The home of our MLB Predictions. Here we dive into all of the key MLB stats, trends, matchups, Lineups, pitching matchups and so much more to make the most informed free MLB predictions today. Our MLB betting predictions will include MLB run line predictions, as well as Money line plays and even Over/Under Total Runs for each game
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Money Line Pick
Kyle Freeland (1-4, 5.36) gets the start for Colorado as the Rockies battle against Tony Gonsolin (1-1, 2.83 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers. In between two vital series against the first-place Giants, the Dodgers host the Rockies vying for a series win to regain momentum in the NL West. The reigning World Series champions have won eight of their 11 games against the Rockies this season. Los Angeles has been victorious in 31 of its 49 games as the home favorite, which is tied for the most wins in the NL. The lineup ranks among the top three teams in the league in runs scored, on-base percentage and home runs. The pitching staff also carries the second-best team ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average this season. In the four home starts for Gonsolin, the Dodgers are 3-1 and he has allowed only six earned runs.
Colorado has won just 10 of 44 away games this season, which is the lowest amount of road wins in the MLB. The lineup has been abysmal on the road, and the 5.38 bullpen ERA is the second-highest in the league. The Rockies have covered the run line in just 17 of the 44 away games this season, which is the worst ATS record in the Majors. In the last three starts for Freeland against Los Angeles, Colorado is 0-3 and has been outscored 22-8. On July 17, the 28-year old southpaw allowed three earned runs in 6.0 innings as the Dodgers won by a final score of 9-2. Back the Dodgers on the moneyline to snap their current losing streak against Freeland and the Rockies.
Game Totals Pick
The total has stayed under in 16 of the last 20 games for Colorado, but has reached double digits in each of their last five games against Los Angeles. Twenty-four of the Rockies’ 44 road games have stayed beneath the given total. For the Dodgers, outfielder Mookie Betts is currently listed as day-to-day while dealing with an injured hip and All-Star shortstop, Corey Seager, is on the 60-day IL with a fractured right hand.
The bullpens allowed seven late-inning runs during last night’s ballgame, which saw that game over the total. Six of the last nine meetings between these two divisional rivals stayed under, so ride the under for tonight’s NL West showdown.
Run Line Pick
If you are staying up to watch West Coast baseball on Saturday night, your eyes should turn immediately to the stellar pitching matchup at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. Chris Bassitt would have been an All-Star had there been selections last year, but he has been just as crucial of a piece for the Athletics and very much merited his first career selection a few weeks ago. Bassitt is matched up against rookie phenom Logan Gilbert, who announced himself to the world just over two weeks ago with 7 innings of 1-hit ball to beat the Yankees. Gilbert hasn’t looked back, recording another victory with 9 strikeouts over the Angels in his last start to improve to 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA on the season.
In terms of how each pitcher has fared against the opposing lineup, Gilbert and the Mariners have the edge in that regard. The rookie has faced Oakland twice this year, giving up 2 runs in each start and not recording a decision in either. While Bassitt has found success against most of the American League this season, the light-hitting Mariners proved difficult for him on June 1, tagging him for 4 runs on 6 hits in just 4.0 innings. This one has a close, tight, nail-biter written all over it, and it’s certainly not a game you should miss if your time zone lets you watch it. Give the Mariners, who have surpassed everyone’s expectations so far this season, an early advantage, and take them on the +1.5 run line.
Game Totals Pick
Gilbert has put the dreadful start to his big-league career far into the rear-view mirror, and while his overall numbers are pretty good at this point the last two months in particular have been outstanding. Gilbert finished June with a 2.79 ERA and has been even better in July, with a 2.00 mark through 3 starts this month.
The Mariners are one of the worst offensive teams in baseball. They’ve already been no-hit twice this year, and they are dead last in the majors in average. Bassitt struggled against them already, but he’s a veteran pitcher who shouldn’t make the same mistakes he did the last time he faced Seattle. This one should be a pitchers’ duel, so take the under.
Under 7.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
Money Line Pick
The Braves have been treading water since the all-star break, 3-4 heading into Saturday’s action. They did pick up Joc Pederson to help in the outfield, but I think they are going to go with what they have right now and hope for the best. There is not a lot separating the teams in the NL East, how they do against their rivals is likely going to determine if they stay in the race or not. Philly is the team I think has the best chance to catch the Mets in the division. The Phillies are pretty healthy and have talent but they need to get better on the mound, both in the rotation and in relief. Some wins over Atlanta would definitely help their cause is showing upper management that they mean business. Outfielder Joey Gallo would look great in this lineup, because Philly is just 20th in homers this season.
Touki Toussaint was called up by the Braves recently and made his first start of the season. He was looking very sharp against San Diego, just 1 run allowed over 6+ innings. That game was at home but he might be playable on the road too. Phillies righty Aaron Nola continues to disappoint. I thought he was in for some positive regression in the second half but he opened up giving up 4ER to the Yankees in his last start. These teams might be about even but you can’t ignore the past performances of the respective starting pitchers. Nola has killed the bankroll a little this season, but I still like backing the Phillies ace at home. I’m not going to fade him against Toussaint; that’s for sure. Take Philadelphia.
Game Totals Pick
I am looking for a command performance from Aaron Nola in this spot. Philly needs a statement win and I think he gives it to them at home. Both of his July starts have gone over the total but he has not been pitching to his ability. With slugging leadoff hitter Ronald Acuna Jr. out for the Braves there is not that spark to the top of the lineup they had when he faced them in June and the game went over. In starts against Atlanta in April and May the games came in under the total. Take the under
*(9 available at publishing; playable down to 8.5.)*
Run Line Pick
St. Louis was thought to be in the mix this season but they struggled in the first half. The offense has been dreadful with no real explanation for the struggles because they have lots of established hitters. That kind of means they could pick things up in the second half, or it could just be more of the same. They are 5-3 since the all-star break heading into Saturday action. They need more of a run than that if they are going to be relevant from here on out. The second half is not really going according to plan for the Reds. First, they lost 3 straight at home to division-leading Milwaukee and now they are going to have to deal with top hitter outfielder Nick Castellanos being out of the lineup with a wrist injury. The Reds have gone from a team that might add to keep themselves in the running to a team that should maybe reverse course and play for the future–all over the course of a few days.
The Cardinals are trying to make a push in the NL Central. It is a little tough because their pitching is not great. John Oviedo is still looking for his first win of the season and he is tough to back because he rarely pitches deep into games and he walks way too many. Reds’ starter Sonny Gray got hit hard in his last start against the Brewers. If the Reds are going to mount any sort of challenge to Milwaukee in the NL Central, they will need him to beat the other teams at least. Oddly, he has not won a game at home this season. In fact, the Reds are just 25-25 at home this season. I thought playing at Great American Ballpark provide more of an advantage than that, but I do like them to take the series finale against St. Louis. Oviedo has not won a game this season so fading him is hardly a reach even though the Cardinals are in solid form while Cincinnati is struggling a little. I like Gray to be the difference-maker. A sharp outing gets them the run-line cover. Take Cincinnati.
Game Totals Pick
Not having Castellanos in the lineup is a big blow to the offense, you can make an easy argument that he was the best hitter in the National League this season. Cincinnati still has a lot of offense though and Great American Ballpark plays small. It is one of the worst places in the league for a pitcher like Oviedo, who puts a lot of guys on base via the base on balls. I like Gray to pitch well but anything can happen once the starters are out of the game. The over looks good to me, although I do wish the Reds were going to have all nine hacks. Take the over.
*(9.5 available at publishing; playable up to 10.)*
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Money Line Pick
The Pittsburgh Pirates roster might look a lot different come August. Young stars Bryan Reynolds and Adam Frazier are in high demand by a lot of different teams and for the right price, the Pirates may part with them. But for now the Pirates remain far out of the hunt for the NL Central and find themselves struggling to win games. Another young star for the Pirates is in their starting rotation as JT Brubaker enters this matchup with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. The 27-year-old has some of the best off-speed pitches in the National League as opponents are hitting for a .087 average against his curveball with a 33.3 percent whiff rate. Even with his solid off-speed pitches, Brubaker struggles when he’s on the road as his ERA spikes to 5.33 with opponents hitting for a .257 batting average.
Alex Wood had an excellent start to the season but has since fallen off a bit. He comes into this matchup with a 3.77 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and this will be his second start against Pittsburgh this season. His first start was one of his best so far this season as he allowed 1 run with 6 strikeouts in 6.0 innings, so his funky windup seemed to fool them. But the Pirates have not been the only team to be fooled by his interesting windup as Wood has the highest strikeout rate in his last seven years. The biggest reason the Giants are a strong play on Sunday is because the Pirates ranked last in OPS against left-handed pitching in the first half of the season. Pittsburgh will likely continue to struggle against southpaws, so back the Giants on the money line.
Game Totals Pick
When looking at these pitchers’ stats, it can be tempting to take the under. It’s understandable since Wood has been great at home and against Pittsburgh this season, but there’s one important factor that not everyone may see. The wind will be howling at Oracle Park and it will be blowing out to left-center field at around 12 to 15 miles per hour, which can turn a deep fly ball into a run on the board. With the weather on the side of these two offenses, take the over 8 in San Francisco.
*8 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.*
MLB Predictions For Today’s Games
Free MLB Predictions Explained
The MLB season is a long one, with 162-games totaling 2,430 regular season matches. Doing the necessary research on every game is a long and detailed process, and that’s where the experts here at Pickswise come in. Our daily MLB predictions cover every angle of every game from opening day through to the World Series. Each MLB prediction will have a full analysis for the pick as well as all of the need-to-know facts and figures about today’s MLB matchups. There are many ways to bet on an MLB game and our MLB predictions offer a wide variety of bet types to cater for kinds of sports bettors. The majority of our MLB predictions will be from the Money Line, Run Line, or Run Totals markets, but we also break down our favorite MLB Prop Bets and our daily MLB Parlay Picks.
Money Line MLB Predictions
MLB Money Line Predictions is the simplest way of betting on Major League Baseball. When betting the money line, you are simply taking the odds offered for that given team to win the match, usually including extra innings. The beauty of betting the MLB Moneyline predictions is that all you need is the team to win, and not cover the run line spread. It’s easy to forget that teams are happy to win by 1 run, of course, a blowout victory is much nicer and less stressful, but sport doesn’t always work out that way. Betting the MLB Predictions on the money line is also a great way to get good value on an underdog if we or you like them to win outright in a particular spot. Baseball is a game of parity and while across the season the best tend to separate themselves from the rest, it remains that anyone can beat anyone, on any given day. We highlight our favorite MLB Predictions on the money line every day so check back for those favorites and barking dogs we like on today’s slate.
MLB Predictions Against The Spread – MLB Run Line Predictions
The spread in baseball is known as ‘the run line’ where teams will start with + or – runs and have to cover that spread for the bet to cash. Many MLB bettors feel there isn’t much value laying -200 on an all-star pitcher because even the best pitchers in the league can turn the game over to his bullpen and completely change the game and lose. Therefore, betting on MLB Predictions on the run line (-1.5 or +1.5) is a great way to find better MLB odds. The Dodgers when starting Clayton Kershaw pick or Trevor Bauer on the ML for example might be -240 but betting that same game on the -1.5 run line could be priced at -110. The argument is that if the Dodgers are on form they should win by more than 2 regardless so take them to cover instead of just scraping home for the win. The MLB Predictions on the run line also work the other way. There are a lot of close games that go deep into the 9th inning or even extra innings, in these circumstances having +1.5 on the underdog is great as your team losing by 1 would still cash on the run line.
Free MLB Over / Under Total Runs Predictions
MLB Predictions on the Over/Under total run line is a great way for MLB bettors that are either unsure on which side they think will win or cover, or those who like to bet on a game without rooting for one side. Unlike the Run line or the money line where you’re betting on a team to either cover the spread or win outright, the MLB Predictions on the total runs allow you to wager on whether there will be a combined total of runs over or under the line set by sportsbooks. The MLB predictions on the over/under run line is also an exciting watch, especially when betting the over as you’re not out of it under the final pitch. Conversely, the unders can be a nervy watch if runs are scored early and you need the teams to go cold down the stretch. Lots of research goes into our MLB predictions on the Run Totals with many factors such as team news pitcher matchups, bull-pen rotation, the weather conditions, and the ballpark all big factors in weighing up which side you should be on. All of this statistical analysis that our handicapper’s conduct is freely available with all of our MLB predictions throughout the entire season.
Expert MLB Predictions Today
The MLB season is a long one but the games come around thick and fast. With 2,430 total regular-season games, 162 per team, there are baseball matches played pretty much every day from opening day to the MLB playoffs and beyond. Our expert MLB handicappers stay on top of all of it. We bring the best free expert MLB Predictions today throughout the entire season. All of our MLB Predictions today will be accompanied by a full match preview, including team stats, player stats, and reasoning for our MLB Prediction. Along with that we also have confidence ratings so you can quickly and easily find our Best MLB Bets Today in amongst the at time hectic MLB schedule. Our MLB predictions today are a great place to start for your daily MLB wagering, with the full scheduling details including the best odds, start times, and other key matchup information all in one place.
MLB Futures & MLB Playoff Predictions
The MLB baseball season is a hectic one. With each team playing 162 matches in the regular season, amounting to 2,430 league-wide matches, it’s impossible and highly unrecommended to wager on them all. One way that people like to wager on the MLB season without having to research the daily matchups is on MLB Futures markets and into the MLB Playoff Predictions.
There are many ways in which you can wager on MLB Futures at various points throughout the season, with the most popular being the Outright World Series Winners, but also on Divisional and Conference champions too. You can also wager on MLB Futures Prop Bets which are either team or player-based and are typically based on the number of wins a team will get, or stats leaders in strikeouts, hits, or Home Runs. If prop bets, be it team or player are to your liking be sure to check out our MLB Prop Bets Page for our best MLB Props today and on the futures markets.
2021 World Series Predictions
30 teams start on Opening Day with the same goal of winning it all. Unfortunately for 29 of them, they won’t and some teams have a much more realistic chance of winning the MLB World Series than others. you can bet on the World Series immediately after the season comes to a close, and can continue to do so right through the season and into the MLB playoffs. The odds for each team will fluctuate in the off-season due to player trades, and team news and then continue to move up and down in relation to team performance throughout the season. Our expert handicappers will provide analysis and expert world series predictions leading up to the start of the season, and always provide regular World Series predictions and betting odds updates throughout the 2021 season.