in Musgrove.

Be sure to check out best YRFI and NRFI plays for today

Pickswise is the home of free MLB Picks. Check out the latest MLB Prop Bets and MLB Parlays as well as our MLB Best Bets from the experts.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

BetMGM

$200

Get $200 in Free Bets & a PICKSWISE HAT!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline wager on any team

Win $200 in free bets and a FREE Pickswise hat

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$250

Bet One, Get One: FanDuel will match your first bet placed up to $250 in free bets

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Deposit at least $10 into your account

FanDuel will match your first bet up to $250 in Free Bets!

Must be 21+ in CO. First deposit of at least $10 required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.