NFL Week 2 same game parlay (+2523 odds): Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Bills quarterback Josh Allen celebrating after receiver Stefon Diggs' four-yard touchdown catch in a 35-32 win over the Rams.
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NFL· 1 month ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The 2021 NFL season got underway last week with an epic Week 1. Now we’ll be treated to another full slate this coming Sunday. An interesting divisional game featuring two young quarterbacks will take place here as the Miami Dolphins host the Buffalo Bills. What better way to make this AFC East rivalry game even more exciting than by betting a same game parlay? We also have thoughts on the side and total for every Week 2 matchup, of course, which you can view in our NFL picks tab.

Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-105)

Josh Allen to record 400+ passing yards (+750)

Same Game Parlay odds: +2523

We have a simple 2-leg same game parlay which pays out just north of 25/1 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s break it down:

Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-105)

There are a lot of reasons to believe in the Bills here. They’re coming off a loss to the Steelers as big favorites, but the final score in that game doesn’t tell the full story. I was actually really impressed with how their defense played, as they held Najee Harris to 45 yards on 16 carries and held Ben Roethlisberger under 190 yards. A blocked punt return touchdown is the only reason Pittsburgh won that game. The final score in Miami’s Week 1 win over the Patriots also doesn’t tell the full story.

The Dolphins had less than 250 yards of total offense in that game, they just benefitted from a couple of poorly-timed Pats fumbles. Buffalo is coming off a fluke loss while the Dolphins are coming off a fluke win. I know what that’s a recipe for. The Dolphins let Mac Jones look quite comfortable in his first career start last week, so they could get carved up by Allen here. We know Allen has a great history against Miami head coach Brian Flores. There’s a good chance this one isn’t close.

Josh Allen to record 400+ passing yards (+750)

For a bet to be profitable long-term at +700 odds, it needs to cash fewer than 1/8 times. Allen got to 400 yards twice last year, so on the surface this line seems about right as a standalone prop. The reason I love it for this same game parlay is it gets us a huge odds boost. FanDuel’s system is treating it like Allen getting to 400 correlates against the Bills covering, when I don’t think that’s the case at all. Sometimes racking up big yardage can mean you’re playing from a deficit, but certainly not always. Buffalo won both of the games Allen threw for 400+ in last year, most recently beating the Seahawks by 10 in a game Allen threw for 415 in.

Like I alluded to above, Allen has a pattern of success against Flores. In four career starts against a Flores defense over the past two years, Allen has averaged 7.8 yards per attempt or better every time. Last year he actually only had one real start against the Dolphins, since he didn’t play the second half in Week 17. In that one game? He threw for 417 yards and four touchdowns in a Bills win. The Dolphins want to send a lot of blitzes, and that’s something Allen excels at beating. The matchup here is appealing.

What is a Same Game Parlay?

Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?

Make sure you check out Pickswise Playbook, our brand new weekly NFL betting show with Chris Rose, Ross Tucker and Jared Smith as they look to make your next bet better! Out every Thursday

Pickswise is the home of free NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.

See All
DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on the NFL, Get $200!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $5+ on the Money Line of any NFL game

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 CASH on the Cardinals vs. Texans!

Register for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make a deposit of $10+

Bet $5 on the Cardinals vs. Texans

If you pick the winner correctly, you win $150 in CASH!

21+ and new players only. Max bet $5, max reward $150. Must deposit $10+ to be eligible for promotion. Full terms available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Unibet

$50

Bet $5, Win $50 if Your Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with Unibet and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any NBA team to win their next game

If your team hits a 3-pointer during the game, you win a bonus $50 - regardless of the game's outcome!

Max bet $5. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Unibet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on the NBA, Get $200!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $5+ on the Money Line of any NBA Basketball game

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose - up to $5,000!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.