College Basketball Parlays

The Michigan Wolverines will travel to Columbus on Sunday for a Big Ten matchup against the Ohio State Buckeyes. Michigan won both games last season and is favored to win game one of this year’s season series. The spread is currently 9.5 points in favor of Michigan, and I expect it to cover.

The Wolverines are on the road but have looked like one of the best teams in the entire country this year. They are ranked as the #2 team in the country at KenPom and have lost just 1 game this year. Michigan followed up that one loss with a 7-game winning streak and has looked like the best team in the Big Ten. Ohio State is a bubble team and likely will not be good enough to compete with Michigan.  The Wolverines should be able to dominate inside with their three big starting lineup of Aday Mara, Morez Johnson Jr., and Yaxel Lendeborg. According to KenPom, Michigan’s offense is ranked #1 in 2-point percentage, while Ohio State’s defense is ranked #211 in 2-point percentage. I expect the Wolverines to be too big and dominant inside for the Buckeyes to compete.

Michigan vs Ohio State prediction: Michigan -9.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -10.

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A compelling matchup in the Big 12 takes center stage on Sunday, as Texas Tech travels to Morgantown for a date with West Virginia. From a situational perspective, this is an ideal spot to back the Red Raiders, as they are coming off two consecutive losses and should be getting point guard Christian Anderson back for this contest. Anderson missed the previous game against Kansas on Monday, and his absence was certainly felt in that loss as the Red Raiders were badly missing the straw that stirs the drink within their offense. With the sophomore back in the fold, Texas Tech should find itself in a good position to succeed on Sunday given the matchup at hand and the fact that West Virginia has generally faltered against high-level competition this season.

The Mountaineers’ rather limited offense (130th in adjusted efficiency per KenPom) makes it hard for them to keep up with some of the higher-scoring units in this league, and we saw things get out of hand in blowout losses to Iowa State, Houston and Arizona earlier this season. Even though West Virginia is playing at home in an always dangerous environment, it’s hard to see this team compete with a desperate Texas Tech team that is very dangerous from beyond the arc (12th nationally in 3-point percentage) and does a great job of not turning the ball over. If the Mountaineers are unable to get out and score in transition, it’s going to be extremely difficult for them to generate much offense in a half-court setting. Defensively, the Mountaineers are certainly a solid unit (26th in adjusted efficiency). However, the quality of Anderson, JT Toppin and the rest of the Red Raiders’ offense should ultimately win out over the course of 40 minutes. With that in mind, I’ll lay the relatively short number with Texas Tech in a good bounce-back spot.

Texas Tech vs West Virginia prediction: Texas Tech -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -5. 

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In one of the final games before the Super Bowl on Sunday, Northwestern travels to Iowa City to face a red-hot Hawkeyes squad that has won 5 games in a row to improve its conference record to 7-4. Northwestern is on the opposite end of the spectrum in that regard, having won just 2 of 10 games since the turn of the calendar year while sitting 2-10 in conference play. 

Laying such a big number with a slow-paced team like Iowa isn’t ideal, but it’s the only way I can go in this game. I just don’t see Northwestern snapping out of its funk in this spot. This team has consistently struggled against top defensive opponents this season, and Iowa is exactly that – ranking top-20 nationally in adjusted efficiency. Moreover, the Hawkeyes have the conference’s highest forced turnover rate, and they excel defensively in transition, in the mid-range and in the paint, which are all areas in which Northwestern looks for points. With the expectation that the Wildcats struggle from the field throughout this game, I lean toward laying the points with Iowa on Sunday. 

Northwestern vs Iowa prediction: Iowa -12.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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