Miami Marlins 2022 MLB season preview, odds, and predictions

Miami Marlins second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. (2) celebrates with teammates scoring the winning run in the 10th inning against the Washington Nationals at loanDepot Park
Photo of Keith Schmelter

Keith Schmelter

MLB· 1 month ago

Show Bio

A Bostonian with a love for stats and baseball. Using knowledge and passion to find the right bet in MLB, NBA, NFL, and more. A lover of bold sports takes and sweat free plus odds picks. Go Sox!

Are you missing baseball, too? For those that don’t know me, hello! My name is Keith Schmelter and I was the most profitable MLB writer on the Pickswise staff last season. I finished +37.6 units on money line/run line picks, +52.9 units on game totals, and +39.3 units (21-6-1) on 3-star plays for Pickswise. I’m a diehard baseball fan with an even greater passion for statistics who loves to watch and bet on baseball. I will be analyzing every MLB team and giving my predictions for their 2022 season.

Continuing in the NL East, let’s break down the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins breakdown

2022 World Series odds: +8000

2022 NL East odds: +1400

2021 record: 67-95

2021 O/U record: 72-80-10

Key players in: Jorge Soler (RF), Avisail Garcia (OF), Joey Wendle (2B), Jacob Stallings (C)

Key players out: Jorge Alfaro (C), Zach Thompson (SP)

Story of last season

For the 11th time in the last 12 years, the Marlins finished below .500. They had obvious weaknesses that held them back from winning, including their offense — which was truly abysmal. Miami finished 27th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 29th in OPS, which is why the team averaged the second-fewest runs per game in 2021. And when a Marlins player got hot, he was traded. Both Starling Marte and Adam Duvall were dealt at the deadline last year, which sent Miami into full tank mode during the second half of the season.

The Marlins have a future star in Trevor Rogers. The rookie had a 2.64 ERA and a 2.55 FIP in 25 starts last season, which earned him an all-star nomination and a runner-up finish in the NL Rookie of the Year voting. He was one of the few bright spots Miami had in 2021, but he was fascinating to watch. Although there were a lot more negatives than positives for the Marlins in 2021, could the Marlins surprise some people in 2022?

Miami Marlins 2022 MLB season predictions

I love the Marlins’ starting rotation. Rogers, Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez make up a strong 1-2-3 punch for Miami and Jesus Luzardo could be a strong 4th starter if he finds his command. Alcantara has been the Marlins ace for about 4 years now and has one of the best pitching arsenals in the league. His sinker can reach 101 mph and his changeup had an average velocity of 91.8 MPH last season — which is absurd. The ace has posted an ERA below 3.20 for two consecutive seasons and will no doubt play a large factor in Miami’s success in 2022.

As mentioned above, the Marlins’ offense was dreadful in 2021. However, they made a series of moves this offseason such as signing Jorge Soler and Avisail Garcia while also trading for Joey Wendle and Jacob Stallings. Soler will add an instant power boost to the Marlins’ order, as the World Series MVP hit 27 home runs and accumulated 70 RBIs in 2021. Stallings is an upgrade on both sides of the ball from Jorge Alfaro and Wendle is an excellent contact hitter who can play pretty much any position besides pitcher and catcher.

The Marlins’ middle infield has a lot of potential. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is paired with Miguel Rojas to make a flashy team, but Chisholm Jr. needs to work on his approach at the plate. The rookie finished 2021 with a 28.6% strikeout rate while also ranking in the 17th percentile for whiff rate. His on-field swagger and attempts at making baseball more youth-friendly make him likable, but he needs to be a better contact hitter if he’s going to hit leadoff.

Miami’s biggest challenge will be its division. The Marlins are going to face the new-look Mets, the reigning champion Braves, the offensive juggernaut Phillies, and the young but powerful Nationals a total of 76 times in 2022. That’s at least 40 losses right there, so they will need to capitalize on their non-division series. Long story short: this isn’t the Marlins year. 

2022 MLB season team previews

Check out the rest of our team previews for the upcoming baseball season!

AL East

AL Central

AL West

NL East

Pickswise is the home of free sports picks, news and best bets. Check out our expert NFL Picks, NBA Picks, MLB Picks and NHL Picks for the latest game picks.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on any NBA team, Get $150 in Free Bets if they win!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any team to win an NBA playoff game

Win $150 in free bets if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 on any UFC 274 fight!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any fighter to win at UFC 274

Win $150 in free bets if your fighter wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,100

Get up to $1,100 in First Bet Insurance!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.