Sunday Night Football Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys NFL predictions, picks, odds & spreads: Don't fade them Cowboys

If you were in any way disappointed to miss the Indianapolis Colts on primetime TV on Monday night, don’t worry, they’re on Sunday Night Football against the Dallas Cowboys too! The Colts lost 24-17 to the Steelers to fall to 4-7-1 on the season, but there should be more interest for most neutral fans in watching the home team in this game.

The Cowboys are in the thick of the hunt for playoff places in the NFC with an 8-3 record, but they can’t afford to ease up with all 4 NFC East teams having records of 7-5 and better. The Cowboys are a double-digit favorite and our expert has picks for the spread and total on the game.

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NFL Week 13 Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys prediction

It has not been a dull season for the Colts so far, but nor has it been a successful one. An opening 20-20 with the Texans was a sign that things might not go as smoothly as everyone in Indiana hoped, and a 3-5-1 start led to head coach Frank Reich being fired and replaced by Jeff Saturday. The former Colts center conjured up a win over the Raiders in his first game, but losses to the Eagles and Steelers have followed and there may not be a long line at the window to back them to win this game on the road.

The Cowboys are rolling along nicely enough with 4 wins in their last 5 games (although they should have won the other game against the Packers too) but are still 2 games behind the Eagles. They might also be keen to impress the watching Odell Beckham Jr. as one of the teams in line to sign the high-profile free agent. Let’s take a look at the betting lines for Sunday’s late game.

Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys spread, odds & betting lines

Point spread: Colts +10.5, Cowboys -10
Total points over/under: 43.5-44.5 points
Money line odds: Colts +410, Cowboys -500

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Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys expert picks

We’ve got 2 smart NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Colts and Cowboys.

Colts vs Cowboys point spread pick: Cowboys -10 (-110)

The Indianapolis Colts will be playing on a short week of rest when they visit the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. It will be the Colts’ second consecutive primetime game — much to the chagrin of television networks and football fans alike — following their recent 24-17 home loss to Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football. A short week only adds insult to injury, as Indianapolis would have its hands full against Dallas even on normal rest. The Colts did well to win interim head coach Jeff Saturday’s debut against Las Vegas before pushing Philadelphia from start to finish of a 1-point loss, but reality set in on Monday. Matt Ryan arguably looked the oldest he has at any point in 2022 — or ever — and Jonathan Taylor was held in check by Pittsburgh for the most part.

If the Steelers can handle the Colts’ offense with relative ease, just think what the Cowboys can do on Sunday night. Dallas is 7th in total defense, #1 against the pass and #1 by a mile in sacks (45). This is a disastrous matchup for immobile quarterback such as Ryan. The Cowboys know the visitors’ only chance is to keep the ball on the ground and they will be stacking the box to overplay the run all night. Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 on the road. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 against opponents with losing records. It is also worth noting that both the home team and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 head-to-head matchups.

Be sure to check out our full Colts vs Cowboys predictions

Colts vs Cowboys Over/Under totals pick: Under 44.5 (-110)

This is a horrendous matchup for Matt Ryan and the Indy offense. Dallas has limited 4 opponents this year to no more than 10 points — including just 3 for Minnesota. Now the ‘Boys face a Colts offense that is 7th-to-last overall in the NFL, 6th-to-last in yards per play and 3rd-to-last in scoring. The combination of the spread and total indicates that bookmakers are projecting right around a 27-17 win for Dallas. Do I see Indianapolis scoring 17 points on Sunday night? Absolutely not.

On the bright side for the Colts, their defensive performance in Week 12 wasn’t as bad as the Steelers’ 24 points suggest. They limited Pittsburgh to 8 points in the second half and held the visitors to a mere 4.8 yards per play. The under is 8-1 in the Colts’ last 9 on the road and 6-0 in their last 6 against opponents with winning records. It is also 15-7-1 in the Cowboys’ last 23 overall and 6-2 in their last 8 at home. Additionally, the under is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head matchups.

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Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys expert predictions

Be sure to check out all of our expert betting insight, analysis and even more NFL Predictions and NFL Best Bets from the rest of the Week 13 action.

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